2026 Midterms - pucker up edition

The rich tech sector will overwhelm the Dems in fundraising... They have no chance of making meaningful seat gains in 2026.

 

I'm assuming you mean the Senate and not the House.

 

Russian, Chinese and North Korean hackers are probably doing high fives.

 

LOL. I love how it's accepted as fact, and tolerated, that foreign interference in our elections is done for the benefit of the Republican party. And we all watch the dismantling of the experts tasked with preventing such interference, and we're all like "Oh. Yeah, well....yeah." (at least the majority of Americans are. And all Trumppublicans)

Obviously I don't "love" this, but everyone here has to admit that it's funny as ****EditedBadWord***.

I mean - the Republican party dismantled the "anti-foreign influence police" ..... and Russians (and probably others) are basically a wing of the GOP .......
.... and you Trump voters somehow consider yourselves pro-America.

Hilarious.

 

Fixed it for you;

Russian, Chinese and North Korean hackers and Republican lobbyists and the Trump family are probably doing high fives.

 

A little early to claim anything at this point. As ive said earlier, the dems need to disappear and let this unfold. Pubs own everything that happens in 2025.

Trump will have a grace period until the fall, then if things dont improve or get worse, sentiment to move on from him will start to grow on the republican side since hes a lame duck. Pubs are following until they get re-elected in 2026 or if they feel like Trump hurts their chances, that choice is still TBD.

Right now it doesnt look good for Democrats in 2026, unless we roll into a recession or inflation continues to hamper the economy, both are very possible.

 

^This.

Because the majority of Americans have zero concern for Trump and Musk flagrantly flouting the law.

(But we obviously knew that already.)

 

The side effects will be felt from DOGE years if not decades after the cuts, unless we go into recession. Then it's part of the narrative the Dems can use. Right now the public hate federal workers, 4 years ago they hated Trump and elected Biden. The winds will shift again, just takes time.

 

Moronic. Last Trump midterm he lost 40 seats. He has a 3 seat advantage.

 

If Donny does what he wants, we will probably be in a recession by the end of the year with high unemployment and high inflation ... and dems will easily be able to pin that entirely on him. Elon Musk won't be able to buy those voters again.

 

Ladies and gentlemen, you heard it here first : THERE WILL BE NO RECESSION early enough to impact the midterms. (absent some unexpected disastrous new factor)

We've seen the Trump playbook: borrow against the future for present consumption/credit in every way possible; spending, interest rates, govt hiring, services. Then scurry away before the bills come due. It's the Republican playbook on steroids.

We've seen it before, and the voters aren't informed or intelligent enough to recognize it. The financial markets are, but it's beneficial to them in the immediate/short term.

THEN; there probably will be some kind of Trump-induced calamity prior to 2028 (recession, covid-type, military) ..... and the American voters will get to choose between a lying Trump-lite, like Desantis or Vance ..... who is allowed to repeat the same dishonest gibberish from 2024 .... and a Dem candidate who is held to rational standards. And God forbid that candidate be a woman.


In short, America is (still) screwed.*

*Just like I told ya in early '24.

 

My big caveat in saying there might be a recession by the end of the year is "if Trump does what he wants" -- inflation driven by tariffs and deporting cheap labor, mass government lay offs driving unemployment, even the smaller stuff like cuts in medical research and education can have snowball effects across the economy. There are 100s of examples that will all add up. It's possible he'll get talked out of it all by smarter people. But we've already seen inflation creeping back up, a pause in rate cuts hurting real estate and construction, consumers tightening their belts, and mass lay offs starting not just in government, but in tech -- the next couple jobs reports might cause some market panic. But on the flip side, Trump's tariffs have so far lasted 15 minutes, so whether or not he has the balls to make his ideas stick remains to be seen.

 

I think they all realize that the AI "pie" is big enough for all of them to enjoy.

 

Still predicting a blue wave in 2026. First, the party out of power almost always picks up seats in the House in the first midterm following a presidential election. The one exception was 2002 when the Republicans picked up seats in the House by targeting incumbent Democrats who voted against establishing the Department of Homeland Security keeping in mind that the 2002 midterms took place barely a year following the 9-11 terrorist attack on WTC in which almost 3,000 Americans were killed. Secondly, Trump's tariffs are very likely to increase the rate of inflation. It was inflation that was responsible for the political demise of Joe Biden and Jimmy Carter over 40 years earlier. Although it's actually popular right now the mass firing of Federal employees and the termination of federal contracts in effect firing their employees could very well have a negative impact both directly and indirectly. As Joni Mitchell sang in her song "Big Yellow Taxi" with the line "you don't what you've got till it's gone" a lot of Americans are going to find what happens when the federal government becomes even less efficient that it is now as the result of massive understaffing and although virtually no one is mentioning it now reducing employment by a number in the six figures is virtually certain to have a significant negative macroeconomic impact. Demand is virtually certain to drop resulting in layoffs across the economy. Voters are going to find out that co-President Musk's success at running businesses does not necessarily translate into sound national economic policy.

 

Still praying for a military coup and modern-day Sulla.