IMPORTANT Hurricane Milton

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142024
400 PM CDT Sat Oct 05 2024

...MILTON FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN AND BRING THE RISK OF
LIFE-THREATENING IMPACTS TO PORTIONS OF THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA
NEXT WEEK...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.7N 95.5W
ABOUT 245 MI...395 KM N OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
ABOUT 385 MI...615 KM WNW OF PROGRESO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

 

Follow the Euro, it’s been the best predictor for track for a few years now.

Saw somewhere it predicted within 10 miles the landfall of Helene 5 days out.


Damn October storms, beasts and monsters.

 

That’s kinda what we do for all areas prone for natural disasters. California and its fires and earthquakes, the plains with their massive tornadoes.

Now some who has built right on the beach in very prone areas perhaps should not be able to rebuild over and over, there are many areas that aren’t really hurricane prone however.

 

INIT 05/2100Z 22.7N 95.5W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 06/0600Z 22.9N 95.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 06/1800Z 23.0N 94.1W 55 KT 65 MPH
36H 07/0600Z 23.0N 92.8W 70 KT 80 MPH
48H 07/1800Z 23.1N 91.2W 80 KT 90 MPH
60H 08/0600Z 23.8N 89.3W 90 KT 105 MPH
72H 08/1800Z 24.8N 87.2W 100 KT 115 MPH
96H(approx 5 pm Wed) 09/1800Z 27.7N 83.0W 100 KT 115 MPH (15 miles W of St Pete Beach)
120H 10/1800Z 30.4N 77.0W 65 KT 75 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

 

It’s too bad we can’t figure a way to pull cool water from depth to help lower the temp in the loop current. Massive under taking to be sure.

 

I have been on both sides of this. My advice is don't automatically trust the insurance adjusters, but you also need to be careful with public adjusters or others looking to make a lot of money by inflating a claim.

 

My company has two facilities in the Tampa area, one in Largo and the other in Tampa. Hopefully they’ll be fine along with all of you that live in the area like Rade.

 

I can't remember the last time a hurricane formed in the Gulf of Mexico. That seems a bit strange.

Stay safe.

 

700 AM CDT Sun Oct 06 2024

...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS A STRONGER MILTON...
...RISK OF LIFE-THREATENING IMPACTS INCREASING FOR PORTIONS OF THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST...


SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.6N 94.9W
ABOUT 345 MI...560 KM WNW OF PROGRESO MEXICO
ABOUT 860 MI...1385 KM WSW OF TAMPA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.26 INCHES

 

How much debris is still on the ground and streets around the Bay Area?

 

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/14L_tracks_latest.png

the latest tracks seem to have nudged south

 

Tons!!!!
Anything that has been picked up has been done by private contractors.

On the coast, the focus has been on getting the sand out of the streets. The Tampa area has been focused on drying out.


I just read DeSantis has just activated 4000 guardsmen for debris removal going 24/7 until its no longer safe.

 

I can post a picture of my friends house. It about 8 ft high 10 ft wide and a hundred feet long. Mostly drywall and furniture.

 

I really hope folks are taking this serious in West Fl. The way it will be coming in is really scary to me, I could see some massive wave action getting created in front of that ... it is basically going in a straight line across the water for several days.

 

PC right now. Activating and commandeering every vehicle possible for debris removal. Also every site will be used as debris dumping. basically the state will take your site over.

Governor DeSantis Provides Update on Tropical Storm Milton and Disaster Preparedness