One thing that is evident from early returns is that y'all think Spoiler: Don't look if you haven't yet ranked Bama should be the #1 team in this group.
Another thing that is evident is that y'all think Spoiler: Don't look if you haven't ranked Florida should be at or near the bottom.
If they are who I think they are 2 of their losses are away from home to Top 10 teams and they have a really good road victory.
The schedule we have played so far is the weakest of the bunch, and we have only the one marquee victory, which is looking less impressive by the day recently. We now have the opportunity, over our next four games, to loudly and clearly establish ourselves as the best team in the country. Even going 2-2 would be impressive and show that we are at least top-4, if not better, depending on how close the losses are and whom we beat.
Spoiler: Kenpom and NET Order of the Teams 1) Houston 2) Duke 3) Florida 4) Alabama 5) Marquette 6) Michigan St In case you’re on a device that does not show the spoiler label, the list above is kenpom and NET order for the six teams. Below is the composite order selected by the respondents. Spoiler: Composite order according to Y'all 1) Alabama 2) Duke 3) Marquette 4) Michigan St 5) Houston 6) Florida Obviously the data points are limited and not all Q1 wins/losses are equal. I found it interesting how low KP & NET had two of the teams in particular.
mind = blown but yes not all Quad 1 wins are the same nor are the other wins - and they don't count margins for example. 5 of our 18 wins have been by 30 points or more (1 was by 40). that said, we're going to find out a LOT about our team in the next 11 days
Right. KenPom is all about margin of victory, where a one pt win and one pt loss are almost the same outcome. Meanwhile, a seeding committee using only data like Davis’ would treat those two outcomes as categorically different.
I am a stats junkie so I could figure out or at least make a good guess for every team and know where they were on NET and KenPom. I didn't have to "peek". I check the NET ranking and Pomeroy ranking every morning and I pay extra to Ken to get the full downloads on every team. I used that knowledge to make my picks. Right now Houston is very underrated by the bracketologists as a 3 seed. I like them better than Iowa State. Maybe they have been moved to the 2 line by some. Added in edit: Duke is very good and probably deserve a 1 seed but I suspect they will be the overall #1 seed in The Dance, They might very likely run the table is a very weak ACC and they have a HUGE win over Auburn. And they are Duke. Hard not not pick them as the overall #1. They were the overall #1 in 2000. LOL.
At first glance, Michigan St (kenpom #13 / NET #16) looks highly underrated. They have five Q1 wins, but looking more closely, their victory against Illinois is the only marquee win. Then again, how many marquee wins do the Gators have?