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22-23 Hallgator's NBN Bubble Watch & Games to Watch

Discussion in 'Nuttin but Net' started by gogators73, Feb 2, 2023.

  1. gogators73

    gogators73 GC Hall of Fame

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    UPDATE: I won’t be updating this anymore as the odds of a bid are now unrealistic. If we go on a winning streak to end the year I’ll revive it. Hope it entertained some!
     
    Last edited: Feb 11, 2023
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  2. gogators73

    gogators73 GC Hall of Fame

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    Thursday, February 2, 2023 Results
    • #77 Wisconsin @ #29 Ohio State: Both are firmly on the bubble. OSU has a horrible record, but great NET. Wisconsin has an okay record & horrible NET. This one probably won’t matter too much either way, but if OSU wins it’s only a Q2 win for them, so I’m going to say Go Buckeyes? Result: UW won
    • #214 Oregon State @ #65 Arizona State: ASU is sitting right next to us at this point. Would be a horrid loss. Go Beavers. Result: ASU won
    • #10 Arizona @ #57 Oregon: UA is easily in and this would be a win that probably puts us and Oregon about even. Go Wildcats. Result: UA won
    • #120 Stanford @ #50 Utah: Utah is behind us right now, but the Pac-12 is bad enough they could stockpile wins. Go Cardinal. Result: Stanford won
    • #83 Michigan @ #49 Northwestern: NW has accumulated four Q1 wins, this wouldn’t be one, but we need them to lose quite a few to pass them. Go Wolverines. Result: UM won
     
    Last edited: Feb 3, 2023
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  3. AzCatFan

    AzCatFan GC Hall of Fame

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    Oregon plays at Arizona State on Saturday Night. A true, bubblicious game. Winner picks up a decent win. Loser will be looking at an uphill battle the rest of the season.
     
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  4. gatormonk

    gatormonk GC Hall of Fame

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    Oops, haha.
     
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  5. gogators73

    gogators73 GC Hall of Fame

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    When we still have to go to Nashville. Such a freshman quote.
     
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  6. kbmagill

    kbmagill Sophomore

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    0-2 vs Vandy confirmed! 100%
     
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  7. spike718

    spike718 GC Hall of Fame

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    Thanks for the great info OP.
     
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  8. FranceGator

    FranceGator GC Hall of Fame

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    Agreed, love this thread.
     
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  9. gogators73

    gogators73 GC Hall of Fame

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    Friday, February 3, 2023 Results
    • #21 Boise State and #27 San Diego State: The computer love Boise, but a lack of Q1 wins (2) has them still teetering on being solidly in. Go Aztecs. Result: SDSU won
    • #154 Air Force @ #34 Nevada: Nevada has put together a pretty good resume, but a couple bad losses and we could pass them. Go Falcons. Result: Nevada won
     
    Last edited: Feb 4, 2023
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  10. FranceGator

    FranceGator GC Hall of Fame

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    I guess in a way, we have to watch some SEC teams also. If we win tonight, we'd be tied with Auburn, though they win head-to-head and we don't play again.

    A&M lost bigly at Arkansas earlier this week. Doubt they'll lose to UGA tonight. But they are within reach. 7 of their remaining games are against the upper half of SEC. If they lay a few eggs...ok, maybe several omelettes.
     
  11. gogators73

    gogators73 GC Hall of Fame

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    Horrible day

    Saturday, February 4, 2023
    • 8:30---#41 Florida @ #31 Kentucky: Go Gators. Result: UK won
    • 2:00---#16 TCU @ #39 Oklahoma State: We have nearly identical resumes with OSU. Go Horned Frogs. Result: OSU won
    • 2:00---#97 Tulane @ #42 Memphis: The Tigers have lots of Q2 wins, but just one Q1 win. Lose a few more and they’ll be out. Go Green Wave. Result: Tulane won
    • 3:30---#27 Arkansas @ #284 South Carolina: UA somehow has found themselves almost out of a bye. This is a brutal loss if it happens and does nothing for your resume if you win. Go Cocks. Result: UA won
    • 6:00---#45 Missouri @ #49 Mississippi State: MSU is one of our Q1 wins, but also a threat to us if they string together wins. Go Tigers. Result: MSU won.
    • 8:00---#24 West Virginia @ #56 Oklahoma: I think WVU is more of a sure thing (but aren’t a sure thing) than OU. I know OU beat us, but WVU winning would help more IMO, close call, but Go Mountaineers. Result: WVU won
    • 8:00---#32 Utah State @ #133 Colorado State: USU has zero Q1 wins, so despite great computer numbers, they’re on the bubble. Dropping this one would help drop their computer numbers. Go Rams. Result: USU won
    • 8:30---#116 Georgia @ #48 Texas A&M: TAMU beat us twice so we should cheer for them, but they are sitting right next to us right now. Go Bulldogs. Result: TAMU won
    • 9:30---#123 Washington @ #52 USC: Trojans are more teetering on getting a bye or not, but with a great finish we can pass them. Go Huskies. Result: USC won
    • 10:00---#59 Oregon @ #63 Arizona State: I honestly don’t know, they are so close to each other, but a little behind us. For UO it’s a Q1 win, for ASU it’s a Q2, so I’ll say Go Sun Devils. Result: UO won
     
    Last edited: Feb 5, 2023
  12. FranceGator

    FranceGator GC Hall of Fame

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    I would very deeply enjoy CMW getting a road win at A&M tonight.
     
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  13. number1

    number1 GC Hall of Fame

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    I mean he's right. lol
     
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  14. gogators73

    gogators73 GC Hall of Fame

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    Sunday, February 5, 2023
    • 12:00---#164 Depaul @ #52 Seton Hall: SHU is right on our heels, if not even. Go Blue Demons. Result: SHU won
    • 4:30---#54 Penn State @ #99 Nebraska: PSU is probably behind us, but not by much. Go Cornhuskers. Result: NU won
    • 6:30---#57 Northwestern @ #68 Wisconsin: These two are very close and in direct competition with us. I think UW is more solid due to NW's awful OOC schedule, but this is a tough call. Go Badgers. Result: NU won
     
    Last edited: Feb 5, 2023
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  15. gogators73

    gogators73 GC Hall of Fame

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    Tuesday, February 7, 2023
    • 7:00---#44 North Carolina @ #67 Wake Forest: UNC is decently solidly in & Wake stopped the bleeding this weekend, but has lots of work to do. Go Tar Heels. Result: WF won
    • 7:00---#30 Auburn @ #41 Texas A&M: Depending on how AU finishes, this could be a Q1 win for TAMU. TAMU's resume is essentially ours, but slightly better and they are 2-0 against us. We need them to crash and burn. Go Tigers. Result: TAMU won
    • 9:00---#29 Arkansas @ #31 Kentucky: Both are ahead of us, both have very similar resumes. I always root for not giving another bubble team a Q1 win. Gross, but Go Wildcats. Result: UA won
    • 10:30---#34 Nevada @ #39 New Mexico: Same as Arkansas/Kentucky. Go Lobos. Result: Nevada won
     
    Last edited: Feb 8, 2023
  16. spike718

    spike718 GC Hall of Fame

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    great summary. Thanks. Now make it better by coloring bad outcomes in red and good in green. Thank you. Lol
     
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  17. gogators73

    gogators73 GC Hall of Fame

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    Huge Wednesday for the bubble teams. None with a bigger opportunity than Florida.
     
  18. kbmagill

    kbmagill Sophomore

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    If Florida can find a way tonight...
     
  19. spike718

    spike718 GC Hall of Fame

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    shazam! Red and green. Now my feeble mind can judge in moments if gator hoops tourney chances went up or down.
     
  20. GatorLurker

    GatorLurker GC Hall of Fame

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    Why does Lunardi have seven ACC teams in the field? Kenpom has them as the sixth rated conference behind the Pac 12 by a lot. And Lunardi has only three Pac 12 teams in.