Probably a hurricane next update, but get ready for a monster. NHC guidance only goes out 5 days, but the longer range models are all suggesting it'll turn north well before reaching FL. Expected to reach 150mph within 72 hours, and stay there for multiple days. MAJOR hurricane.
What I have noticed is that the cones of uncertainty have been getting tighter. I am not ready to say this will definitely miss Florida but it seems highly likely.
As already mentioned, the long range shows a frontal boundary that will set up in Virginia through Carolinas down to Georgia and that should keep it away from the coast. Hopefully it'll be strong enough to sweep it out to the Atlantic. Timing will be important. If the boundary comes in later and or weaker, it could allow it to track further west and endanger the southeast coast.
Any chance of it skipping by Gainesville and hitting Tallahassee, Athens, and Knoxville's football dorms? pr
Hopefully that front pulls in out into the atlantic and away from Bermuda, the Bahamas, and the US east coast.
Last storm the models were all very tight. The Euro had it within 30 miles of actual land fall 3 days out.
That track is not all that uncommon: wnw or nw track until between the Bahamas and Bermuda, then a recurve north, then northeast. Andrew was an exception.
You are missing the point. Don't you realize EVERYTHING is now caused by climate change? Get with the program.
