Welcome home, fellow Gator.

The Gator Nation's oldest and most active insider community
Join today!
  1. Gator Country Black Friday special!

    Now's a great time to join or renew and get $20 off your annual VIP subscription! LIMITED QUANTITIES -- for details click here.

The election betting thread

Discussion in 'Too Hot for Swamp Gas' started by sflagator, Oct 28, 2024.

  1. sflagator

    sflagator VIP Member Trusted GC Insider

    14,962
    9,718
    3,453
    Apr 3, 2007
    MAGA fans and cultists, put your money with your mouth is:

    After a lunch with my ex employee who now works for the legislature and a GOP polling contractor, I am prepared to bet anyone here almost any amount of money that Harris wins this election

    Rules:

    Harris declared winner by any two of CNN, FOX, or BBC you pay me

    Trump declared winner by any two of CNN, FOX, or BBC I pay you

    Claims of voter fraud or whatever by either side do not void obligation to pay.

    All bets held by a third party to ensure payment.

    Any takers?
     
    • Like Like x 6
    • Funny Funny x 4
    • Dislike Dislike x 1
    • Optimistic Optimistic x 1
  2. sierragator

    sierragator GC Hall of Fame

    15,372
    13,238
    1,853
    Apr 8, 2007
    Popcorn please.
     
    • Funny Funny x 3
  3. danmanne65

    danmanne65 GC Hall of Fame

    3,943
    829
    268
    Jul 2, 2022
    DeLand
    I think this is brilliant but you know no one is going to take you up on this. The pro Trump people aren’t smart enough or rich enough to do this.
     
    • Funny Funny x 1
  4. sflagator

    sflagator VIP Member Trusted GC Insider

    14,962
    9,718
    3,453
    Apr 3, 2007
    We'll see. The rules are fair.
     
    • Dislike Dislike x 1
    • Agree Agree x 1
  5. BigCypressGator1981

    BigCypressGator1981 GC Hall of Fame

    6,707
    1,374
    3,103
    Oct 11, 2011
    @vegasfox

    get in here. You ain’t gonna get better odds than this Mr. professional gambler.
     
    • Funny Funny x 3
    • Dislike Dislike x 1
  6. obgator

    obgator GC Hall of Fame

    1,803
    1,346
    2,103
    Apr 3, 2007
    I volunteer to be the third party to hold the payments :rolleyes:
     
    • Funny Funny x 4
    • Like Like x 1
  7. gatordavisl

    gatordavisl VIP Member

    32,043
    54,965
    3,753
    Apr 8, 2007
    northern MN
    I hear that @buckeyegator bets with integrity and pays debts in a timely fashion.
     
    • Funny Funny x 8
    • Like Like x 1
  8. ursidman

    ursidman VIP Member

    14,153
    22,611
    3,348
    Sep 27, 2007
    Bug Tussle NC
    What info did he have to make you confident? Care to spill?
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
    • Wish I would have said that Wish I would have said that x 1
  9. sflagator

    sflagator VIP Member Trusted GC Insider

    14,962
    9,718
    3,453
    Apr 3, 2007
    Just that their internal polling indicates they're screwed (but not in NC, where they expect to squeeze out a win), but that the RNC wont accept any real polling so they geek the "red leaning" polls to show the results Lara and the RNC want. This way at least they can still get paid. To be fair he didn't say this verbatim but it wasn't hard to get the gist.

    Also confirmed the polling is super questionable to begin with.

    Maybe I read it completely wrong in which case every MAGA chud here should take this bet.
     
    • Fistbump/Thanks! Fistbump/Thanks! x 2
    • Like Like x 1
    • Dislike Dislike x 1
    • Funny Funny x 1
  10. okeechobee

    okeechobee GC Hall of Fame

    10,316
    1,348
    678
    Sep 11, 2022
    Who’s the 3rd party?
     
  11. HeyItsMe

    HeyItsMe GC Hall of Fame

    1,825
    537
    2,088
    Mar 7, 2009
    Yep, and this is what I’ve said from the beginning when the betting markets and polling magically skewed towards Trump out of nowhere over night. It’s clear there was massive manipulation going on from the right to make it seem like he’s leading big so they can make baseless claims of election fraud out of nowhere. Know how a poll shouldn’t be taken seriously? When they tell you it’s 50/50 in the popular vote. Know why Harris and Walz have been in places like Kentucky and Texas lately instead? Because I guarantee they have internal polls that show that they are going to landslide Trump in this election so they can turn their focus to state level races in those states where dems have a solid chance at winning.

    Harris is going to win and it won’t be close, as I’ve said since she entered the race.
     
    • Dislike Dislike x 1
    • Informative Informative x 1
    • Optimistic Optimistic x 1
  12. sflagator

    sflagator VIP Member Trusted GC Insider

    14,962
    9,718
    3,453
    Apr 3, 2007
    you volunteering?
     
    • Dislike Dislike x 1
  13. danmanne65

    danmanne65 GC Hall of Fame

    3,943
    829
    268
    Jul 2, 2022
    DeLand
    So still no takers? Or maybe the Trumpers are betting in private messages. lol
     
    • Dislike Dislike x 1
    • Funny Funny x 1
  14. okeechobee

    okeechobee GC Hall of Fame

    10,316
    1,348
    678
    Sep 11, 2022
    Seems like that would be an important detail of your initial proposal and you’re being evasive about it when pressed. I hope you’re not attempting to scam someone.
     
  15. oragator1

    oragator1 Premium Member

    23,080
    5,704
    3,488
    Apr 3, 2007
    Semi off topic of what will become an ugly thread in a page or 2, but now I’ve seen from both sides they think NC is the best of the swing states for Trump.
    Just what I see publicly says it looks better for her than GA NV and AZ. Would love to see what they’re seeing internally to believe that. Unless it’s just based on simple probability given that it was the reddest of the seven four years ago by about a point and a half and that’s the basic threshold this year.
     
  16. Emmitto

    Emmitto VIP Member

    9,073
    1,717
    933
    Apr 3, 2007
    I am tempted to take this bet just so I win something before Trump finishes flushing us all straight down the poo place.
     
    • Funny Funny x 1
    • Creative Creative x 1
  17. sflagator

    sflagator VIP Member Trusted GC Insider

    14,962
    9,718
    3,453
    Apr 3, 2007
    oh ffs man.... this sort of wild imagination conspiracy mongering is why we have this Trump problem to begin with

    I don't care who it is, I figured that in the universe of people on earth we could probably agree on someone. I don't have anyone in particular in mind. Straightforward enough?
     
    • Like Like x 1
    • Dislike Dislike x 1
  18. okeechobee

    okeechobee GC Hall of Fame

    10,316
    1,348
    678
    Sep 11, 2022
    Don’t take it. I suspect you’re the type of person he/she is targeting.
     
    • Funny Funny x 1
  19. sflagator

    sflagator VIP Member Trusted GC Insider

    14,962
    9,718
    3,453
    Apr 3, 2007
    this guy said they're pretty confident that Trump will squeak out North Carolina. That's all I got for you
     
    • Dislike Dislike x 1
    • Informative Informative x 1
  20. channingcrowderhungry

    channingcrowderhungry Premium Member

    9,040
    2,033
    3,013
    Apr 3, 2007
    Bottom of a pint glass
    Never trust the boy scout leader who volunteers his weekend to take the kids on the camping trip.
     
    • Funny Funny x 4
    • Best Post Ever Best Post Ever x 1