Presidential election results - please put all results here

Gracious in victory.

 

Kamala never led.

 

Hispanics outvoted blacks

 

Ipsos and YouGov "suck."

 

Big props to right wing Rasmussen (Mark Mitchell) who nailed it
On his X account Mitchell says Rich Barris isn't getting the credit he deserves (BigDataPoll). Baris never had Kamala leading.

Others who nailed it are all the top polls I highlighted this yesr: AtlasIntel, InsiderAdvantage, Quantus Insights and Trafalgar. TIPP (mentioned by Okee) did well too

The MSM polls? Not so great

 

For the Nate Silver followers

 

In 2012 Mitt Romney couldn't carry Paul Ryan's congressional district. In 2024:

 

Rich Baris was reporting this for months. If you were thinking clearly you might have asked yourself, " Where is Kamala going to go to make up for these losses?" There was almost nowhere for her to go. Bad things can always happen. There are no guarantees. Pro bettors deal in probabilities. That said, the smart money did well on this election

 

Wait. I thought they raised so much money. Perhaps Hollywood should pay the debt. Or the cat lady, Taylor Swift

 

Yesterday, Trump surpassed his 2020 popular vote count and is headed higher.

 

Yes, he did, by about 400,000 out of approximately 150 million total votes cast and he still didn't come remotely close to Biden's total in 2020. While Trump has much more of a mandate than he had following the 2016 election his margin of victory in both the EC and popular vote was lower than Biden's in 2020, Obama's in 2008 and 2012 and Clinton's in 1992 and 1996 and that's going back 32 years. Going back further Trump's margins of victory was also lower than George H.W. Bush's in 1988 and considerably lower than Reagan's landslides of 1980 and 1984. That being said even with his relatively narrow margin of victory when considered in historic context combined with a 54-46 Senate majority and a probable very narrow House majority he still has the potential to do incalculable damage.

 

Four Things:

-Biden didn't come close to his total running from his basement in 2020 either.

-When the dust settles in Pennsylvania, it'll be 53-45-2 in the Senate with King and Sanders caucusing with the democrats.

-The republicans lost a House incumbent from California 27 that I thought was going to be a win. It's looking more and more like the final tote in the House will be 221 republicans and 214 democrats.

-Trump will be in Washington on Wednesday to influence the Senate to select Rick Scott as Majority Leader of the Senate, errrr, I mean to meet with Biden in the WH, probably to thank Biden for his help in winning the election. Besides Rick Scott running for Senate Majority Leader, John Cornyn and John Thune are running. Cornyn and Thune are not MAGA, are part of Mitch McConnell's leadership team, and will not be open to Trump's MAGA agenda. Thune went on a talk show after the election warning Trump to stay out of the Senate election. I hope Trump privately kicks Thune in his nads while he is in Washington. Trump's ability "to do incalculable good" starts on Wednesday with the election of Rick Scott as Republican Majority Leader.

 

Trump broke history …

Trump Takes AZ, Completes Sweep Of All Swing States; CNN Says Victory Was So Massive He "Broke History" | ZeroHedge

 

Broke history?
2024 Trump - Trump received 50.5% of the popular vote and 312 electoral votes
2008 Obama - Obama received 52.9% of the popular vote and 365 electoral college votes
2012 Obama - 51.1% of the popular vote and 332 electoral votes

 

Maybe read the article which outlines the superlatives ?

 

Not taking anything away from Trump his victory was significant in part because it was surprising especially his majority of the popular vote which was completely unexpected it wasn't remotely a blowout. He barely got over 50% of the vote and beat Harris by a 2.5% margin. Giving him and the Republicans credit for flipping four Senate seats, the Republican majority is 54-46. In 2008 Obama beat McCain by a 7.2% margin. After the 2008 election the Democrats held 59 seats in the Senate, 60 if Bernie Sanders nominally an independent/socialist is counted as a Democrat. After the 2008 election the Democrats held 257 House seats. Even if the Republicans hold their current House majority their number of House seats will be in the 218 to 222 range. Also before gloating keep in mind that two years later the Republicans gained 63 House seats. I expect a similar and reverse result in 2026 with the Democrats sweeping a wave election. Voters who elected Trump and the Republicans to "right the economy" as they see it will not only be severely disappointed, they will be worse off than they are now.

 

I highly doubt that there will be recompense in 2026.

 

Florida counted 90% of its votes in one hour.

California at around 70% now.

 

Now that’s comedy!
Thank you for the laugh this morning.