Trump vs. Harris - Please put all new polls here.

Ooops, new Quinnipiac with a small 2.1 percent MoE dropped today:

 

I think that was related to an incident in Bucks county that happened yesterday that had to do with cutting off in person mail in ballot requests ending early on the last day for it. A typical over the top reaction from Trump.

Trump campaign sues a Pennsylvania county to extend mail ballot application deadline amid long lines

Seeing that Republicans were able to get the deadline extend to Friday, Nov 1 on Twitter.

 

You never know if what you read online is true. I saw some of the videos and still withheld judgment. But this ruling pretty much confirms it... Not a good look at all, no matter which side you're on.

https://www.reuters.com/legal/judge...llot-deadline-after-trump-lawsuit-2024-10-30/

 

+2 R in that poll that shows Trump at +1 when you factor all candidates. Trump is in trouble

 

Ouuuuchh..

 

50/50 county… not sure why extending the mail in ballot deadline by 2 days hurts or helps ether candidate.

 

This race is a toss up on paper, but Nate Silver is floating the idea that pollsters are steering it that way so they won’t be “wrong”…. Will be interesting to see what happens… if the polls are way off again and one candidate blows it out, I think we can official write the polls off as worthless in the iPhone era….

 

They likely aren’t. This was the 2020 CNN exit poll, they used an R+5 sample too. If anything with the movement the last 4 years it might be under sampling them.

Wisconsin 2020 President exit polls.

 

I never said it did. This was more about the fact the Trump campaign sued a crucial county's election board in a crucial swing state for not following election law and won the suit.

 

In light of what you've stated, it's interesting the CNN poll released today for Wisconsin showing Harris +6 sampled the same amount of Dems as GOP. Hmmm...

"Wisconsin Results for the Wisconsin sample have a margin of sampling error of +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results for likely Wisconsin voters have a margin of sampling error of +/- 4.8 percentage points. Among the Wisconsin sample, 34% described themselves as Democrats, 34% described themselves as Republicans, and 32% described themselves as independents or members of another party."

https://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/25260111/cnn-polls-in-michigan-pennsylvania-and-wisconsin.pdf

 

Now that we know the screenshot was doctored I hope that the person that posted that decides to delete their post

 

From what I read, it was something like at 2:45PM they had so many people in line they would go past the 5PM cut off, so they stopped allowing more people to get in line ...

Probably not the best way to handle it. Generally, if you are in line by the cut off time, you should be allowed to vote or do whatever.

 

It was 1:45pm. So over three hours earlier than the cut off. Pretty flagrant. The line wasn't exactly wrapped around the block in the video I saw either.

 

Look what the cat dragged in! I didn’t think we’d ever see you again after the mid-terms.

 

lol.. I give the Dems credit for their GOTV efforts in 2022 in the big races there. I doubt we get a repeat of that in a POTUS year with Trump on the ballot and with the GOP having a good GOTV effort in 2024 along with the PACs etc also.

 

They said it takes about 10 minutes per person because it's their form of early voting... you apply for a mail in ballot, they give it you on the spot, can then fill it out, and hand "deliver" it back to them. It's apparently a slow an inefficient way to do it, but that's what Penn. has...

Also, everything I'm reading say 2:45 ....

Bucks County staff did offer mail-in ballot applications for some of those turned away from the line, but the lawsuit claims that not everyone had that opportunity after security officers shut down the line around 2:45 p.m.

 

Video I saw was at 1:45pm. Either way.. flagrant.

 

I agree, it shouldn't have happened. My position is ALWAYS that voting should be easy and convenient, and every vote should be collected and counted, even for the dopes that wait 'til the last minute and end up casting it past the official cut off time ... I'm proud of you for coming around to my side on this issue ...

 

From what I have read, and it is about 10 to 15 minutes reading articles linked from Twitter so obviously take it with a grant of salt, the issue was that people were promised if you were in line by 5 you were able to get an in person vote by mail ballot but today was the last day. Once the officers put the sign out at 2:45, there were a lot of people showing up saying: "WTF?! I made a plan to be here by 5 and they cut it off 2 1/4 hour early? How can they do that!"

 

Debunked. Please post responsibly.