The first votes have been cast in the election

Correct. It's symbolic. I'm sending a message. Which is why I'm not voting against underwhelming Scott or Bush appointees. Because we'd get somebody worse.

 

Hard to answer without knowing where you live. If you google their names, it'll tell you who appointed them. But definitely vote not to retain the Florida Supreme Court judges up for a vote (Meredith Sasso and Renatha Francis).

Both are DeSantis picks and awful at their job. They voted to strip women of reproductive rights and then tried to block Amendment 4 from being on the ballot.

 

Everyone from Supreme Court to county.
https://ballotpedia.org/Judges_appointed_by_Ron_DeSantis

 

Channing, if you live in Jax, you can also check here:
https://ballotpedia.org/Florida_Fifth_District_Court_of_Appeal

I pulled this list up on my phone while in the voting booth.

 

She's done in North Carolina. Simply not enough Democrat votes outstanding to make up the difference and Democrats aren't all of the sudden going to dominate election day voting. If anything, GOP will still win actual election day voting. If we weren't 9 days out, I would withhold the call, but it's too close to election day to use the "old people have nothing to do so they voted early" excuse.

 

I do wonder if Democrats have an enthusiasm problem on their hands if they do not close the early voting gap advantage Republicans have built at this point.

 

As I posted in another thread, unless you breakout early vote totals by gender, party affiliation means very little. And, you must also account for NPA voters, whose registrations are sizeable and larger than in 2020.

Registered women voters are a larger percentage of the electorate than men. Women typically vote at greater percentages than men. Women so far are outvoting men by 10 to 20% where data is available.

Let that sink in.

 

So women historically aren’t too fond of other women.
Women don’t usually enjoy bitchy women.
So is there a chance more women are voting, but they’re voting against the nasally one?

 

North Carolina just updated their stats from this weekend - as of today. Good thing Trump doesnt have a woman problem. Any thoughts which way unknown gender breaks?

 

Looks like Walz' visit is paying off. Looks like Harris will take Kentucky easily. What a steal!

 

Not as big a factor as the Dobbs decision. Check 2022 results for confirmation.

 

PA just reported but UF doesnt have it updated.

Dems 819k 58.3% of total, 70% returned
Pubs 438k 31.2% of total, 66% returned

Margin of 381K

Elections Data | Voting & Election Information | Commonwealth of Pennsylvania

 

This is a very interesting read:
Polling paradox: what actually shapes the numbers?

 

Interesting that the electorate has become LESS educated. In 2020, 29% of the voters had a high school diploma or less. In 2024, that number climbs to 34%. Real evidence Republican efforts paying off.

 

I think his point was that the sampling they had was at 34%, not that we should expect 34% to be the correct value. Although, my understanding is that enrollment in higher education is declining, which may portend troubling times ahead in the more distant future.

 

I would assume that was because Trump motivates that demographic to vote more than they have in the past.

 

North Carolina is already over 50% of their 2020 total turnout. Remember, Dems hold a slight advantage of total voter registrations in North Carolina. GOP still maintaining the lead despite the mail in advantage Dems have. Trump wins by >3 points in North Carolina.

 

LOL. You might want to see the polling on WHO those early voters are voting for. You also might want them to stay home if you're pro-rapist, thief and liar.