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Inflation remains hotter than expected, muddying path for Fed rate cuts

Discussion in 'Too Hot for Swamp Gas' started by okeechobee, Apr 10, 2024.

  1. okeechobee

    okeechobee GC Hall of Fame

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    Yeah, he wouldn't end the two stupid wars, drill oil until there was a glut or reduce regulations to reduce supply constraints. Heaven forbid we had someone with business acumen in there who made his bones doing something that didn't involve massive plagiarism and lying about resume. You mean the guy who can barely find his way off stage and hasn't worked a day in the private sector in over 50 years can't figure out inflation?? Shocker!!
     
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  2. oragator1

    oragator1 Hurricane Hunter Premium Member

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    I figured another generic answer was coming.
    Once an inflationary period starts, you know well that the federal government can do almost nothing. The fed is the only group with any real ability, and they can only raise rates to further mitigate it. So if you want Trump elected so that rates can further be raised beyond what Biden’s appointee has done because 3.5 percent inflation isn’t tolerable, try that as the election pitch, and see how it goes.
     
  3. BLING

    BLING GC Hall of Fame

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    Inflation is 3.4%. I’d say that’s pretty manageable. What is there for the White House to “figure out”?

    Interestingly, a number of states are already seeing inflation basically at the fed target. Know which state is actually contributing most to inflation right now? Florida at 4%!

    CPI inflation is highest in these U.S. states and lowest in these

    With housing prices, insurance rates, and some of the other rising prices in FL, it makes one wonder why ya’ll aren’t blaming Desantis for inflation (not actually wondering, it’s obvious).
     
  4. AzCatFan

    AzCatFan GC Hall of Fame

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    We're drilling oil at all time record rates. Problem is, for automobile gas, much ifv the oil is too crude. So drilling more when you can't use it in cars, and are already drilling at record rates won't solve jack.

    Trump is also proposing new tariffs. Think companies won't pawn these costs onto consumers? Of course they will. Tariffs are inflationary.

    We're also experiencing labor shortages. And remember, Trump cut legal immigration, and we're down over 1 million legal immigrant workers. We're still suffering from this. If elected again, Trump promised to deport millions. Legal or not, removing millions from an already tight labor pool would too be inflationary.

    I trust Biden over Trump to handle inflation. And I certainly trust Biden's advisors over v Trump's "best people," many of whom are v either in jail or vehemently campaigning against Trump.
     
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  5. docspor

    docspor GC Hall of Fame

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    Hugely underrated FU IMO
     
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  6. gatorpa

    gatorpa GC Hall of Fame

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    So are you trying to say the Trump tax cuts fueled inflation, that’s what the thread is about or were you just throwing something in the air hopping it would land on something?
    Whatever the Trump tax cuts added to the National Debt pales in comparison to the increase in the National Debt over the last 3 years. Isn’t it going up like 1 trillion dollars every hundred days right now, but I’m sure that’s Trump’s fault too.
     
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  7. gatorpa

    gatorpa GC Hall of Fame

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    Gas price hikes now are more due to the Middle East mess than summer demand.
     
  8. gatorpa

    gatorpa GC Hall of Fame

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    Many economists felt the spike in inflation was increased by 3% overall from Government spending.
    Now if you’re mincing words and only including direct payments to citizens under the term “stimulus” you may be right. Most are referring to all the excess government spending including loose monetary policy not just stimulus checks that people got.
     
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  9. docspor

    docspor GC Hall of Fame

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    do you think tax cuts stimulate the economy?
     
  10. gatorpa

    gatorpa GC Hall of Fame

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    I’ve seen the idea suggested that the tight labor market has increased inflation, and that less immigration has made it worse. I’m assuming the tight labor market has increased wages and that’s the “reason” its lead to higher inflation. If that’s true then hasn’t increasing the minimum wage increased inflation too? I’ve been told by the left it doesn’t do that, so which is it?
     
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  11. docspor

    docspor GC Hall of Fame

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    So, the Trump fanboyz think he'd handle inf.


    Trump was pitched possibly the biggest political softball in the history of the universe & managed to become a hysterical prig instead of just pretending to be a leader. If you don't know what I'm referring to, good god.
     
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  12. docspor

    docspor GC Hall of Fame

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    they are both inflationary. eliminate the min wage & increase legal immigration. gee, I wonder if either of our parties run on that.
     
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  13. gatorpa

    gatorpa GC Hall of Fame

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    They can, but what was the rate of inflation after the Trump tax cuts and before we shut down half the country and dumped 5-6 trillion into the economy?

    2017 Annual inflation was 2.1%
    2018 2.4%
    2019 1.8%
    2020 1.2% (covid).

    I don’t see a direct sustained rise after the 2017 tax cuts…
     
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  14. docspor

    docspor GC Hall of Fame

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    I don't understand what pt you are trying to make. the economy does not exist in a lab. there are many forces acting on it. I was simply asking, do you think tax cuts stimulate the economy. Something can be inflationary without causing a rise in inflation. Think about it.

    perhaps you recall, we'd spent the decade before those cuts desperately trying to stave off deflation.
     
    Last edited: Apr 10, 2024
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  15. gatorpa

    gatorpa GC Hall of Fame

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    My response to you perhaps was also in response to a poster up thread who suggested the Trump tax cuts have a lot to do with our current state of inflation.
     
  16. AgingGator

    AgingGator GC Hall of Fame

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    I predicted high interest rates with a lot of pain and likely recession. I still hold that view.
     
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  17. gator_lawyer

    gator_lawyer VIP Member

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    If you keep predicting a recession, you will eventually be right.
     
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  18. studegator

    studegator GC Legend

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    With our national dept rising at unprecedented rates, time to pay the piper---
     
  19. citygator

    citygator VIP Member

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    You have to admit the economy under Biden has been much more resilient than you expected. Most of you have been calling for an economic downturn since Trump skipped the inauguration. I have no idea where it is going but currently our economy is leading the free world.
     
  20. gator7_5

    gator7_5 GC Hall of Fame

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