Projected Field - Latest: On3 (04/29/2025)

metrics will not/ever be issue for UF.. IMO need 1 more series win and avoid sweep in other 2. Series record as important as total wins IMO. And the Mizzu factor is unknown this year

UF rpi /sos didnt change btw. same as last week pre Ark. went to 18th after 1st win.

 

Arkansas has a real mother of a schedule down the stretch. Texas, at LSU and Tennessee. Two of them are home series, but man that's tough.

 

yeah but Arky is in if lost out..hosting might be in jeopardy though..already on a 3 series losing streak

 

As of today Id have MSU out..they have to be unlucky this year,good stats acroos board(era, BA etc) , but struggling to find wins. And just fired HC lol

SC & Mizz also out obv.,rest in IMO

 

Sec series won *Tex (7), AU, *LSU UGa (5) *OM *OU *Ark Vols (4) Van *Bama *UF aTm UK (3) MSU SC (2) Mizz(0, 0-21)

* means have played Mizzu.

 

5-6 wins is possible the way they're fighting lately.

 

Yeah I was wondering if they finished like 16-14 having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 series if they would still be a top 16 host?

 

Normally you need a 5-5 series record and 15+ to host. They are 14-7 w/ 4 series wins now.. Unless lose all 3 series they probaly host. Still #5 rpi also

 

I don't think they lose all 3, but it wouldn't surprise me either.

 

Valid point....but i think you can stretch it to top 40-45
33 at large bids, 31 auto bids. But a lot of the auto bids are also top 20-30 teams.....so you can increase that 33 at large by another 8-12 most years. Obviously you don't want to see a ton of crazy upset winners in tourneys

 

Can’t argue without that. Top 30 all but guarantees you a spot though. Start sliding towards that 40 range and they give your spot to a barely eligible sully team.

 

Yeah....basically top 35 locked in. Then you are doing a little scoreboard watching

 

New projections out tomorrow.. i seeded T 32,, see how close I get...or they get.

1.Texas - 32. G Tech
2. LSU - 31.Troy
3. UGa - 30. Wake
4. UNC - 29. UTSA
5. FSU - 28. S Miss
6. Clem - 27. UF
7. Ark - 26. Zona
8. Vols - 25. Kansas

9. Aub - 24. DBU
10. Org - 23.Kentucky
11. Vandy - 22. L ville
12. Org St. - 21. Okla
13. WVU - 20. Coastal
14. Irvine - 19. TCU
15. Ole Miss - 18. NC ST
16. Bama - 17. UCLA

Top 3 seeds
aTm, Miami, Cal Poly, VPI, UConn, Arz St. Kan St., USC(real one)

Iowa is interesting . 1st in B10 20-4, but 60 rpi 180 sos, 3-0 v Q1(sweep at #53 Mich) Last 2 series are Org & Org St.. If win one of those probably in.

 

Had UF more in the 24/25 range, but hd to adjust for same conference. Which i still disagree with. Play it as its seeded, if 3 from same conf.. oh well.

 

Get hot at the right time and anything can happen,.... Look at last year. Get that Gator toe in the door and cause damage.
GO GATORS!!!!

 

Field of 64 Projections: Upset-heavy weekend leads to chaos entering final stretch - On3

I was in ballpark.sort of.. UF still a 3 seed, but not last 4 this week.

 

Gators 8-13 SEC with 30 wins overall, RPI 19, SoS 5... If we win 5 of 9 remaining games we're in no doubt, we win 4 of 9 with ~ RPI and SoS- highly likely we are in as well. Need to win the series at USCe, avoid sweep at Austin and get 2 vs Bama at home. That's 13 wins... and in.