Welcome home, fellow Gator.

The Gator Nation's oldest and most active insider community
Join today!

(SB) Ongoing UF Softball Commentary

Discussion in 'GatorGrowl's Diamond Gators' started by ocalaman, Feb 20, 2022.

  1. huunterhound

    huunterhound All American

    306
    46
    118
    Mar 28, 2024
    Oklahoma pitching looking very suspect vs Carolina
     
    • Agree Agree x 4
  2. alysb21

    alysb21 GC Hall of Fame

    1,162
    364
    1,758
    Jan 8, 2019
    It is. You'll see Lowry who faced off against Rothrock in high school next game i imagine.
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  3. UFreak

    UFreak VIP Member

    5,847
    422
    578
    Apr 8, 2007
    Gainesville, FL
    Idk, man. If anything, winning this series away vs. the No. 4 team in the country without your ace would suggest otherwise.
    This team is really good and winning without your ace to open conference play will do loads for this team's confidence.
     
    • Agree Agree x 4
    • Like Like x 3
    • Winner Winner x 2
  4. LTG61

    LTG61 GC Hall of Fame

    1,019
    234
    1,803
    Apr 10, 2007
    I wasn't one who said it, because it's an over-reaction to say "never" about any athlete early in their career. However, I watched her really struggle in her appearances in Phoenix. It wasn't just the control issue; she got hit hard, too.

    Be that as it may, one of my favorite things about UF softball is that we get to witness the ups and downs as these players improve right in front of our eyes. Today's performance was obviously one she'll build on.
     
    • Agree Agree x 4
    • Like Like x 2
  5. apkgator

    apkgator GC Hall of Fame

    10,780
    2,220
    3,238
    Apr 3, 2007
    Hammock is a senior....so its only early in her uf career. She has really good stuff....but she just struggles to hit her spots. That leads to free bases or just grooving the pitch to get a strike when the wildness hits. She is a good change of pace option, but walking 2 in the bottom of 7 had anybody watching holding their breath.
     
    • Agree Agree x 3
  6. ufjaz

    ufjaz GC Legend

    689
    108
    1,768
    Jan 3, 2010
    Sahuarita AZ
    Did you see CTW's beaming grin ear to ear when he went to the circle after the 3rd out? He patted her on the back - very celebratory!!
     
    • Like x 4
    • Agree x 2
    • Winner x 1
    • Friendly x 1
    • Best Post Ever x 1
  7. Porschegator

    Porschegator GC Hall of Fame

    1,121
    501
    1,793
    Aug 15, 2016
    Canton Ohio
    So much for Warren Nolan's computer predicting the Gators would get swept. I'm also looking forward to rtins67 next post. This is the guy that said Florida had no chance against A&M without Rothrock. I'm not sure we will be hearing from him for a while or maybe never. I'll bet that brings tears to your eyes.
     
    • Agree Agree x 6
    • Like Like x 3
    • Winner Winner x 2
  8. jaxg8r

    jaxg8r VIP Member

    702
    252
    1,848
    Jan 21, 2008
    Hammock's jubilant smile following the great catches by Falby and Otis was telling. Her relief at finally being able to contribute at an SEC level had to feel good. Hopefully, we'll see a more confident pitcher moving forward.
     
    • Agree Agree x 10
    • Like Like x 1
  9. GatorRade

    GatorRade Rad Scientist

    8,920
    1,695
    1,478
    Apr 3, 2007
    Right here
    Nolan’s computer actually predicted Florida would sweep TAMU. (Technically, it predicted a 61% Florida would win each game, so it really predicted Florida would win 2 of 3 games).
     
  10. ocalaman

    ocalaman GC Hall of Fame

    9,321
    3,635
    2,498
    Jun 30, 2018
    I looked at Warren Nolan's several times before the series started and it changed its prediction multiple times. IF you looked at each day the 3 games were played each time, one time is showed TAMU winning 2 of 3, then another time TAMU sweeping and then anohter time Florida winning 2 of 3. I neve saw it predicting a Florida sweep, but it wouldn't surprise me. There are a lot of good things about Nolan's website, but that winner's prediction thing is meaningless, IMO. Just fooder for conversation, which is good I guess.
     
    • Agree Agree x 2
    • Informative Informative x 1
  11. ocalaman

    ocalaman GC Hall of Fame

    9,321
    3,635
    2,498
    Jun 30, 2018
    Oklahoma swept previously undefeated South Carolina this weekend. 10-9, 10-9, 2-1. Too bad.
     
    • Informative Informative x 3
    • Agree Agree x 1
    • Funny Funny x 1
  12. GatorRade

    GatorRade Rad Scientist

    8,920
    1,695
    1,478
    Apr 3, 2007
    Right here
    That’s really interesting, Ocala. I looked more and saw similar variation over time and day. Not sure why a model’s predictions would bounce so wildly at this point in the season. Currently, Florida is expected to beat Texas 3-2 on Saturday, lose 5-4 on Sunday, and then get walloped 8-3 on Monday. There is clearly something wrong with the predictive function, as expecting those three outcomes to be so different is unfathomable.

    Massey’s model is acting more sensibly, predicting a toss up in each game of the Texas series.

    Massey Ratings - University of Florida Gators
     
  13. Bryan85

    Bryan85 GC Hall of Fame

    2,251
    58
    153
    Aug 27, 2007
    Another amazing call by The Florida Coach in yesterday's game, pulling Ms. Otis in the 7th and pinch hitting for her. She's an All-America, 1st team All SEC who's hitting about .400, isn't she? The pinch hitter, Ms. Comia is a freshman who has had about 30 total college at bats and has never faced an SEC pitcher in a real game, much less the last inning of a one run game. Believe she got behind in the count at 0-2. Next pitch is about ankle high which she reaches for and hits just over the reach of the shortstop for a single that advances the runner at 2nd, Ms. Shumaker to 3rd.
    Ms. Walsh, up next lifts a "can of corn" to deep center, knocking in the run. An extra run in the last inning really takes some presure off of your pitcher, doesn't it?
    I think it does.
     
    • Like Like x 4
    • Agree Agree x 3
  14. ocalaman

    ocalaman GC Hall of Fame

    9,321
    3,635
    2,498
    Jun 30, 2018
    Agree - And then Korbe makes the great catch to end the game. Shows she is a total team player who never lost focus.
     
    • Like Like x 3
    • Agree Agree x 2
  15. willum6677

    willum6677 Junior

    147
    87
    178
    May 23, 2023
    Warren Nolan’s statistical model, at this time of the year, is using data built from game results and team records from the preseason and has little value. It will improve over the season and likely predict series results fairly accurately. Individual game winners on predicted split series are just statistical guesses. Scores are worthless. This is all complicated by the frequent computer adjustments which are designed to make the predictions look better.
    You can probably do better than WN by looking at the SEC series each week and predicting series winners and sweeps.
     
    • Agree Agree x 2
    • Like Like x 1
    • Fistbump/Thanks! Fistbump/Thanks! x 1
  16. paidinfull

    paidinfull GC Hall of Fame

    7,213
    1,765
    2,538
    Feb 22, 2017
    The models just don’t have enough good data this early in the season. They get more accurate later in the season. It’s still trying to predict the future and that is generally a futile experiment, but this time of year the data is just bad. Too many cupcake games and crazy outcomes to reliably predict off of.
     
    • Like Like x 1
    • Fistbump/Thanks! Fistbump/Thanks! x 1
  17. paidinfull

    paidinfull GC Hall of Fame

    7,213
    1,765
    2,538
    Feb 22, 2017
    Probably should have read your post before I posted. You said what I was trying to say.
     
  18. willum6677

    willum6677 Junior

    147
    87
    178
    May 23, 2023
    Same obversation. Great minds thinking alike!
     
    • Funny Funny x 1
    • Wish I would have said that Wish I would have said that x 1
  19. eilidh

    eilidh Recruit

    2
    4
    1,663
    Monday
    Hello Everyone!

    Probably not the right way to go about this but I am new here! I'm a massive Gator softball fan from the UK who has taken the plunge to plan a once in a lifetime trip to Florida around a softball series! I'm super excited to to head over and finally be part of the enjoyment in person! Any advice for an international fan's first live fast pitch softball game and the general UF/gators experience?
     
    • Like Like x 4
    • Fistbump/Thanks! Fistbump/Thanks! x 1
  20. WESGATORS

    WESGATORS Moderator VIP Member

    22,845
    1,470
    2,008
    Apr 3, 2007
    The only logical answer is that it factors in triples and triples allowed.

    Go GATORS!
    ,WESGATORS
     
    • Funny Funny x 2