Rather than have a new thread started each time someone sees a new poll that favors his side, let's add all new polls here. We don't need separate threads from this pollster, from that pollster, this state or that state. I'm not going to merge the existing poll threads into this thread because some have tons of replies and they'd bury this thread. Thanks Here's the Forbes wrapup today: Trump Vs. Harris 2024 Polls: Latest Surveys Show A Virtual Tie After Biden Drops Out
What about sarcastic comments regarding the new polls? Do those go here too, or should we have a separate thread?
It's River's call as to whether or not comments will be permissible on this thread as he started the thread. He's offline now so we won't have an answer for a while. I agree this thread should be for polls only, so until we know his decision please refrain from unnecessary comments. Thanks
While I personally find sarcasm the lowest form of attempted humor and therefore never partake in it myself, I suppose we must allow it. As long as you don't combine it with irony. Then things just get really messy.
CNN Poll: Harris improves on Biden’s performance against Trump in early look at new matchup https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/24/politics/cnn-poll-kamala-harris-donald-trump/index.html
Take any poll with a large grain of salt. Ballot harvesting has changed the game and you can’t really poll for that. Democrats have been better at it now for two election cycles. Republicans have been stubborn about it except for in California where democrats actually wanted to change the rules on it because republicans were doing it to well there.
Best I can tell across an average of polls, Trump leads Harris by 4 points. 2 percentage points if you go with the raw vote, but I say 4 points because Trump can easily lose the nationwide popular vote by 2 points and still win this thing. And so that’s where it stands today. There was no bias in my first paragraph. My bias says Harris is peaking right now, because compared to Biden, she has a pulse. Once they begin peeling back the layers, we will find out why she withdrew in 2020 before the first primary was even held. She may have refined her game the past 3 years, but it’s still the same person. It’s just a matter of time before she is exposed. Trump doesn’t have this problem to deal with. He could be indicted for a new crime and his numbers would rise. Everybody knows with Trump what you see is what you get. I think Trump wins with more than 300 EV.
Ballot harvesting, which is collecting and delivering signed and completed absentee ballots, is legal in many states, so of course both parties do it. In fact, it was republicans that invented it, in rural areas, collecting ballots from people out in the country who might not have traveled great distances to vote otherwise. Republicans are also the ones that first changed the rules and started making it illegal and arrested some when black people started doing it too, with mild success. They did the math and found that for what they might lose from rural voters, would be exceeded by loses from black voters….
All that matters is Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin … and more specifically, Philly, Detroit, and Milwaukee. If Harris gets out the vote in the those 3 cities, she probably wins.
I love the poles. My people tell me all the time that we have beautiful poles. American poles they say. They tell me sir, your pole is an amazing pole. Yuge pole. The fake news wont tell you that. All the people ask me. What are you favorite poles. So I tell them. My favorite poles in order: 5. South. 4. Telephone. 3. Flag. 2. Stripper. 1. North That's it. No other poles exist. Don't let the liberal fishermen that dont have jobs tell you they have poles. They don't ok. Fishing poles are the tools of the lazy. Sad lazy people. Everyone tells me this.
Never said or suggested it was illegal. All I said is democrats do a much better job at it. Republicans better learn or they can’t win. I’m definitely against it and think we need to abandon mass mailing of ballots. Why we continue to vote during the week and not during the weekend or a holiday during the week is beyond me.