I think most people don’t follow forums like Too Hot, and are informed or interested in being informed in micro political discussions. I think most people, in 30 days, will opine the President’s 60 day performance based on a single-metric — how’s the economy doing and how’s it look for the imminent future. On Friday the stock market took a nosedive. Today, it’s expected to have a nice recovery. Americans have short term memory and short term vision. And so I don’t think there’ll be any conclusions in the 30 days.
This Friday is the inflation report. Will be a constant focus this year.. again. It's expected to be low after a few months of higher inflation. A deviation from that could be worrisome. Dow Jones Futures Rise Ahead Of Inflation Data; Nvidia Dived To Key Level Personal consumption expenditure headline this week's economic data. The Federal Reserve's primary inflation rate and part of the Commerce Department's personal income and outlays report, PCE is due Friday, Disinflation progress tops Wall Street's wishlist, giving the Fed leeway to look past any temporary rise in prices due to tariffs. PCE is likely to be soft, following strong gains in recent months and a pullback in January retail sales.
Carville 2016- Boy be nailed that one. Yawn once again I’m old enough to remember when the left would crank this stuff out and claim it original and intellectual thought. Ohhh the brilliance of carville. Sure man. Guy just plagiarizing his own stuff from a decade ago James Carville: It’s hard to look at it right now and come to any other conclusion than it is going to be a pretty sizable win for the Democrats. It’s pretty hard to see anything else. No one knows how much damage that Trump is going to cause the Republican Party beyond 2016. It is really something, to watch a party just march right over a cliff, and no one can stop them. James Carville: The Republican Party Is Committing Suicide
By the way your thread title violates new rules of "no nicknames" in thread titles. Not my rule. I liked Orange Skidmark titles that G8rt had going.
I think the major recession that Trump is going to bring us will ultimately take care of the inflation problem.
I think the number of moderators for this place has plummeted almost as fast as Trump’s approval ratings.
President Krasnov just voted against a UN resolution condemning Russia's invasion of Ukraine. It carried easily, but the US voting alongside Russia, North Korea, etc. can only be explained by Trump being an agent of the Kremlin as ex-KGB officials indicated.
About the same number overall, but representation has shifted and is now weighted to favor the MAGA contingent.
If Trump/Musk fire or enough IRS employees resign to where it affects returns, I see that being a big hit for the president. This is probably a good time to pull back somewhat on paying taxes during the year to where you “owe” rather than have a return coming. My wife and I pay a little every year rather than receive a return. In the end it’s the same either way. I would also be a good time to cheat if there are not sufficient employees to audit returns.
There is also the barrier of admitting you were wrong. I don't see that happening, especially with double-down that is Trump.
Carville writing in the NYT: Opinion | James Carville: It’s Time for a Daring Political Maneuver, Democrats
Seems to me automation, especially AI, should yield an environment where fewer humans are needed at the IRS. Heck, simplification of the IRC would likely facilitate a 50% reduction in IRS headcount. These changes should be the focus of the federal government ….. not the hiring of more liberal arts majors at the IRS.
To be fair James, it was your boy Clinton and his Goldman Sachs henchman Robert Rubin who laid the foundation for 2008. That Bush went along with it is hardly surprising, but let's not kid ourselves with respect to who gutted financial regulations in the first place. Obviously, when you capture the opposition it's going to be a free-for-all and that's exactly what we got in the Clinton administration. Voted for him twice. Most regrettable votes of my life. If it had a time machine, I'd figure out a way to go back and kill him. Seriously. World would be a much better place if Bush 1.0 had gotten a second term. Perhaps the last good POTUS in US history. Everything since has been utter disaster.
Opinion polls 30 days from now don't really matter much IMO. They will certainly start to mean something as we get closer to the midterms.
While opinion polls become more meaningful as we get closer to the midterms, polls over the next two or three months and especially six months from now could be indicative of a trend.
I think they are too drunk on power and in too much of a frenzy to enact p25 to give a damn about polls.
