Look at you. Telling Arab-Americans what they need to think and feel. By the way, are you Arab-American? Or are you just some white clown who thinks he smarter than them?
One more fun scenario. Imagine if ME 02 were to flip. In that scenario, a rust belt hold by her means a single faithless elector couldn’t elect Trump. There are also a number of rare scenarios it eliminates plus potentially stopping late shenanigans in Nebraska.
"YouGov" is a .com. It's not a .org or .gov, so it could be anybody running it. What is your arg for its integrity?
lol.Silly season and trying to not be the one who is off in the end. This is a good pollster, it was curious to me why they were on the right end of the curve.
Nate Silver flipped back to Harris today. 270 EVs so still a complete tossup. The economist flipped in the last few days, 538 still has Trump 53.46.
Polling is shit now… Silver pointed out a claim that there are 27 Republican aligned pollsters used in the RPC averages… not something he claimed directly but linked to another statistician who said it… I guess we will find out Tuesday if there has been a concerted effort to make it look like Trump is winning…
Still looking good for Trump imo in most of the states that have party registration. AZ, NC and NV. PA has it but I want to see the final info Tuesday morning. GA, WI and MI are harder to guage without it and places like Target Smart that model it were shown to be well off and useless in 2020 with those 1% and under states. I guess now I am still leaning to Trump takes all the swing states except MI but that could change in the morning with the final data.
I see virtually no chance Trump takes all the swing states, his sudden alleged uptick in popularity is a mirage when he’s done nothing but alienate several voting demographics, including women who are voting in record numbers. I don’t see it at all.
Those women were already voting Trump regardless. The vast majority of women will 100% be casting their vote for Harris. If they turn out in more numbers than men, she wins. It’s that simple.
Why would you want it to look like your candidate is winning? Wouldn't that make your voters relax and fire up the opposition voters? I'd prefer polls that show Kamala slightly ahead.
Biden isn't on the ballot and, don't forget, he's senile, suffering from advanced dementia and wholly unable to think. Cut the guy some slack. Republican is the party of GEDs.
