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An Early Opening Line -- scUM vs Florida

Discussion in 'RayGator's Swamp Gas' started by ThePlayer, May 29, 2024.

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  1. May 29, 2024 #1
    ThePlayer

    ThePlayer VIP Member

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    Miami (-3.5) vs. Florida
    Aug. 31, 3:30 p.m. ET, Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville

    The Hurricanes opened as 3.5-point favorites over the Gators. The Gators have never been that large of a home underdog in the Swamp in a season opener in the FBS era (1978), according to ESPN Stats & Information. Miami leads the all time head to head series with 29 wins to Florida's 27. The Gators are 2-5 against the Hurricanes since the turn of the century.
     
    Last edited: May 29, 2024
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  2. May 29, 2024 #2
    garettk

    garettk GC Hall of Fame

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    I expect it to tighten.
     
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  3. May 29, 2024 #3
    ThePlayer

    ThePlayer VIP Member

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    Billy has a good record as a home dog, but it's interesting this line went from +2 to +3.5 so fast.
    Hope we can stop a talented running QB like Cam Ward in short yardage situations.
    We'll see something similar playing both UCF and Tennessee.
     
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  4. May 29, 2024 #4
    DieAGator

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    Thought the home team usually gets a TD in their favor. If so, would that mean they are currently giving scUM 10.5? Hoping their new QB isn't ready for this game.
     
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  5. May 29, 2024 #5
    Skink

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    I believe home field is worth 3 in the betting line
     
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  6. May 29, 2024 #6
    hoyt233

    hoyt233 GC Hall of Fame

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    Prattvile, AL-Go Lions!
    855-2CALLGA.
     
  7. May 29, 2024 #7
    archigator_96

    archigator_96 GC Hall of Fame

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    That record against the himmicanes and our recent losing seasons is why the line is where it is. It's probably about where Vegas would put the line logically. On paper and throwing out our recent history, we should be about a TD favorite as they have as many question marks on their team as we do (maybe more). I would take Mertz as a known commodity over a splash transfer like Cam ward but that's just me.
     
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  8. May 29, 2024 #8
    G8RKrackin23

    G8RKrackin23 VIP Member

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    Miami comes out the gates hot every year then fall off second half of season
     
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  9. May 29, 2024 #9
    ETGator

    ETGator Long-Time Gator Stuck In East Tennessee Moderator VIP Member

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    I also think Coach Napier has established a pretty good record against the spread in The Swamp.
     
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  10. May 29, 2024 #10
    eightiesgator

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    That's because they usually front load their cupcakes.
     
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  11. May 29, 2024 #11
    G8R92

    G8R92 GC Hall of Fame

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    What’s his record ATS at home?
     
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  12. May 29, 2024 #12
    uftaipan

    uftaipan GC Hall of Fame

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    Straight-up disrespect. I hope we use it.
     
    Last edited by a moderator: May 29, 2024
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  13. May 29, 2024 #13
    Endless Excuses

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    SMH...an underdog to UM at home... for all my Gator blood a 35 point win for us wont be enough.
     
    Last edited by a moderator: May 29, 2024
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  14. May 29, 2024 #14
    fox

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    We're in dire need of a confidence building win streak. 41-17 in the first game would be a fine start.
     
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  15. May 29, 2024 #15
    GatorRade

    GatorRade Rad Scientist

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    I would not be surprised. Also this far out, the line, if it’s even real, is more like a futures bet. The line that we see a week before the game is often rather different than these future casts.
     
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  16. May 29, 2024 #16
    DieAGator

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    We WILL score more than 17pts.


    J/K
     
    Last edited: May 29, 2024
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  17. May 29, 2024 #17
    sierragator

    sierragator GC Hall of Fame

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    A home dog to scUM. Prove them wrong Gators!
     
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  18. May 29, 2024 #18
    ThePlayer

    ThePlayer VIP Member

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    That score would actually require Napier to pass more than run.
    Pretty sure that's not part of his DNA.
     
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  19. May 29, 2024 #19
    ThePlayer

    ThePlayer VIP Member

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    Not good but I'm going thru the numbers now.
    Billy's 9-4 at home over 2 years but clearly didn't cover the spread against teams like Kentucky, USF, LSU, Charlotte, Arkansas.
     
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  20. May 30, 2024 #20
    wingtee

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    Ward is really good. He will be ready
     
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