Welcome home, fellow Gator.

The Gator Nation's oldest and most active insider community
Join today!

Article: Where The Predictive Metrics See Florida Going Into 2024-25

Discussion in 'Nuttin but Net' started by ETGator, Oct 15, 2024 at 2:55 PM.

  1. ETGator

    ETGator Long-Time Gator Stuck In East Tennessee Moderator VIP Member

    12,437
    7,810
    3,013
    Sep 15, 2007
    [​IMG]

    By: Eric Fawcett -- October 14, 2024

    Analytic tools and predictive metrics have become a huge part of college basketball, both with helping to contextualise how good teams are relative to the rest of the country and more importantly–as the main tools the NCAA uses to order teams when it comes to Selection Sunday. Whatever your views on analytic tools are, it looks like they’re here to stay, and it has become a huge part of covering the sport in 2024.

    Where The Predictive Metrics See Florida Going Into 2024-25 | GatorCountry.com
     
  2. ThePlayer

    ThePlayer VIP Member

    37,115
    4,901
    2,193
    Apr 3, 2007
    Here is the SEC predicted order of finish:

    1. Alabama
    2. Auburn
    3. Tennessee
    4. Arkansas
    5. Texas A&M
    6. Florida
    7. Texas
    8. Kentucky
    9. Ole Miss
    10. Mississippi State
    11. South Carolina
    12. Georgia
    13. Missouri
    14. LSU
    15. Oklahoma
    16. Vanderbilt
     
    • Fistbump/Thanks! Fistbump/Thanks! x 1
  3. GatorLurker

    GatorLurker GC Hall of Fame

    9,310
    3,951
    3,043
    Apr 8, 2007
    There is not enough data to make a meaningful prediction.
     
    • Agree Agree x 3
  4. oneatatime

    oneatatime GC Hall of Fame

    5,660
    496
    368
    Apr 19, 2007
    because we return 3 starters, I think we will be better than last year at the beginning of the season.

    that said, we have more depth, that once integrated into Golden's system will make us a very dangerous squad by the time SEC play rolls around
     
  5. tampajack1

    tampajack1 Premium Member

    9,447
    1,605
    2,453
    Apr 3, 2007
    3 starters?
     
  6. GatorPlanet

    GatorPlanet GC Hall of Fame

    9,180
    2,117
    1,088
    Apr 15, 2007
    Maitland, FL
    That's actually an important point. We've had slow starts in recent years that hurt us come Selection Sunday. We need to win more respectable out-of-conference games early to boost our RPI.
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  7. jeffphillips21

    jeffphillips21 GC Hall of Fame

    3,860
    1,017
    2,008
    Jun 20, 2009
    Vancouver
    Bingo, especially with massive roster changes around the country

    I do agree we’ll be better to start this season, not just 3 starters but 6 key rotation players returning
     
  8. gatorwizard

    gatorwizard Sophomore

    53
    18
    183
    Jan 20, 2024
    Gators preseason ranked number 21 in AP poll.
     
  9. exiledgator

    exiledgator Gruntled

    10,887
    1,856
    3,128
    Jan 5, 2010
    Maine
    Well, we have 6 tune ups (counting FSU) before we get 5 real OOC games. Wake (#30), Minnesota (no votes) or Withita state (no votes), Arizona State (#51), and UNC (#9).

    I'd like to see at least 8-3 headed into SEC.
     
  10. rserina

    rserina GC Hall of Fame

    25,332
    1,072
    1,558
    Apr 3, 2007
    Ringwood, NJ
    Think he has in mind Condon, who played more per game than Handlogten--though that was partially because Handlogten missed several early games (he actually played about a minute more than Condon in conference games).

    That said, I'm not so sure it is just returning starters that help with continuity, but returning rotation players. We essentially have five of them (if you count Aberdeen, who was in and out of the rotation). Lots of analysis came out last year about the role returnees play in college hoops success now that we are a couple of years into the portal phenomenon. It's far better for the program as a whole when you have a critical nucleus returning that knows your system, knows your opposition, can participate in full offseason program, but also you know what you have in them, where they need to grow, etc.

    IMO, prep recruiting, development, and retention are even more important now than they once were. Kinda worried about next year on that score, but love what we have returning this season.