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CAT 5 Hurricane Lee

Discussion in 'Too Hot for Swamp Gas' started by jeffbrig, Sep 6, 2023.

  1. jeffbrig

    jeffbrig GC Hall of Fame

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    Probably a hurricane next update, but get ready for a monster. NHC guidance only goes out 5 days, but the longer range models are all suggesting it'll turn north well before reaching FL.

    Expected to reach 150mph within 72 hours, and stay there for multiple days. MAJOR hurricane.

    [​IMG]
     
  2. danmanne65

    danmanne65 GC Hall of Fame

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    What I have noticed is that the cones of uncertainty have been getting tighter. I am not ready to say this will definitely miss Florida but it seems highly likely.
     
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  3. Gator40

    Gator40 Avada Kedavra

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    As already mentioned, the long range shows a frontal boundary that will set up in Virginia through Carolinas down to Georgia and that should keep it away from the coast. Hopefully it'll be strong enough to sweep it out to the Atlantic.

    Timing will be important. If the boundary comes in later and or weaker, it could allow it to track further west and endanger the southeast coast.
     
  4. citygator

    citygator VIP Member

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    Any chance of it skipping by Gainesville and hitting Tallahassee, Athens, and Knoxville's football dorms?

    [​IMG]pr
     
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  5. tampagtr

    tampagtr VIP Member

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    Been following. Everything says north but still worried
     
  6. sierragator

    sierragator GC Hall of Fame

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    Hopefully that front pulls in out into the atlantic and away from Bermuda, the Bahamas, and the US east coast.
     
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  7. tilly

    tilly Superhero Mod. Fast witted. Bulletproof posts. Moderator VIP Member

    Heck Baton Rouge too, for laying an egg Sunday night.
     
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  8. duggers_dad

    duggers_dad GC Hall of Fame

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    At last check Lee is trending southward. Potential bad news …
     
  9. ursidman

    ursidman VIP Member

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    The mean date for landfall of A hurricane in FL is Sept 10 so Lee is punctual.
     
  10. channingcrowderhungry

    channingcrowderhungry Premium Member

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    Bottom of a pint glass
    [​IMG]
     
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  11. gatorpa

    gatorpa GC Hall of Fame

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    Last storm the models were all very tight. The Euro had it within 30 miles of actual land fall 3 days out.
     
    • Informative Informative x 1
  12. oragator1

    oragator1 Hurricane Hunter Premium Member

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    • Informative Informative x 3
  13. tampagtr

    tampagtr VIP Member

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  14. oragator1

    oragator1 Hurricane Hunter Premium Member

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  15. 96Gatorcise

    96Gatorcise Hurricane Hunter

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    Fish Storm
     
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  16. dynogator

    dynogator VIP Member

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    Are you referring to barometric pressure? 907 isn't that low is it? Wilma, for example was 882.
     
  17. exiledgator

    exiledgator Gruntled

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    Andrew was 922.
    Irma was 914.
     
  18. ga8orman1

    ga8orman1 Premium Member

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    Thanks to climate change this looks like it will miss Florida
     
    • Funny Funny x 1
  19. sierragator

    sierragator GC Hall of Fame

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    That track is not all that uncommon: wnw or nw track until between the Bahamas and Bermuda, then a recurve north, then northeast. Andrew was an exception.
     
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  20. ga8orman1

    ga8orman1 Premium Member

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    You are missing the point. Don't you realize EVERYTHING is now caused by climate change? Get with the program.
     
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