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Dow futures collapsing

Discussion in 'Too Hot for Swamp Gas' started by okeechobee, Aug 4, 2024.

  1. okeechobee

    okeechobee GC Hall of Fame

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    The rout continues into this week it looks like. Dow futures are down 350 points. Treasury yields tanking as well. The Nasdaq crossed into correction territory. If the market has a rough week, it could be a boon to President Trump.

    upload_2024-8-4_20-41-3.gif
     
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  2. Gatorrick22

    Gatorrick22 GC Hall of Fame

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    The big money is bailing on Wall Street, including investors like Warren Buffett.
     
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  3. WC53

    WC53 GC Hall of Fame

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    Hype and marketing meets reality
     
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  4. TheGator

    TheGator Basement Gator Fan Premium Member

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    When it looked like Trump couldn’t lose, the market was up, as the markets prefer Trump.

    Now that Harris has tightened the race, the markets are dropping. Some predicted a crash in September, but it maybe much earlier.
     
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  5. docspor

    docspor GC Hall of Fame

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    If history is any guide, this thread is a STRONG BUY signal.
     
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  6. murphree_hall

    murphree_hall VIP Member

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    It’s almost like you have never seen market corrections before. The market was in a huge bubble and investors always take profits at the top. It’s the cycle of things. Housing is next up on the Summer Jam screen.
     
  7. vaxcardinal

    vaxcardinal GC Hall of Fame

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    Everything is on sale
     
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  8. docspor

    docspor GC Hall of Fame

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    agree wrt the stock mkt. housing mkts rarely "correct". They may flatten for a time, but they almost never crash. Obv, they are a very diff type of asset. I suspect prices will tick up w/ mortgage rates falling.

    [​IMG]
     
    Last edited: Aug 4, 2024
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  9. docspor

    docspor GC Hall of Fame

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    what?
     
  10. GatorNorth

    GatorNorth Premium Member Premium Member

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    Oh good grief. The 52 week low on the Dow is 32.3 and when it drops below 40 all the Trumpers think it’s because there’s been a 3-4 point move in polling. And the 10-year all of a sudden below 3.8% is a bad thing? What happened to all the screaming about high interest rates? Some people on here could turn their post-coffee morning dump into a partisan event (oh no honey, I took a blue sh*t today. Better buy some more ammo.”)
     
    Last edited: Aug 4, 2024
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  11. Emmitto

    Emmitto VIP Member

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    Crashing from yet another all time high.

    Meaning: went down some.

    It ain’t a continuous parabola mama!
     
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  12. gatorpa

    gatorpa GC Hall of Fame

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    That’s not why the markets have pulled back.
    It’s mostly about the bad UE numbers from Thursday.
    Mix that with some companies cutting outlooks and here ya go.

    Pick a few companies you missed out on and put some buy orders in.

    They wanted rate cuts but now fear has driven the portion of the market that was overbought down fast.
     
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  13. docspor

    docspor GC Hall of Fame

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    Maybe. The mkt responds to news.* It is very possible that the mkt expected "worse" job numbers & it was bad news that they were better than the mkt expected w.r.t. expectations for rate cuts. We don't know what the mkt expected. We can cite proxies, but we don't know. I was surprised that the mtk did not like the jobs report & maybe it is b/c of what i note above.

    * news is not the gross #. News = [expected # - actual #]
     
  14. gatorpa

    gatorpa GC Hall of Fame

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    I edited my original post while you were responding I think.

    It was also coupled with some bad quarterly reports with low outlooks some things being over bought.

    Personally I’m looking at nibbling on some NVIDIA and adding to some other positions.
     
  15. docspor

    docspor GC Hall of Fame

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    I think some manufacturing #s also looked not so good.
     
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  16. GatorNorth

    GatorNorth Premium Member Premium Member

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    I think the soft jobs report coupled with a few other softer metrics triggered recession fears again despite an almost 3% gdp growth in Q2. So people grabbed profits and traded the market down on Thursday and Friday.
     
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  17. okeechobee

    okeechobee GC Hall of Fame

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    Bidenomics is giving us rising unemployment. It's been going up for the past year.
     
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  18. GatorNorth

    GatorNorth Premium Member Premium Member

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    Unemployment was the same in August 23 as it was in March 24-3.8% It’s gone up the past 4 months, not the past year. .

    And people were screaming for it to go up so the Fed would lower rates. Well, here we are.
     
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  19. gatorpa

    gatorpa GC Hall of Fame

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    Nah it was the multiple rate hikes to curb the transitory inflation.
     
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  20. Gatorrick22

    Gatorrick22 GC Hall of Fame

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    Check overnight the Asian markets, and the NASDAQ. No one is telling what to do. I simply stated that Buffet is selling off some stocks.

    I wonder how much of a correction we're getting. Tech stocks are going down a bit.

    I have stocks... so I hope it's a small and short correction. ;)

    Believe me, I don't care who the freak is in the WH... this is something that nobody really wants.
     
    Last edited: Aug 5, 2024