Voter Registrations in Florida & Pennsylvania

Typical, nothing of substance to add here.

 

Just as in 2020 and 2022, Pennsylvania has already announced they will not be counting through the night, a window for cheating. I hope the RNC has lots of election watchers ready to work for days and especially so in Philadelphia where they covered the windows and kicked out election watchers. Lawyer should be on site with the watchers.

In the absence of cheating again, I expect Trump to win Pennsylvania by 2% to 3%. Conservatives and independents are fed up with the democratic socialist communist party. Cackling Kamala flip flopping on fracking won't matter one bit. Flipping the state red can't get here soon enough.

 

I could care less whether the road is open or closed. I do care that dems don't succeed in getting Trump assassinated.

Just how do you think this little ditty is going to stop Florida from continuing to turn deeper red?

 

Don't think DeSantis is anything like Ohio's Mike DeWine:

DeSantis: Florida abortion Amendment 4 means ‘end of the pro-life movement’ (yahoo.com)

DeSantis will ride herd on the defeat of Amendment 4. He will work the republican majority to take down the proposed constitutional amendment on abortion. What happened in Ohio is not going to happen in Florida:

Fri, August 16, 2024
TAMPA — The opposition to Amendment 4 is getting organized, and Gov. Ron DeSantis is leading the resistance.

At an event at Jesuit High School on Thursday, DeSantis galvanized opposition to the amendment, which would end most abortion restrictions in Florida. In front of a packed auditorium crowd of a few hundred, Florida’s Republican governor laid out what he said are the stakes in November.

“If you care about building a culture of life in this state or this country, them winning in Florida I think really represents the end of the pro-life movement,” DeSantis said.

Amendment 4 would bar lawmakers from banning abortion before a fetus is viable — undoing the current six-week ban on the books. The amendment would also allow for abortions in cases when the mother’s health is threatened “as determined by the patient’s healthcare provider.” It needs 60% voter approval to pass.

 

Looks like Newsweek has been reading this thread:

GOP voter registration four times higher than Democrats in Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania is in process of turning into the Free State of Pennsylvania.

Voter registration among Republicans is four times higher than it is among Democrats in Pennsylvania, according to new data.

Decision Desk data shows that GOP voter registration surged in July, with more than 21,000 Republicans signing up to vote. In contrast, only 5,000 Democrats registered to vote in July 2024.

The data also shows that since November 2020, the number of Democrats registered to vote in the state has decreased by more than 320,000. Meanwhile, the number of Republicans registered to vote has also dropped, but by a much smaller margin, with 1,400 fewer voters since 2020.

 

Update on Pennsylvania through August 26, 2024

August 12, 2024
Democrats 3,901,732
Republicans 3,545,635
Difference 356,097

August 26, 2024
Democrats 3,908,854
Republicans 3,556,628
Difference 352,226

2 Week Difference +3,871 Republicans

The last day to register for the national election is October 21, 2024. Projecting the 2-week difference to the last day to vote, 8 weeks from August 26 to October 21:

Difference 352,226 - August 26
Difference 336,742 - October 21

Since the 2022 midterms and projected through the 2024 national election deadline, republicans will have reduced the difference from 549,568 to 336,742, a projected difference reduction of 212,826. The march to becoming a red state continues for Pennsylvania.

With both parties targeting Pennsylvania, it'll be interesting to see how close Pennsylvania gets to this projection.

It would be a good thing if the Free State of Florida updated voter registrations weekly rather than monthly.

 

The Pennsylvania change from a blue state to a red state has been happening since 2016. The democratic Midwest blue wall has a major crack in it:

Election Reports | Department of State | Commonwealth of Pennsylvania

Voter Registrations by Party at End of 2016:

Democrats 4,172,826
Republicans 3,280,202
Difference 892,624

Voter Registrations by Party at End of 2020:

Democrats 4,183,292
Republicans 3,517,090
Difference 666,202

Voter Registrations by Party through August 26, 2024:

Democrats 3,908,854
Republicans 3,556,628
Difference 352,226

Difference Since End of 2016: 540,398

Since 2016, Republicans have been gaining registrations and democrats have been losing registrations.

 

Historically, NPA has broken towards republican. It's how republicans have won statewide elections when democrats had huge advantages in registration over republicans.

2022 NPA 4,032,731
2024 NPA 3,544,576

That's a big drop in NPA in 1 year/8 months. Just a guess, it's likely NPA has been switching to the republican party. Nothing like a democratic administration in the WH that has gotten everything they wanted spectacularly failing the American people to get voters to make a move to the republican party. Democratic party momentum in Florida has been dead for quite a while.

The same thing is happening in Pennsylvania at a slower pace than Florida.

 

The Pennsylvania change from a blue state to a red state has been happening since 2016. The democratic Midwest blue wall has a major crack in it:

Election Reports | Department of State | Commonwealth of Pennsylvania

Voter Registrations by Party at End of 2016:

Democrats 4,172,826
Republicans 3,280,202
Difference 892,624

Voter Registrations by Party at End of 2020:

Democrats 4,183,292
Republicans 3,517,090
Difference 666,202

Voter Registrations by Party at End of 2022:

Democrats 3,957,613
Republicans 3,450,718
Difference 506,895

Voter Registrations by Party through August 26, 2024:

Democrats 3,908,854
Republicans 3,556,628
Difference 352,226

Voter Registrations by Party through September 9, 2024:

Democrats 3,916,743
Republicans 3,568,954
Difference 347,789

Difference Since End of 2016 in Republican Favor: 544,835
Difference Since End of 2020 in Republican Favor: 318,413
Difference Since End of 2022 in Republican Favor: 159,106

Since 2016, Republicans have been gaining registrations and democrats have been losing registrations.

Voter registration to vote in the national election ends 10/21/24.

August 26 Projected Difference to October 21: 336,742
September 9 Projected Difference to October 21: 334,478

Republicans have more momentum than democrats as the national election 10/21 voter registration deadline approaches, 6 weeks remaining to register and vote.

Pennsylvania is a hard fought over toss up state. Can the higher voter registration numbers put the democrats over the top?

Due to fracking, Biden/Harrisflation, open borders, and the Harris/Walz ticket being the most woketard liberal ticket the US has ever seen, Pennsylvania voters are going to turn out for Trump on election day. Hopefully, they vote down ballot that way too.

 

Update on Pennsylvania Voter Registrations:

Voter Registrations by Party through September 16, 2024:

Democrats 3,925,766
Republicans 3,582,695
Difference 343,071
Republican Favored One-Week Difference 4,718
10/21 Projected Difference 319,481

Th 4,718 advantage republican is more than the previous 2 weeks combined. The difference is dropping at a more rapid rate. If Kamrade Kamala came out of the debate with any advantage in Pennsylvania which I doubt, the people registering to vote don't reflect it. It appears to be advantage Trump.