2023 Picks Panel Thread --- Week 11

Oregon - 200

 

This game drives me crazy. I picked Washington (-9.5). They are up by 7 with 1:47 left, try a 32 yard field goal to cover the spread, and Utah blocks it. They only win by 7 points. I also just read that Wahington had a pick six only for the guy to drop it prematurly before the goal line and Utah recovered it. Even though Washington got a safety it is still at least a four point swing.

Almost every week something stupid like this happens that costs me my pick.

 

To make it worse, Washington intercepted a deep pass on fourth down when if he had batted it down they would’ve gotten the ball close to the goal line. Perhaps they run it in. As it was, they just ran out the clock.

Fortunately, I pick Utah.

 

I should've never edited my picks. I added some additional games ....why? Idk myself. I needed Washington to not do whatever it was they did on their last couple possessions to screw me up and Oregon to just not let usc get garbage points. Screw the pac 12 smh lol

 

And UCF screwed several of our picks in both games.

 

Pretty good week for the panel as a whole, though some of us took it on the chin, too. Eleven of 18 panelists were + this week. @Distant Gator was the biggest winner. (Unofficial) by the numbers:

• Faves went 6-4 and are 63-44-3 on the season.
• With 11 panelists in the plus, the middle of the pack is getting thicker.
• None went bust, keeping 18 alive in what started as a 37 member panel.
• Distant was +265
• Being patient for Gator football to become competitive again is getting old quick.

 

If my calculations are right, if you bet 100 on all the favorites each week, all 10 games, your score today would be 1370.

 

Yes, you’re correct. I forgot about the starting amount (and I also thought it said 43 losers not 44.)

 

But would you have the 1000 to bet each week?

 

Yes. 100 on every favorite.

 

Yes, but do the losses leave you with less than 1000 to bet with some weeks based on how the games played out.

 

It could if first week is net negative. If first week positive then you have a cushion. Any given week could be negative. If you drop below 1000 then adjust bets accordingly.

Theoretically you could lose all first week, but I think the odds are small.

I originally looked at the overall won-loss records, but you are right in that each week is played separately.

 

Just saying that those numbers y’all threw out there on playing the favorites assumes that your bankroll is always over 1000

 

That's an Interesting tactic that sounds kind of fun to test.

 

What’s the minimum bet? Maybe another sound strategy lol

 

The minimum is a 100 and I believe so far Realty has done 100 each week.