Well FSU pulled away in the 2nd half and won by 20. So the Gator’s KenPom numbers are safe for now Another team that Florida plays had a good win last night. UK beat Duke on a neutral court in Atlanta. That should help UF’s SOS.
I do worry a bit about our computer numbers OOC this year, but Golden and his staff are pretty savvy with this stuff. UNC seems to be a safe bet for the tourney, but besides that you are just sort of hoping Wake and Virginia make it and UVA probably isn't.
Regardless of liking or hating UK, their computer rankings are way too low after they beat Duke on a neutral court. Duke hardly moved at all in polls. Mark Pope doesn't have the same talent on his roster that Calimari had year in and year out, but he's so much better at basketball Xs and Os. The SEC is gonna be extremely tough this season.
I believe KenPom and most of the other models are trained on preseason factors at the beginning of the season. As more game data rolls in, these preseason factors are slowly phased out. If the Cats keep playing like that, their computer rankings will definitely rise, but no model wants any single game outcome to determine too much of a team’s rating.
Yep. Some of the more honest ones admit that they start from last season's results. I would start with all 364 teams in a tie for top ranking and then let the chips fall where they may. After one game you'll have a legitimate ranking, and it will change radically over at least 10 games. It wouldn't be even remotely accurate for a while but it would be a hell of a lot of fun to watch. And the worst player on the worst team in America could one day tell his grandchildren, "I once played for the top-ranked team in the land," and it wouldn't be a lie.
That would be fun. Some of the modelers offer multiple versions of their ratings based on different plausible assumptions, so maybe you could even have both. Maybe KenPom Traditional vs KenPom Chaos. And then we could compare them until they converge.
