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IMF: US economy robust growth in 2024 & 2025

Discussion in 'Too Hot for Swamp Gas' started by ursidman, Jan 17, 2025.

  1. ursidman

    ursidman VIP Member

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    This seems evidentto most of the world. Good job numbers, rising wages and increasing GNP. Leads the developed world. Good news

    I.M.F. Raises U.S. Economic Forecast as Other Regions Lag

    It is projecting 2.7 percent growth for 2025. But uncertainty about pending Trump policies looms over the global economic trajectory.

    https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/imf-lifts-us-growth-forecast-marks-down-china-sees-lackluster-global-economy-2024-10-22/#:~:text=CONSUMER STRENGTH,rising wages and asset prices.

    US remains engine of global growth in latest IMF forecasts

    WASHINGTON, Oct 22 (Reuters) - The U.S. economy will continue to provide most of the thrust for global growth through the balance of this year and in 2025, led by robust consumer spending that has held up through a wrenching bout of inflation and the high interest rates used to tame it, the International Monetary Fund said on Tuesday.
    In its latest World Economic Outlook, the IMF raised its 2024 and 2025 economic growth forecasts for the U.S. - the only developed economy to see its outlook marked up for both years - and its chief economist said the "soft landing" sought by the Federal Reserve in which inflation eases without big damage to the job market had largely been achieved.

     
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  2. coleg

    coleg GC Hall of Fame

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    In before the maggats claim the economy was so robust because the felon was a candidate for office! LOL
     
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  3. CHFG8R

    CHFG8R GC Hall of Fame

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    Who cares what they say? As I've said before, MAGA is just a drunk tailgate shouting at opposing fans as they go by. And should be treated as such.
     
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  4. duggers_dad

    duggers_dad GC Hall of Fame

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    If we keep saying the economy is robust than maybe untold scores of millions of American households will stop struggling.
     
  5. CHFG8R

    CHFG8R GC Hall of Fame

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    Aww look, someone got mad because we don't take them seriously. Waaa!

    Get used to it!
     
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  6. rivergator

    rivergator Too Hot Mod Moderator VIP Member

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    Economy is great. Lets rag on people!
     
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  7. G8trGr8t

    G8trGr8t Premium Member

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    Someone forgot to tell the voters
     
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  8. rivergator

    rivergator Too Hot Mod Moderator VIP Member

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    I know we’ve discussed that disconnect before. And I know some of it was just political. But not all.
    The opinion out there was clearly that the country has been struggling economically. You’d have thought there were bread lines
     
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  9. citygator

    citygator VIP Member

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    The disconnect is that a robust economy NEVER works for the working class. They just care less it isn’t working when you can blame brown immigrants vs white capitalists.
     
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  10. chemgator

    chemgator GC Hall of Fame

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    The one group that has not been doing well since the economy recovered from the 2008 Great Recession is the working poor. And that is simply because the federal minimum wage has not increased since 2007. In terms of purchasing power, they have seen their income reduced by 30% or more by inflation. Many of the wealthier states have increased minimum wage well beyond that of the federal standard, but that is because those states are more expensive to live in. Harris probably had an easy pathway to the White House by offering to make raising the minimum wage a priority in her administration (and bringing forth a specific plan), but she blew it. A total of 6.7% of Americans earn $15-25k/yr, and would be impacted by a raise in the minimum wage. (She would have had to figure out that the raises had to be incremental over a 20-year period, and not an overnight raise, which would destroy many of the jobs and upset the economy.) She thought she had enough votes to win without the 6.7%, so she let Trump have those votes. She did well with the college-educated voters, but it just wasn't enough.
     
  11. G8trGr8t

    G8trGr8t Premium Member

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    it worked in the 50's and 60's. when top income rates were above 70% and yet millionaires were still growing their wealth while paying for things that made life better for working class people.
     
  12. CaptUSMCNole

    CaptUSMCNole Premium Member

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    I think that is a product of the fact that inflation hits the poor and the working class the hardest. And just because inflation has gone down does not mean that prices have gone back down to what they were in '19 or '20.

    If the price of gas can get back down to about $2.15 to $2.45 that would like start helping working folks feel like things are getting better. It will be interesting to have historians look back on Biden's Admin and study how his energy policies impacted gas prices and the affect that could have had in helping to slow inflation seeing as the Green New Deal ended up as the Inflation Reduction Act that spurred inflation.
     
    Last edited: Jan 18, 2025
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  13. CaptUSMCNole

    CaptUSMCNole Premium Member

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    So you are advocating for a 70% top income tax starting at what income level?
     
  14. G8trGr8t

    G8trGr8t Premium Member

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    i am merely stating that from 1932 until 1981, now that I look, the top rate was at or above 70%. Just a historical fact. and our economy continued to grow and innovate. less global competition then I understand. that additional funding paid for things that made life better then without driving up big national debt that then siphons interest.

    why is it that until 81, we could have such high rates on the top earners, with less loopholes, and yet they still prospered. The economic disparity is going to lead to social unrest. I would prefer to avoid that. Some would seem to crave it just to say I told you that you needed to be armed to the teeth

    what would inflation adjusted income for the 70% threshold in 1980 be?
    Historical Income Tax Rates | Wolters Kluwer
    upload_2025-1-18_17-32-26.png
     
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  15. CaptUSMCNole

    CaptUSMCNole Premium Member

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    In 1981 a married couple would pay 70% on anything above $215,400 and a single filer would pay 70% on anything over $107,700. According to a google search, $1 in 1981 would be worth $3.47 today. So a 70% tax rate in '25 based on 1981 tax rates would start at around $744,000 for married couples and $372,000 for a single filer. So are those the income levels that a 70% tax rate should start at?

    Historical Federal Individual Income Tax Rates & Brackets, 1862-2021

    $1 in 1981 → 2025 | Inflation Calculator
     
    Last edited: Jan 18, 2025
  16. citygator

    citygator VIP Member

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    Well true. But hasn’t worked in 75 years though.
     
  17. demosthenes

    demosthenes Premium Member

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    Workers have been getting a smaller cut of the pie since the 1950s too. I don’t have the information for all the executives but looking at CEOs their pay was on average 20x their median worker’s salary in the 1950s. It’s now in excess of 300x.
     
  18. G8trGr8t

    G8trGr8t Premium Member

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    Probably 20x fewer CEOs too with all the consolidation