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Let's Watch These Kids Grow Together . . .

Discussion in 'RayGator's Swamp Gas' started by ETGator, Sep 11, 2023.

  1. Skink

    Skink GC Hall of Fame

    Don’t forget Mach number.
    Air density affects Mach number, which is a function of air speed. I think this is all beginning to make sense.
     
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  2. Gatorrick22

    Gatorrick22 GC Hall of Fame

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    You have to throw in Barometric pressure too... Lol.
     
  3. Skink

    Skink GC Hall of Fame

    Absolutely
     
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  4. n210sgator

    n210sgator All American

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    Wind shear
     
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  5. Skink

    Skink GC Hall of Fame

    Matt would be proud of us :cool:
     
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  6. ETGator

    ETGator Long-Time Gator Stuck In East Tennessee Moderator VIP Member

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  7. ETGator

    ETGator Long-Time Gator Stuck In East Tennessee Moderator VIP Member

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  8. ETGator

    ETGator Long-Time Gator Stuck In East Tennessee Moderator VIP Member

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    Disagree . . . disagree . . . DISAGREE . . . but posting it anyway:

    [​IMG]
     
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  9. gatorwalrus

    gatorwalrus GC Hall of Fame

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    Surprised this hasn't been posted yet, must watch if you are at all into analytics or tendencies. Bud does a nice job of explaining in a rather simple way what the metrics like success rate and EPA stand for.



    Some high level notes for those that don't want to spend an hour:
    • Bottom 5 amongst power 5 teams in rushing, this was surprisingly low.
    • Passing offense and total defense average. Defense almost dead center of the graph.
    They focus almost entirely on the offense.
    • High success rate with low explosiveness, compared UF to service academy profiles where triple option consistently gains yardage, but few big plays.
    • 0 plays from 10 personnel, AKA 4 WR (This one stood out to me)
    • Things that work: RPO, Deep balls to Wide/Slot, Screens
    • Every rushing category is negative EPA, so we hand the ball off means we are taking points off the board, "that's terrible."
    • BN runs about 50/50 Pistol and non Pistol. Pistol is good, non pistol is bad. It is night and day.
    • One of the biggest inditements of BN. 68% run out of pistol, 64% pass out of non pistol. Paraphrased "Without knowing anything else, if the D were to guess run/pass based on formation they would be able to predict 2/3 of our plays."
    • Against 2 high safeties we are 96% run when in pistol. Almost half our plays, if the D goes 2 high we run, period. Allows safeties to run downhill and stuff run game.
    • Passing out of pistol is great, only concern is too many check downs.
    • Got to break tendencies and get out of our "rut."
    • Should be better than Vandy and SC on both sides of the ball. Still able to win against anyone because football so high variance.
    • Biggest surprise: Mertz numbers at Wisconsin were bad, is the thing working the best in our offense. Defense playing well given how young they are.
     
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  10. ETGator

    ETGator Long-Time Gator Stuck In East Tennessee Moderator VIP Member

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    Good find . . . although I haven't watched yet. I will. Thanks! I put it in our stats and analytics thread so more would see it. It would have fallen down, then off, page 1 by itself.

    @Gatorrick22 could tell us off the top of his head we haven't run 10 personnel yet (or 5 man fronts) because he has been begging for both! LOL! :)

    The bad news (predictability with a 66.7% chance of just guessing based on formation) can easily be turned to good news if Coach changes his initial impulses and runs from non-pistol or throws from pistol. Easy . . . if he wants to do it. Sometimes you fall into these predictable patterns though trying to get into a rhythm. I wouldn't mind seeing more Air Raid plays (yes we run them) with the RPOs and run them all from no huddles.
     
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  11. ETGator

    ETGator Long-Time Gator Stuck In East Tennessee Moderator VIP Member

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    PS -- Thinking about the kids seeing so much 2HS . . . Cover 2 is used to disguise a lot. It starts looking like a Cover 2 and then players move, so that may throw off some stats a little: Pre-snap versus what the D actually ran. Still haven't had time to watch.
     
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  12. Gatorrick22

    Gatorrick22 GC Hall of Fame

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    Lol... and I thought no one was listening to me. :D
     
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  13. iam4uf

    iam4uf GC Hall of Fame

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    We're not as bad as I'd think from listening to people online...

    upload_2023-10-5_23-13-15.png
     
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  14. iam4uf

    iam4uf GC Hall of Fame

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    upload_2023-10-5_23-28-22.png
     
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  15. iam4uf

    iam4uf GC Hall of Fame

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    upload_2023-10-5_23-43-35.png
     
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  16. ETGator

    ETGator Long-Time Gator Stuck In East Tennessee Moderator VIP Member

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    Sorry . . . I forgot to keep this updated this week. Must've been busy doing other things around here . . . LOL! :)

     
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  17. ETGator

    ETGator Long-Time Gator Stuck In East Tennessee Moderator VIP Member

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  18. ETGator

    ETGator Long-Time Gator Stuck In East Tennessee Moderator VIP Member

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    [​IMG]
     
  19. ETGator

    ETGator Long-Time Gator Stuck In East Tennessee Moderator VIP Member

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    [​IMG]
     
  20. ETGator

    ETGator Long-Time Gator Stuck In East Tennessee Moderator VIP Member

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    [​IMG]
     
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