So they certainly seemed to have peaked. These are the official numbers, real numbers are probably worse. China's population falls for a 2nd straight year as births drop even after end of one-child policy
And this, https://www.wsj.com/world/china/chinas-growth-slows-to-three-decade-low-excluding-pandemic-93d61487
No one (foreign) is investing in China these days and the young people are paying for it with massive joblessness.
Sadly, I agree w you Homer: Economic challenges Decreasing population Millions of young men without jobs nor women to date…. Time to redirect everyone’s attention to “bad, bad Taiwan.”
and 10s of thousands coming here. The ‘walking route’: How an underground industry is helping migrants flee China for the US | CNN
This is the big threat. China as an economy has peaked but it’s possible xi will try to wag the dog by invading Taiwan. I hope that the corruption in the military as strong as I think it is.
Well according to Peter Zeihan, China's population demographics will completely collapse in the next 20 years, leading to complete economic and societal disintegration. I'm not sure I am buying into that concept as comprehensively as outlined by Mr. Zeihan.
China set to lose 60 percent of population by century's end China's population of over 1.4 billion could drop by a precipitous 60 percent by the end of the century, according to a Chinese think tank. By 2100, the world's second-largest population could number just 525 million, the Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences (SASS) has predicted. The report came on the heels of Chinese statistics bureau data showing that more people died than were born in China for the second consecutive year in 2023. The SASS's new figure is 62 million people fewer than the academy's projection last ye
The economic model that requires growing population is over. Even the BRIC population will decline by the second half of this century. The World economy will adjust, unfortunately it might require WW3 for it to happen.
The US benefits from them coming too. Unfortunately our anti-immigration contingent can’t wrap their heads around that.
It wasn’t my calculation but a 1% population drop is significant. It sounds like recently it has been more than 1%.
I agree we benefit, it’s just that we need a more orderly process, and there’s a point to which so many are difficult to assimilate.
It's probably working out exactly as they expected. It takes about 3 generations of one child policy before you start seeing a decline in population, so 50 years later, that's where we are at. China did end the policy in 2015, with a two child policy, which would keep the population stable in theory. Of course, there are other factors like women who can't or don't have two children, which would cause a slow decline even if most women did have two children.
A birthrate of 2.1 and change is considered zero population growth. A two child policy would continue a native population decline.
