Harris Maintains Narrow Lead in Key(stone) Swing State Pennsylvania – ActiVote Sorry this one is actually Harris + 3.2
Holy crap… Nate Silver (yes, world renowned election expert Nate Silver, as endorsed by illustrious posters such as Okee — that Nate Silver) posted that the electoral college advantage for republicans (their built in advantage due to the system) has fallen to its lowest level in decades. It was 3.8% in 2020 (I.e., Biden had to win nationally by 3.8% to be favored in the EC), but Silver says based on current polling, Harris only has to win nationally by 1.3% to be favored in the EC, and points out that NYT statistician Nate Cohn thinks it may be as low as 0.7%. That is freaking huge! Pigs fly. Hell freezes over. The Electoral College favors ... Democrats?
What is interesting in these polls is the favorability rating, which favors Harris. It strongly suggests that the remaining undecideds, if they don't vote third party, are more likely to vote Harris over Trump. The last remaining undecideds aren't often swayed by policy; if they were, they wouldn't still be undecided. Instead, they are often guided by who they feel will do a better job. And right now, with record stock markets, reports of reduced crime, inflation near goal, and interest rates falling, more people feel better about Harris, as seen in the favorability ratings.
Another Florida poll shows Harris within the margin of error… Trump +1. …. I’m starting to think Florida is going to be close, especially with Prop 3 and 4 on the ballot, and Trump being a carpet bagger ignoring the state. Florida poll has Kamala Harris, Donald Trump in dead heat
I think it is Nate Cohn making this claim, but Silver seems to think the situation isn’t too far from that, suggesting only a 1.3% electoral advantage for Trump. At some point, the democrats will enjoy the electoral college advantage, and I will be interested to see how the right leaning people react to that.
LOL! ActiVote’s September 26, 2024 Pennsylvania Presidential poll shows that Vice President Harris leads former President Trump by 3.2%. The poll was among 400 likely voters, has an average expected error of 4.9%, and was in the field between September 1, 2024 and September 25, 2024 with a median field date of September 13.
Can't complain about this one, too much anyway. It's basically a dead heat with the number 1 issue for democrats being abortion, same ole same ole. I really don't think Trump can be on top of so many issues and abortion will be the deciding factor. It seems delusional to me, but we'll see.
Because Trump is a truly awful candidate. A normal Republican who behaves like an adult would be running away with this election.
It's that registered republicans are not voting for Trump. There's a number of them on this board, you just see them as woke libtards because they oppose Trump as if that's the only delineation between democrats and republicans. Believe it or not, there are people out there who believe in conservative principles and see Trump for the conman that he is who doesn't uphold conservative ideals.
So you're calling a "normal Republican" a woketard leftwing loony? No one mentioned the left. Your reading comprehension is very poor.
You're entitled to your opinion on that but don't be shocked if Trump loses the election despite all the Republican voter registration numbers you've been posting.
