Tropical Storm Milton aiming for Florida

Saying they will have emergency gas and EV stations set up on evacuation routes.

 

The mound in front of my house is only slightly smaller. And half the houses nearby have a significant pile, as not a single item has been removed from our street yet. This could get really bad.

 

PC: the majority of the debris removal will be focused on the coastal areas

 

Geez, sorry.
Is that Tampa?

 

Thanks River. Yes, Tampa. We live on a river that feeds into upper Tampa bay.

 

Throwing out an idea, but maybe throw a few ropes over your pile and stake it into the ground. May prevent it from becoming as airborne?

 

Went to fill up earlier and the lines are already forming. A lot of traffic buzzing around for a Sunday.

 

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR THE NORTH COAST OF YUCATAN...
...RISK OF LIFE-THREATENING IMPACTS INCREASING FOR PORTIONS OF THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.4N 94.4W
ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM WNW OF PROGRESO MEXICO
ABOUT 835 MI...1350 KM WSW OF TAMPA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 105 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES

 

My family roots go way back in Dunedin. Used to have an aunt and uncle on some kind of water in Oldsmar

 

Do you guys think there will be a large evacuation? And which way would they go?

 

I may have exaggerated a bit. It’s bad but not that bad.

 

11 AM Eastern

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 06/1500Z 22.4N 94.4W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 07/0000Z 22.2N 93.7W 65 KT 75 MPH
24H 07/1200Z 22.2N 92.0W 85 KT 100 MPH
36H 08/0000Z 22.5N 90.0W 100 KT 115 MPH
48H 08/1200Z 23.5N 88.0W 110 KT 125 MPH
60H 09/0000Z 24.7N 86.0W 110 KT 125 MPH
72H 09/1200Z 26.5N 84.0W 105 KT 120 MPH (125 miles W of Cape Coral, 115 miles SW of St Pete)
96H 10/1200Z 29.0N 79.0W 75 KT 85 MPH (113 miles E of New Smyrna Beach)
120H 11/1200Z 31.0N 72.0W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP


Using the 72 and 96 HR coordinates it appears South of Tampa landfall. Between Crescent Beach and Turtle Beach.

 

1000s of Tons…. Like every low community has lined the curb, 6 feet high, with damaged furniture, appliances, drywall, flooring … also heard from boaters that there is som much debris already in the gulf and bay that they can’t use their boats safely.

if we get another storm surge it is going to be a complete mess.

 

Not sure if that is better or worse for water going into the bay. Certainly worse for Sarasota.

 

Worse for South but good for the bay area. Anything South will push water out of the bay not into it.

 

This is just rudimentary plotting of the 72/96 hr coordinates

 

100 PM CDT Sun Oct 06 2024

...AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND MILTON RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING
INTO A HURRICANE...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.5N 94.0W
ABOUT 290 MI...465 KM WNW OF PROGRESO MEXICO
ABOUT 815 MI...1310 KM WSW OF TAMPA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 100 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES

 

Yeah, we should probably pause sand removal until the end of the week... High likelihood of starting over...

 

Good for Tampa, bad for Venice, Charlotte harboring