Trump vs. Harris - Please put all new polls here.

Not in the EC, he doesn’t. And end of day that’s all that matters.

 

Clearly Nate Silver understands the EC, lol. He still has Trump as the likely winner. Even in the skewed ass polling data he uses, Scamala is losing ground this week from last week in several battleground states. It's over for Scamala.

 

Show us what that looked like 6 weeks ago. It was all Trump. Every swing state was Trump. Now Harris is ahead or even in 8 of the 9 swing states... Silver is still calling it a toss up. Anyway, I'm glad to see you guys are back to touting Nate Silver. He really is the best and I think he is telling it like it is. A toss up at this point.

I'll post it for you ... ALL TRUMP 6 weeks ago ... Now it's nearly all Harris


You had to get to page two to see Biden was barely holding on to Minnesota, NE-2, New Hampshire, and New Jersey. Harris may just save America.

 

This is probably more meaningful than any specific poll result at the moment. Long way to go to keep the enthusiasm up though.

 

I really think that is going to make the difference. Trump outperforms his polls because of the hidden "enthusiasm" metric that's hard to measure that he had going for him in the past. I think the Dems have it this time and Trump is a listless vessel.

 

Yep I'm thinking the same thing. Trump is old news so there's nothing that he can do at this point to garner more support. That's why you don't hear about boat rallies anymore and why he no longer has massive crowds. He's been around so long that it would be hard to be enthusiastic for him. The thing with Harris is she hasn't reached her ceiling, but I also realize that she has a lower floor as well

 

Kamala Harris' election odds slide with bookmakers after CNN interview

 

Are you talking about Silver's new model or his old model? Is it a model or a narrative? why did Nate overestimate the Dem percentage of the presidential election vote in all 50 states in 2016 and 2029? 100-0. Why was he.laughed out of Vegas when he tried to be a sports handicapper?

Why did Silver recently include a "push poll" in his so-called model that had Kamala +7? As you know but others might not, a push poll is when you ask "Did you know that Donald Trump talked about grabbing women by the _____ and he cheated on his wife? BTW, who do you plan to vote for, Harris or Trump?

If you consistently voted opposite of Nate Silver's predictions as a sports handicapper or election predictor you would have made money
That means he has been right less than 47.6% of the time. Pretty sad

My adaptive AI technology tells me you know or have met Nate Silver. Is it correct?

 

Next time, try this in English.

 

Why do you lie about stuf that can be easily checked?? Literally the 2nd state I clicked on, Colorado, Silver's 2020 prediction has Biden at 54.5% and the actual result was 55.4% ... The first state was Arizona where he was off a couple tenths ... The only real problem I've seen with polling is the rust belt and Florida, not sure why those area are hard to get accurate data, but I don't think that has anything to do with Nate Silver.

Prediction...

2020 Election Forecast | FiveThirtyEight




Result...

 

I changed electi9n to election, wh9 to wh9 to who and 9f to of. And there were 6 other similar changes i made. Now you can you respond to my post? Do you know or have you met Nate Silver as my CIA grade adaptive technology suggests? Reality: I don't need adaptive AI tech to defeat or understand you.

 

wait you do that shit on purpose? Why?

 

Robert Barnes told him to

 

But you didn't change the 2029 election and the many other things. Kind of like you went to an adaptive AI and asked for a spell check...Regardless, your points are factually wrong as has already been pointed out. And no, I doubt that your adaptive AI is "CIA grade," whatever that means. In fact, I'd suggest that it has very little to do with the US. And no, I haven't met Nate Silver. Now perhaps you can tell us how many gas stations in Gainesville you used to frequent or find us a quality recipe for muffins.

 

Robert Barnes tracks Nate Silver and says Nate overestimated the Dem percentage of the vote in 50/50 states in 2016 and 2020
Barnes says he will take anyone's bet that Nate Silver will overestimate the Dem percentage in any state you want to pick in 2024. That's all I know. A smart.play would be for Nate to.deliberately underestimate the Dem percentage in a certain state and take Barnes's bet

 

Not sure what you're babbling about
I'm visually impaired to the point where I can't tell the difference between an E or an M at the top of an eye chart. So i make a few mis5akes.

 

what? So you’re just hitting the wrong keys because you can’t see them? Have you considered voice to text?

 

So… Barnes lies? You just repeat the lies? Ok, got it,

 

So have you ever met Nate Silver as.my CIA grade adaptive AI tech suggests? Or did I deduce that you.met him? 8mag8ne how high my IQ must be to deduce that you know Nate Silver. Tell the truth or I might tell the board what I know.

 

I gotta be brutally honest. I really hope you’re a real person.