2024 College Football Power Index - ESPN FWIW This might be very short-lived ahead of this Nasty November schedule (we play #2,#4,#5 and #12), but we have looked better these past few weeks than at the start of the season. Good to see some progress at least, and we do have some really good young talent I know it's not en vogue to be positive here, but maybe we steal a game or two. Crazier things have happened.
SP+ rankings for all 134 FBS teams after Week 8: Ohio State back on top 18th in SP+ 9 wins makes the playoffs. 8 probably doesn’t given how our schedule weakened (thanks FSU). Despite my skepticism of Napier I’m rooting for us to win out
I'll stash it here for no good reason. I watched the Washington Commanders today. Jayden Daniels, first possession, RPO, held it, 47 yards. Scoring drive, no passes. The RBs crushed Carolina. He gets hurt, Marcus Mariota comes in. Same thing. He ran, Washington ran. Something like 3 yards of passing in first half, until last drive. Then, in second half, Mariota went on like a 15 straight completion streak. Everything was wide open because of the running. He scrambled and threw. Obviously we'd be great for that. But might need Clay Millen involved, as the QB injury risk is high.
As I’ve posted before, FPI has a good track record with predictions, so this is nice to see. I’ll also state that FPI adjusts their ratings to strength of opponent, so it doesn’t penalize for losing, only for underperforming expectations. Eg UGA’s rating is 22.9, UF’s is 11.3, so FPI would predict Georgia to beat Florida by 11.6 pts on a neutral field. If Florida loses by 10, the Gators’ rating would actually improve (slightly).
Looks like LSU has things figured out and I'm thinking will not take us lightly. We'll probably have to beat FSU and also upset UGA, Texas or Ole Miss to get to 6 wins. Lane's team seems like the best upset bet to me at this time.
I think the UGA game will tell us a lot about to expect for the following 4 games. With a bye week and some momentum, it'll be very interesting to see how we prepare then stack up against them on a neutral field.
Georgia is the best team by far that we have left, but Beck is probably the most turnover prone of that group of QB's. It is a neutral playing field. We can not start slow. Texas is good, but the only good team they have played (Georgia) beat them bad. It is at Texas. LSU, how did they even lose to USC? I believe they have BAmA & TxA&m before us. QB has played great. We will know more after those two games. It is home. Ole Miss already has two loses and are probably out of the playoffs. Dart is a good QB, but this looks like the worst of the 4. Also at home.
Yes it's been a strange season. Teams that should or normally beat up on historically lesser teams haven't, and vice versa. No one in the SEC looks unbeatable this year. Heck, Alabama lost by the same score at Tenn that we did, and we beat the crap out of a UK team that lost only 13-12 to UGA.
Texas and ole miss each have byes before UF. Likely helps them. While we have a bye before Georgia, so does Georgia likely making the bye little to no advantage for either.
Even after our throttling of the UK defense, they’re still 28th in scoring defense and 12th in total. Before us they were giving up 250 ypg and 14.5 ppg. UK still has a better run D than UGA, and UGA is giving up almost 17 ppg. UT is only giving up 11.5 ppg and is top 5 in both defensive categories. We have two common opponents in MSU and UK with UGA. We outscored those teams 93-48, they outscored them 54-43. We definitely put bigger beat downs on both. Statistically speaking, UGA is a bit of a paper tiger. Their biggest win on paper is Tex, whose best win leading into the game was 4-3 Michigan. I think this UGA game could be interesting if our boys play like they did Saturday. I’m not saying we win, but it wouldn’t be surprising to me in the least. We’re playing far better now than our record would suggest.
I do think we beat FSU and steal one other. If we don’t it would be a real shame. I don’t think Billy can survive if we go 0-5 down the stretch again.
