Franklin county emergency management: Helene Evacuation Helene is projected to become a Category 4 hurricane, potentially generating storm surges of up to 20 feet. For comparison, Hurricane Michael produced a surge of 14 feet at Mexico Beach. Evacuate immediately!
You know, I went to a lot of damn trouble here, looking for a site to put that in French. A little appreciation is warranted, I think!
About 30 feet from the bay....the original ground floor was washed away twice (found the refrigerator and mile away last time) so they gave up on that and just kept the upper level.
They keep pumping it to Cat 4 however most of the models are backing from that now. Even though it’s forecast run through the loop current the storm is a bit elongated and not very symmetrical, something that’s usually needed for that level. In addition out flow isn’t really great and it looks to be sucking dry air in. Good thing is the eye is pretty small 25 nm. All on the gulf coast need to be ready either way.
Bolded part stood out to me. Hurricane Helene Public Advisory At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Helene was located near latitude 23.1 North, longitude 86.6 West. Helene is moving toward the north near 9 mph (15 km/h). A northward or north-northeastward motion at a faster forward speed is expected during the next 36 hours. On the forecast track, Helene will move across the eastern Gulf of Mexico tonight and Thursday and cross the Florida Big Bend coast Thursday evening. After landfall, Helene is expected to turn northwestward and slow down over the Tennessee Valley on Friday and Saturday. Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast, and Helene is expected to be a major hurricane when it reaches the Florida Big Bend coast Thursday evening. Weakening is expected after landfall, but Helene's fast forward speed will allow strong, damaging winds, especially in gusts, to penetrate well inland across the southeastern United States, including over the higher terrain of the southern Appalachians. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 345 miles (555 km). The minimum central pressure reported by Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 972 mb (28.71 inches).
...HELENE STRENGTHENING AND EXPECTED TO BRING CATASTROPHIC WINDS AND STORM SURGE TO THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST... ...PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.2N 86.2W ABOUT 350 MI...560 KM SW OF TAMPA FLORIDA ABOUT 385 MI...625 KM S OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 345 miles (555 km). The Key West Naval Air Station recently reported sustained winds of 41 mph (66 km/h) and a wind gust of 64 mph (103 km/h). FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 26/0900Z 24.2N 86.2W 80 KT 90 MPH 12H 26/1800Z 26.8N 85.2W 100 KT 115 MPH (162 mile WSW of St Pete) 24H 27/0600Z 31.6N 84.0W 75 KT 85 MPH...INLAND (Albany, GA 103 miles N of Apalachee Bay) 36H 27/1800Z 36.1N 84.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48H 28/0600Z 37.0N 87.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 60H 28/1800Z 36.3N 87.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 72H 29/0600Z 36.3N 86.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 96H 30/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$
Forecast track pushes a little east. Landfall tonight around alligator point? Then straight to Tallahassee
...HELENE BECOMES A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE WITH SIGNIFICANT ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL IN FLORIDA... ...PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION... SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.5N 85.9W ABOUT 320 MI...515 KM SW OF TAMPA FLORIDA ABOUT 365 MI...585 KM S OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 345 miles (555 km). The Key West Naval Air Station recently reported sustained winds of 41 mph (66 km/h) and a wind gust of 55 mph (89 km/h). An observation in Sand Key recently reported sustained winds of 45 mph (72 km/h) and a gust to 58 mph (93 km/h).
