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The first votes have been cast in the election

Discussion in 'Too Hot for Swamp Gas' started by oragator1, Sep 12, 2024.

  1. gator_lawyer

    gator_lawyer VIP Member

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    Correct. It's symbolic. I'm sending a message. Which is why I'm not voting against underwhelming Scott or Bush appointees. Because we'd get somebody worse.
     
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  2. gator_lawyer

    gator_lawyer VIP Member

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    Hard to answer without knowing where you live. If you google their names, it'll tell you who appointed them. But definitely vote not to retain the Florida Supreme Court judges up for a vote (Meredith Sasso and Renatha Francis).

    Both are DeSantis picks and awful at their job. They voted to strip women of reproductive rights and then tried to block Amendment 4 from being on the ballot.
     
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  3. oragator1

    oragator1 Premium Member

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  4. GatorJMDZ

    GatorJMDZ gatorjack VIP Member

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    Everyone from Supreme Court to county.
    https://ballotpedia.org/Judges_appointed_by_Ron_DeSantis
     
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  5. gator_lawyer

    gator_lawyer VIP Member

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  6. okeechobee

    okeechobee GC Hall of Fame

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    She's done in North Carolina. Simply not enough Democrat votes outstanding to make up the difference and Democrats aren't all of the sudden going to dominate election day voting. If anything, GOP will still win actual election day voting. If we weren't 9 days out, I would withhold the call, but it's too close to election day to use the "old people have nothing to do so they voted early" excuse.
     
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  7. CaptUSMCNole

    CaptUSMCNole Premium Member

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    I do wonder if Democrats have an enthusiasm problem on their hands if they do not close the early voting gap advantage Republicans have built at this point.
     
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  8. SotaGator

    SotaGator Senior

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    As I posted in another thread, unless you breakout early vote totals by gender, party affiliation means very little. And, you must also account for NPA voters, whose registrations are sizeable and larger than in 2020.

    Registered women voters are a larger percentage of the electorate than men. Women typically vote at greater percentages than men. Women so far are outvoting men by 10 to 20% where data is available.

    Let that sink in.
     
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  9. Orange_and_Bluke

    Orange_and_Bluke Premium Member

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    So women historically aren’t too fond of other women.
    Women don’t usually enjoy bitchy women.
    So is there a chance more women are voting, but they’re voting against the nasally one?
     
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  10. citygator

    citygator VIP Member

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    North Carolina just updated their stats from this weekend - as of today. Good thing Trump doesnt have a woman problem. Any thoughts which way unknown gender breaks?

    upload_2024-10-28_13-14-13.png
     
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  11. citygator

    citygator VIP Member

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    Looks like Walz' visit is paying off. Looks like Harris will take Kentucky easily. What a steal! :)
    upload_2024-10-28_13-19-11.png
     
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  12. gatorchamps960608

    gatorchamps960608 GC Hall of Fame

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    Not as big a factor as the Dobbs decision. Check 2022 results for confirmation.
     
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  13. citygator

    citygator VIP Member

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    • Informative Informative x 1
  14. gator_lawyer

    gator_lawyer VIP Member

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  15. GatorJMDZ

    GatorJMDZ gatorjack VIP Member

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    Interesting that the electorate has become LESS educated. In 2020, 29% of the voters had a high school diploma or less. In 2024, that number climbs to 34%. Real evidence Republican efforts paying off.
     
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  16. gator_lawyer

    gator_lawyer VIP Member

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    I think his point was that the sampling they had was at 34%, not that we should expect 34% to be the correct value. Although, my understanding is that enrollment in higher education is declining, which may portend troubling times ahead in the more distant future.
     
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  17. citygator

    citygator VIP Member

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    I would assume that was because Trump motivates that demographic to vote more than they have in the past.
     
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  18. okeechobee

    okeechobee GC Hall of Fame

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    North Carolina is already over 50% of their 2020 total turnout. Remember, Dems hold a slight advantage of total voter registrations in North Carolina. GOP still maintaining the lead despite the mail in advantage Dems have. Trump wins by >3 points in North Carolina.
     
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  19. oragator1

    oragator1 Premium Member

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    Milwaukee had been lagging as have several other metros in the swing states. The Dems can’t win unless they get big voter turnout in urban areas. So this will be welcome news for them, though far from a definitive update. We will see if other places follow.

     
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  20. GatorJMDZ

    GatorJMDZ gatorjack VIP Member

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    LOL. You might want to see the polling on WHO those early voters are voting for. You also might want them to stay home if you're pro-rapist, thief and liar.
     
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