2024 NCAA Men's basketball tournament

That's a very limited subsection of Gator hoops history you are longing for.

 

I LIKE your math! LOL (or projection)
However I do agree this may be a bit on the "optimistic" side of things.

I know one thing, the NCAA tourney, without the Gators is a real bummer. My interest level drops about 33%
and I love the tourney.

 

my interest level drops 99% when we're not in it

 

I think we are slightly better than 50-50 to go 10-8 versus 9-9.

In the predict the Gator SEC schedule contest I had UF at 11-7 but when predicting the overall record I submitted 10-8 because I thought there were a few games where we were slightly favored and expected to lose one of them but I didn't know which one.

 

I had UF at 11-7 in the SEC before the start of the conference schedule.

 

If we go above 8-8 it will be a miracle. A very welcome miracle but a miracle nonetheless, even if that's the projection...I would love to see it happen but not holding my breath

 

That's only 16 games, we play 18 SEC games. We're at 3-3, I wouldn't consider going 6-6 a miracle when we play Vandy 2x, UGA 2x, LSU, Missouri and still host both Bama schools.

 

sorry 9-9. I'm thinking old SEC schedule.

That doesn't sound too bad, except at Vandy is always tough and at UGA might be tougher than we think

 

Hang in there Jphill. There's room for hope. Here's the Gators probability of winning the remaining games per ESPN's matchup predictor:

GA.............79.6
at UK.........29.1
at A&M.......30.5
Aub............41.1
LSU............82.6
at GA..........53.6
at AL...........15.1
Vandy..........95.3
Mizzou.........88.5
at SC...........51.4
AL...............41.0
at Vandy.......84.4

Obviously an inexact indicator, but if those probabilities were to hold true, we'd be hovering just above .500 in conference. We could get a less expected win or two and go better than 10-8. We could also drop a game or two we're not supposed to and as fans become all . . .

 

that looks exactly like me after a loss
I do like those odds...yes could drop one or two we should win, but know knows...maybe we win one or two we shouldn't. I just like to taper my expectations, so i look a little less like that dog at season's end

 

Right now we are on schedule to go 9-9. I thought 8-10 so we are trending in the right direction.

 

I am always incorrect.

Incorrect means horny, right?

 

It's a goat . But yeah, I hear ya on tapering expectations. That's been the way in recent years.

 

Yep. One of the fainting goats. A very apt metaphor for Gator basketball fans.

 

It's Friday. my focus is a bit off. Could be the wine

 

5 home games and 6 road games left.

5-0 at home and 3-3 on the road is very doable if we can play at least mediocre on defense and get solid offensive performances.

 

i do like your optimism
I don't know if i share it, especially after this game, but i do like it

 

Not sure we beat Bama and Auburn at home. I'd like to see us get one of the next three and go 6-5 down the stretch, getting us to 20 wins and above .500 in conf.

 

Six Quad-1 games total left for UF,
four are on the road (Gators need to steal one or two here).
and two Quad-1 games are at home: Auburn & Alabama.

Winning Quad1 games moves the needle for UF's ranking.
If Florida can go 3-3/2-4 in those games, that would be very helpful to their NCAA placement!

The most likely to least likely Q1-win probability:
at Texas AM (#39)
at S. Carolina (#51)
Auburn (H), #8
Alabama (H), #7
at Kentucky (#22)
at Alabama (#7)

 

We got get one of the next three. We held serve at home… Barely… But we did it.