Welcome home, fellow Gator.

The Gator Nation's oldest and most active insider community
Join today!

  1. Gator Country Black Friday special!

    Now's a great time to join or renew and get $20 off your annual VIP subscription! LIMITED QUANTITIES -- for details click here.

An Early Opening Line -- scUM vs Florida

Discussion in 'RayGator's Swamp Gas' started by ThePlayer, May 29, 2024.

Page 1 of 7
  1. May 29, 2024 #1
    ThePlayer

    ThePlayer VIP Member

    37,862
    5,059
    2,193
    Apr 3, 2007
    Miami (-3.5) vs. Florida
    Aug. 31, 3:30 p.m. ET, Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville

    The Hurricanes opened as 3.5-point favorites over the Gators. The Gators have never been that large of a home underdog in the Swamp in a season opener in the FBS era (1978), according to ESPN Stats & Information. Miami leads the all time head to head series with 29 wins to Florida's 27. The Gators are 2-5 against the Hurricanes since the turn of the century.
     
    Last edited: May 29, 2024
    • Informative Informative x 3
  2. May 29, 2024 #2
    garettk

    garettk GC Hall of Fame

    1,689
    705
    2,038
    Oct 3, 2008
    Mayo, FL
    I expect it to tighten.
     
    • Agree Agree x 3
    • Funny Funny x 1
  3. May 29, 2024 #3
    ThePlayer

    ThePlayer VIP Member

    37,862
    5,059
    2,193
    Apr 3, 2007
    Billy has a good record as a home dog, but it's interesting this line went from +2 to +3.5 so fast.
    Hope we can stop a talented running QB like Cam Ward in short yardage situations.
    We'll see something similar playing both UCF and Tennessee.
     
    • Agree Agree x 3
    • Like Like x 1
    • Informative Informative x 1
  4. May 29, 2024 #4
    DieAGator

    DieAGator GC Hall of Fame

    18,122
    778
    1,558
    Apr 3, 2007
    Thought the home team usually gets a TD in their favor. If so, would that mean they are currently giving scUM 10.5? Hoping their new QB isn't ready for this game.
     
    • Winner Winner x 1
  5. May 29, 2024 #5
    Skink

    Skink GC Hall of Fame

    8,744
    3,580
    2,968
    Aug 14, 2014
    Latitude Margaritaville Daytona
    I believe home field is worth 3 in the betting line
     
    • Agree Agree x 10
  6. May 29, 2024 #6
    hoyt233

    hoyt233 GC Hall of Fame

    6,694
    2,396
    2,198
    Aug 31, 2009
    Prattvile, AL-Go Lions!
    855-2CALLGA.
     
  7. May 29, 2024 #7
    archigator_96

    archigator_96 GC Hall of Fame

    3,829
    3,570
    1,923
    Apr 8, 2020
    That record against the himmicanes and our recent losing seasons is why the line is where it is. It's probably about where Vegas would put the line logically. On paper and throwing out our recent history, we should be about a TD favorite as they have as many question marks on their team as we do (maybe more). I would take Mertz as a known commodity over a splash transfer like Cam ward but that's just me.
     
    • Agree Agree x 3
    • Like Like x 2
    • Optimistic Optimistic x 2
    • Winner Winner x 1
  8. May 29, 2024 #8
    G8RKrackin23

    G8RKrackin23 VIP Member

    333
    128
    1,678
    Nov 29, 2018
    Mossyhead
    Miami comes out the gates hot every year then fall off second half of season
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
    • Funny Funny x 1
  9. May 29, 2024 #9
    ETGator

    ETGator Long-Time Gator Stuck In East Tennessee Moderator VIP Member

    13,045
    8,226
    3,213
    Sep 15, 2007
    I also think Coach Napier has established a pretty good record against the spread in The Swamp.
     
    • Like Like x 2
    • Agree Agree x 2
  10. May 29, 2024 #10
    eightiesgator

    eightiesgator GC Hall of Fame

    1,409
    384
    1,883
    Oct 16, 2017
    That's because they usually front load their cupcakes.
     
    • Winner Winner x 2
    • Agree Agree x 1
  11. May 29, 2024 #11
    G8R92

    G8R92 GC Hall of Fame

    3,239
    350
    353
    Feb 5, 2010
    What’s his record ATS at home?
     
    • Dislike Dislike x 1
  12. May 29, 2024 #12
    uftaipan

    uftaipan GC Hall of Fame

    9,022
    2,118
    1,483
    May 31, 2007
    Fresno, CA
    Straight-up disrespect. I hope we use it.
     
    Last edited by a moderator: May 29, 2024
    • Agree Agree x 5
    • Winner Winner x 3
    • Like Like x 1
    • Off-topic Off-topic x 1
  13. May 29, 2024 #13
    Endless Excuses

    Endless Excuses GC Hall of Fame

    2,897
    1,108
    2,628
    Jan 13, 2010
    Swampville
    SMH...an underdog to UM at home... for all my Gator blood a 35 point win for us wont be enough.
     
    Last edited by a moderator: May 29, 2024
    • Agree Agree x 4
    • Like Like x 1
    • Funny Funny x 1
    • Off-topic Off-topic x 1
  14. May 29, 2024 #14
    fox

    fox GC Hall of Fame

    17,846
    28,598
    3,328
    Apr 3, 2007
    Florida Beachland
    We're in dire need of a confidence building win streak. 41-17 in the first game would be a fine start.
     
    • Agree Agree x 6
    • Like Like x 4
    • Optimistic Optimistic x 2
    • Funny Funny x 1
  15. May 29, 2024 #15
    GatorRade

    GatorRade Rad Scientist

    8,696
    1,625
    1,478
    Apr 3, 2007
    I would not be surprised. Also this far out, the line, if it’s even real, is more like a futures bet. The line that we see a week before the game is often rather different than these future casts.
     
    • Agree Agree x 3
    • Optimistic Optimistic x 1
  16. May 29, 2024 #16
    DieAGator

    DieAGator GC Hall of Fame

    18,122
    778
    1,558
    Apr 3, 2007
    We WILL score more than 17pts.


    J/K
     
    Last edited: May 29, 2024
    • Funny Funny x 5
  17. May 29, 2024 #17
    sierragator

    sierragator GC Hall of Fame

    15,369
    13,235
    1,853
    Apr 8, 2007
    A home dog to scUM. Prove them wrong Gators!
     
    • Agree Agree x 4
    • Like Like x 3
  18. May 29, 2024 #18
    ThePlayer

    ThePlayer VIP Member

    37,862
    5,059
    2,193
    Apr 3, 2007
    That score would actually require Napier to pass more than run.
    Pretty sure that's not part of his DNA.
     
    • Like Like x 1
    • Agree Agree x 1
    • Funny Funny x 1
    • Creative Creative x 1
  19. May 29, 2024 #19
    ThePlayer

    ThePlayer VIP Member

    37,862
    5,059
    2,193
    Apr 3, 2007
    Not good but I'm going thru the numbers now.
    Billy's 9-4 at home over 2 years but clearly didn't cover the spread against teams like Kentucky, USF, LSU, Charlotte, Arkansas.
     
    • Informative Informative x 1
  20. May 30, 2024 #20
    wingtee

    wingtee GC Hall of Fame

    13,879
    23,693
    3,248
    Apr 11, 2007
    Daytona Beach
    Ward is really good. He will be ready
     
    • Funny Funny x 1
Page 1 of 7