This probably deserves its own thread, but herein lies the problem with someone like Kamala. When you look back at the Willie Brown episode. Women like that tend not to make the best choices in their dating lives. So who is shocked if it turns out Emhoff is a scumbag?
Betting markets have clearly flipped to Trump as the favorite to win now. Bovada 53% Trump - 48% Kamala Polymarket 54% Trump - 46% Kamala
I understand why the betting markets have flipped to a Trump victory. These are the 7 most recent national polls released. All 7 show a Trump victory in the EC. And that's assuming there's zero skew towards Harris in these. Still noteworthy as you'll see, Biden was running an average of +9 in national polling on October 6th, 2020.
Trump's continued expansion of his support within the Hispanic community will likely be the major takeaway from this election. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/v...y_registration_advantage_in_pennsylvania.html
Isn't that the site that Thiel invested in? Could be biased. Peter Thiel Invest $70 Million In Polymarket—Where Users Gamble On Real-World Events
How about men like that? Porn stars, many, many extramarital affairs, Karen McDougal, credible accusations of rape - one that included witness affidavit of a rape of a 13 year-old girl. What's your position on men "like that"
By the way, to my point upthread, the last few NYT polls had her tied, this one has her ahead by 3 or 4. No big news there as it’s one poll and within the MOE, but the difference in this poll compared to their previous ones is that she won the change agent question, and magically she had her first lead there. Like I have been saying, follow that one question. Whoever wins that will win the late breaking vote and the election.
You can try to make it a "but Trump" all you want, but women in their late 20's dating married men in their 60's are probably not who we want as the first female POTUS. It points to her not making the best choices in her dating life, among many other alarming red flags considering he was the mayor of SF at the time. To my knowledge, she has not expressed any regret about it and frankly, on a personal level, she doesn't need to. But now she's running for POTUS and there are stories coming out about her husband being a domestic violence perp, so it has relevance. Feel free to start a thread on Emhoff, if you like.
This NYT poll, being among the 7 latest polls posted on RCP (with data from this month). The average of those 7 polls is +1.3 Harris. And again, we're making a big assumption the Trump vote isn't being missed in these polls as it has been in the past two elections. Trump wins 300+ electoral votes if Harris wins the popular vote by 1.3 points. She needs to win the popular by 4 points, bare minimum to win the electoral college. Even 4 points would be less than what Biden needed in 2020, mind you. Her numbers are slowly dwindling and you know one poll doesn't a trend make.
