Hopefully this doesn't intensify as fast as the last one did or a lot of people could be caught flat footed. I know the water management district here in SW Florida opend the canal gates and dumped a LOT of water over the last 48 hours and canals are all down around 2' from their normal summer elevations. I will be firing up the generator Saturday just in case.. 'Be ready': Hurricane forecasters worried about storm heading toward Florida (msn.com)
The chance of cyclone formation in the next 7 days has gone up to greater than 60%. This one snuck up on me.
American model predicts the loosely organized system developing in the Caribbean to slide past Cuba and go up N near the W coast of Florida, hitting the Panhandle or turning into the big bend area. Still early, but the model suggests it could be a cat 1 to 3. Get ready Gator friends in the threat areas!
The fear with this storm at least earlier today was it stalling or retrograding once it gets to Florida. One model I saw had 35 inches of rain west of Tally.
Surf forecasters have been talking about it for a week, they are among the best to follow. Got my 24KW Generac installed last week so I’m golden either way.
This was the model run I was speaking of, but it looks like it’s backed off in the mast run or two and has it crawling up the coast. Gonna be a huge rainmaker regardless.
Going to be a nice soaker. The question is time. It will remain disorganized until it gets into the Gulf. Then depending on that ridge in the midwest, it will slow down and dump lots of rain on south Florida. Then it heads towards the panhandle. The panhandle has had pretty good rainfall this year but Mississippi and Louisiana are in a severe drought with a few parts in an exceptional drought. They could use a nice tropical soaker.
This would send some water up into my backyard for sure. In addition to probably ruining The Princess Bride showing at the Tampa Theatre on Sunday afternoon. Edit: But I am very relieved to see the “S” on the Storm the whole way. The most important thing is that that holds.
Further proof that every storm in the world eventually hits my house. I live on that little point at the lower right of NC that sticks out into the Atlantic. Even the remnants always get here somehow. Until the past 2 weeks we have been in drought conditions though, so we can handle the wet part.
