So we can be the ONLY team to make the play offs with only 8 wins?

8 wins would be amazing, but I don't think puts us in the conversation when a few dozen teams will have 9 wins or more ...

 

Of course the opponent and manner in which we lose the games will have a lot of effect on that...

If we lose to UGA, Texas, LSU and FSU by a combined total of 7 points, we're in. If our losses are to some mediocre teams by a combined total of like 80 points and we barely win a handful of close ones, we're NOWHERE near getting in....

Interesting chart nonetheless.

EDIT: Re-read the chart and it says "conversation" so, yeah that makes sense.

 

9 - 3, hard to keep UF out I think, but like Smooty says it's all about the how, when and by how much.

 

The only way I can see that even happening would be starting the season off slow then blowing out 4 of the last 5 games on the schedule. But even if it did, it’s a very tiny scintilla of a chance.

I do think we’ll have 2 or 3 9-win teams getting in though.

 

That means we could have lost to 4 playoff teams while beating up to maybe 4 that have an argument for being in the playoffs if preseason prognostications are correct. I don't think anyone could be too offended by that.

 

8 wins with our miserable schedule versus 10 wins and FSU's cake walk schedule....one is a bunch easier for sure.

 

247 lists our games below from easiest to hardest.
Better win the first 6 because two more will be tough.
Miami is crucial for momentum and an 8-win season.
Can Billy win only his 3rd game away from the Swamp?
(@Miss Stake)

Samford
Miss Stake
UCF
Kentucky
TAMU
Miami

Tennessee
LSU
FSU
Ole Miss
Texas
Georgia

 

It's great to be on top of a chart.

 

From The Athletic:

"At a minimum, half of the SEC can be counted as legitimate Playoff contenders in 2024: Georgia, Alabama, LSU, Texas, Ole Miss, Missouri, Tennessee and Oklahoma.
Beyond that, Kentucky can never be ruled out, if Mark Stoops’ program can take that elusive next step. Texas A&M could surprise if Mike Elko coaches up a roster with more talent than he had at Duke. Maybe Auburn, which has a history of come-from-nowhere seasons, does it again. And if Missouri can come out of nowhere as it did last year, it’s hard to tell anyone they don’t at least have some hope."

Of course, no mention of us.

The expanded Playoff effect: Suddenly, more SEC teams are more interesting

 

5 auto bids P-4 plus one G 5

That leaves 7 spots

At least 4 of those spots will go to 2 each of the SEC and B10 that have better records

That leaves 3

Notre Dame? If they have 8 wins they are probably in.

2 spots

I think the ACC and B12 championship loser still gets in if they have good records.

So the Gators have a very slim chance at 8 wins

 

The heavens will probably have to open up and deliver a beat down of the holes in Clowntown for a 9-3 finish to have a shot at making the POs. I'd love to see it happen but I'm not holding my breath.

 

I think this is very fair, 8-4 will put UF in the conversation which is what the heading says. I agree 8-4 isn't a lock to make the field, but it would be an interesting debate. UF either has no "bad" losses to teams well outside the playoffs, or a bad loss or two plus a few great wins.

 

Notre Dame needs 10… with a couple signature wins. Schedule isn’t that impressive.

 

I've heard others claim this BS... 8 wins this season will not get the Gators, even with our schedule, in the playoffs. So... I hope we win 9 or more games to make it interesting. But 10 definitely puts us in

 

Our team's goal is to make the playoff. If we fall short it won't be for lack of trying.

 

Just looked at last yrs CFP week 15 rankings

8-4
19 Oregon St
21 Tennessee
22 Clemson
25 Kansas St

I understand schedules are different with the new realignment of conferences. But I have a hard time thinking any 8 win team will even be close to being ranked in the top 11.
Remember 1 spot to top G5, that was Liberty last year ranked 23.

 

Would it be after week 12 they determine the playoff teams, if it's based on ranking at the time or a variety of factors including rank, SOS, merit? Is there a committee?

Last season, after week 12, there were three 2 loss teams ranked in top 12. If that's when teams are chosen and record plays a big role, 3 losses seems like the maximum.

NCAA College Football Rankings: AP Top 25 Football Poll
https://www.ncaa.com/rankings/football/fbs/associated-press

I believe AP week 12 is 2023 but curious as to why it shows Oregon State at 10 but the final ranking link does not show them in top 25 end of season.

 

Help me out. When would they choose the teams, after regular season or after conference championships?