I hope you are correct. But I honestly don't trust our population enough to not let the fox back into the henhouse.
Man.. when I voted in 2020, I was convinced my vote wouldn't matter. I was convinced Trump was going to lose by such a margin that my vote would be meaningless. But I still voted and so glad I did. It turned out being an extremely tight race decided by less than 0.1% of the total votes cast in the election. It is highly unlikely that those polls that misled me to such a degree in 2020 are now all the sudden giving Trump a 2 or 3 point edge in error, which is what she'd need (at least) to win this election. I get keeping hope alive, but hope for a mandate type of victory by Harris at this point is delusional. You not only have all of the non-Trump friendly media polls, but you also see the early voting numbers in battleground states. If she somehow pulls off the miracle, it will be something close to the margin Biden had in 2020. Which was a little north of 100,000 votes in 4 swing states.
Only to a blind partisan like you. How pissed off women are at the thought of having all their citizenship rights stripped for themselves and their daughters likely isn't being captured in any polling. Neither are the votes of Haley fans who won't vote for Trump despite being lifelong republicans. Add in specifically in Florida the damage Trump did to himself with Haitians and now Puerto Ricans could flip that state and have it be an early night for calling the election.
Yeah I think Trump is 100% screwed after this last rally. Way too many things done in the last few weeks that will turn off basically anyone but his cult for me to think he has much of a chance. “But the polls!!!”
Richard Baris: Harris 12 point lead has dropped to 2.6% in Minnesota Nevada: unlike most other states early voting is highly predictive here. It's over, Trump takes it Hispanic women not turning out for Kamala
Agree. As I mentioned in the thread on the Trump rally in MSG, there are roughly 500,000 Puerto Ricans residing in Pennsylvania. A television commercial with Trump's supporters cheering the comedian at the rally after his blatantly racist monologue should do wonders for mobilizing Puerto Ricans in that state to vote against the Orange One.
Honestly, he might not even win Florida at this point with the PR population here and Amendments 3 and 4 on the ballot. I dont expect a democratic victory here but I wouldn’t be shocked if they did. I’m sticking with my Harris blowout prediction, I truly don’t think it’s going to be close at all.
Potential issue for Harris in Minnesota is the same as it is in Michigan. There are roughly 182,000~ Muslims in Minneapolis/St. Paul. Many of them are voting for Jill Stein. Trump just received the endorsement you broke here on Saturday. I retract my position that Virginia would flip red before Minnesota. I think Harris has more exposure in Minnesota.
Media trying so desperately to make the election about a 10 minute comedy bit. They must be breaking furniture at this point watching oddsmakers go higher with Trump's chances.
