I don't either. FSU fans saying the same about us. Who exactly have we beaten outside of a fluke win against Utah? The whole season on the 1st game of the season. I can't argue with them really. We lost to both Kentucky and Vandy in the same year and the last time that happened, Bobby Bowden was in diapers (slight exaggeration since I actually can't find the year and surely it can't be 100 years ago). Our lone quality win since Utah was SC. FSU did beat LSU in their house but did lose 3 straight very close games against ranked opponents. But we aren't ranked so that lumps us in with their unranked record which is currently sitting with 1 loss to a previously ranked WF. But the thing is, FSU has no bad losses this year, no close wins against bad competition, and since their 34-28 loss against Clemson, they have beaten the crap out of everyone. Then you have to take into consideration no Miller in the 1st half. The last time he was out, the defense was one of the worst in the country in 6 or 7 categories.
Football Power Index gives the Gators a 23% chance of winning. Some interesting numbers . . . Rating/stat..............FSU.......FL Sagarin SoS................50........19 TeamRank SoS.............21........19 RankGuru SoS..............50........18 Penalty yds/game.........64.1.....43.5 Pass yds/game............256.7...230.2 Rush yds/game...........217.0....209.3 Pass defense...............155.4....236.9 Rush defense...............138.0...171.5 Scoring offense.............35.4....31.2 Scoring defense............18.0....27.3 Turnover margin............+2.....+12 FSU has better numbers in nearly every category, except penalties and t/o margin; albeit against weaker competition. If FL shows up, runs the ball, discontinues the penalty shitshow that happened in Nashville, and forces a couple turnovers, we have a chance. Hard to predict a win here, though.
Gotta establish the run and that happens with AR establishing himself as a running threat. If they even think he’s running it opens things up inside for us To run. gotta stop their run. Benson and Travis are legit. To do this will have to bring pressure ( May need to commit one extra guy alot to LOS) and make Travis hand off. Ends have to play contain and turn everything inside. Tackling has to be on point with everyone moving to the ball. Gotta win special teams hang around until we get Miller back.