Welcome home, fellow Gator.

The Gator Nation's oldest and most active insider community
Join today!
  1. Hi there... Can you please quickly check to make sure your email address is up to date here? Just in case we need to reach out to you or you lose your password. Muchero thanks!

Legalized judicial racism…

Discussion in 'Too Hot for Swamp Gas' started by UFLawyer, Jul 10, 2023.

  1. dynogator

    dynogator VIP Member

    6,373
    318
    418
    Apr 9, 2007
    Who said anything about a "global scale?"

    It is absolutely known what everyone had, thanks to emails, texts, and testimonies. No speculation required. The "info," was also conveyed via MAGA flags, t-shirts, and posters. Everyone knew what the mob was rallying for. To pretend uncertainly of the mission is the height of disingenuous.
     
  2. UFLawyer

    UFLawyer GC Hall of Fame

    6,411
    418
    198
    Apr 3, 2007
    Florida
    how many baristas have PhDs? 30%. That means nothing, and a degree in criminology does not give you any insight into how an actual legal dispute gets resolved. You assert that “individual level variance” , (which appears to be term you made up as there is no recognized definition or even use of the term anywhere) provides the basis for the legitimacy of your referenced studies. But your flawed example gives you away. I gave you a small list of variables that are inherent in our judicial system, by no means complete, and you try to compare that to unemployment. Unemployment has very few variables, and frankly, it doesn’t have any moving parts. That is primarily a study of data in number form.

    claiming there is bias in sentencing has a shit more amount of variables, all the while they are moving parts. First and foremost, when you’re claiming a bias in sentencing, that cannot be done unless you’re doing some type of comparative analysis. There is no such analysis that I am aware of for unemployment. If you’re going to suggest, by way of analysis, that Judge Jones gave a stiffer sentence to black defendants, then, he did to white defendants, then you need to know the specifics of the charges against both defendants, their backgrounds, what mitigating factors were involved. None of that is going to be captured by your data analysis that you are citing. Instead, you were looking at General statistical data, showing the number of years Black people are sentenced versus the number of years. White people are setenced. But that is so simplistic it does not provide any guidance as to why that occurred. It is the why that matters, which you don’t find in any detail in any analysis for unemployment. There is no general statistical data that you could analyze to determine why Judge Jones gave a stiffer sentence to a black defendant, versus a white defendant. You would actually have to pick up both case files to look at the facts. The sentencing is fact dependent. Another variable that isn’t captured by looking at simple statistical conviction data.

    Part of what makes our legal system both good and bad is that the judges have a great deal of discretion in sentencing, for the most part. That discretion can’t be measured in any data analysis. In fact, in simplistic terms, one could argue that judicial discretion eliminates any general conclusion for bias unless you go on a case by case basis. Another problem of your global study is that you’re comparing apples to oranges pretty much across the board. You can’t compare a judges sentence in Chicago for robbery with a judges sentence in Baton Rouge for robbery. Each state has its own laws, and own sentencing guidelines. What may be a minimum sentence in one state, may be a maximum sentence in another state. What may be a crime in one state, may not be a crime in another state. What may be a felony in one state may be a misdemeanor in another. This list could go on and on. Your PhD folks do not have the resources, skills or direction to gather all of this data. IMO, even if you were able to capture all of the data from every judge, from every courthouse in the United States, on every case, and had the world‘s most powerful computer, I still do not believe that any reasonable conclusion could be reached on bias based upon all of that data. It would be nothing but speculation. The facts which go into a criminal conviction aren’t as simple as “is x employed or not.”

    imagine you have a 5000 piece jigsaw puzzle. You have no idea what the puzzle is portraying. If you put together 100 pieces of the puzzle, do you think you would have a clue as to what the other 4900 pieces of the puzzle show would you be able to draw a conclusion based upon those few pieces of the puzzle? Now imagine that that same 5000 piece puzzle that you were trying to put together is constantly changing its pieces. That is our judicial system. Every day, dozens, if not, hundreds of judges retire, and they are replaced by new judges. It is always a moving system. New district, attorneys, new defense, attorneys, even new laws.

    so I stand by my opinion that the reference point for your opinion is crap.
     
  3. UFLawyer

    UFLawyer GC Hall of Fame

    6,411
    418
    198
    Apr 3, 2007
    Florida
    tinfoil opinions are hilarious. You think everyone there was part of a bee hive, with queen bee Trump giving directions through pheromones. How cute.
     
  4. dynogator

    dynogator VIP Member

    6,373
    318
    418
    Apr 9, 2007
    I didn't say any of that. I didn't even mention Trump. You can't argue the point, so you're reduced to corny summations.
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  5. UFLawyer

    UFLawyer GC Hall of Fame

    6,411
    418
    198
    Apr 3, 2007
    Florida
    I never claimed you said it, but that’s the implication of your assertion. For you to suggest that you or anyone else knows what the hundred thousand plus people in Washington DC were actually thinking on January 6 is laughable. Were there idiots on that day trying to create havoc? Yes. Were the vast majority of people in Washington DC that day committing criminal acts? absolutely not. Was it an insurrection? Absolutely not.
     
  6. dynogator

    dynogator VIP Member

    6,373
    318
    418
    Apr 9, 2007
    The people committing the crimes were in the Capitol building, not in the entirety of DC. It's ludicrous for you to even think that's what I've been arguing.

    You say potato, I say insurrection. Hang the Veep. Stop the election process in order to overturn the outcome. Employ violence. Sounds pretty insurrection-y to me.
     
  7. mdgator05

    mdgator05 Premium Member

    16,251
    2,097
    1,718
    Dec 9, 2010
    Completely made up statistics are fun. BTW, the best info I can find on this had the percentage at 0%.

    What education do baristas have? - CareerExplorer

    Yes, it actually does. Studying something does actually give you insight into that thing. Extremely smart people dedicating their life to the study of a topic do tend to know about the topic.

    Okay, I am going to stop here for a minute. I did not invent the term individual-level variance. It is such a self-explanatory term that I doubt anybody felt the need to define it. It is variance...at the individual level. It is commonly used in research.

    Well, that is flat untrue. Unemployment is an extremely complicated topic with a lot of factors. Studying the effect of anything on unemployment would require you to control for a bunch of variables.

    Okay, this long-winded thing is calling for...control variables. I guarantee you that researchers look into these issues. Far more than you do, in fact. If anything, they spend an almost ridiculous amount of time trying to control for these issues and figure out what is important, what is biasing to results, etc. You don't have to control for literally everything. You have to control for variables that might be related to the relationship being studied. And yes, many of these studies control for state/region, factors in the case (e.g., how violent the crime was), prior history of the defendant, etc. I can't imagine that there is a researcher out there running a bivariate regression on this topic.

    Yes, this is literally what researchers do. They have the skills. That is what you learn in a PhD program and from decades of working in research. And researchers have access to supercomputers, which can run extremely complicated models on billions of observations with tens of thousands of variables. But that would be unnecessary for this sort of a model without some sort of really heavy lift on the estimation side. Heck, I just ran an extremely complicated model with hundreds of thousands of observations, and about 5,000 variables...on my laptop...this morning. And if I had run it with a simple high-dimensional fixed effects model, it would have taken about 10 seconds.

    You really should be more careful in making these claims, when you clearly have no clue what you are talking about in regards to how researchers function and what resources they have.

    Again...control variables.

    And I stand my opinion that you have absolutely no idea about how research is conducted but like to pretend that you do in your criticism of it.
     
    • Dislike Dislike x 1
    • Winner Winner x 1
  8. UFLawyer

    UFLawyer GC Hall of Fame

    6,411
    418
    198
    Apr 3, 2007
    Florida
    I know eight people who have received their PhD’s over the last 25 years. Two of them worked for Starbucks after graduation. They have since moved on to better jobs, neither one of which has anything to do with their degree.

    I did not say you invented the words, I said you invented the term. If you Google that term, you will come up with nothing. Perhaps you’ll have better luck than me, but I haven’t found that term used in any study, or in any discussion regarding analysis of data, or anything else for that matter. I understood what you were trying to state based upon the word choice, but your example was rather nonsensical in my mind.

    I stand by my assessment of using somebody with a PhD in criminology to try to ascertain the necessary information to reach the conclusion you’re attempting to reach. Somebody with a degree in criminology would have little idea of the minutia of data needed to analyze criminal sentencing for bias, but more to the point of what I posted, you would need hundreds, if not, thousands of criminologist, working for months in order to be able to ascertain the data to make any reasonable conclusion. You cannot compare a criminal conviction in Chicago with one in New Orleans, unless you were looking at the underlying facts, and also have an understanding of the applicable law.

    it’s not that a PhD in criminology is less equipped, necessarily, than any other profession, it is the sheer volume of variable data needed to come to a conclusion that there is bias by judges in sentencing. Every single defendant who could be a subject of this study that you’re discussing, would have to be reviewed independently. Otherwise, you’re just making assumptions, which I know people who like to farm data, and create graphs love to do, but assumptions are meaningless.

    to summarize my point once again, you can’t make assumptions about any sentencing by a court. There are just too many factors and variables, and a criminologist wouldn’t even begin to scratch the surface, unless they live in a courthouse with a particular judge for a period of time. And you would need a lot of those people in all of the different courthouses studying each individual judge. Perhaps, you are thinking of the claim of systemic bias in incarceration, but that’s not what we’re talking about here. That is its own topic. One could argue that more Black people are in jail because they’re being arrested more often, or charged more often than their counterparts of other races. I don’t believe that that is true either. But sentencing is done by a living judge, not a system.

    On your final point, I never claimed I am an expert on research. But I am an expert on the functioning of the judicial system, and that is what we were talking about here. You are trying to come to a conclusion about the judicial system, claiming that your research can identify bias in sentencing. I’m claiming that there is no amount of Feasible research to ever reach such a conclusion.
     
  9. mdgator05

    mdgator05 Premium Member

    16,251
    2,097
    1,718
    Dec 9, 2010
    Sure.

    Enjoy the list:

    Google Scholar

    You realize that this is what PhD's do all day right? Develop their knowledge of the minutia of their topic. In fact, at its most basic level, the grounds for tenure is that you are a world-renowned expert (i.e., you possess amongst the most understanding of a specific issue in the world).

    You would need to code these defendants based upon known factors. Which is something that researchers routinely do. Sometimes they do it themselves. Sometimes, they use secondary data that classifies observations and provides observations of important variables. Sometimes they have graduate students do the coding. This is life as a researcher in social sciences. It is what we do.

    Systems are run by living people. A living person arrested them. A living person charged them. But no, it is not necessary to live with a judge to statistically study something that they and their colleagues do.

    You are not an expert on bias or on how to analyze data, clearly. So your last sentence is based more on your wish than your knowledge.
     
    • Winner Winner x 1
  10. UFLawyer

    UFLawyer GC Hall of Fame

    6,411
    418
    198
    Apr 3, 2007
    Florida
    you are ignoring the point of my post. Bias in sentencing requires the comparison of identical or near identical convictions. Those two data points are judicial unicorns. You can’t conclude that judge Judy’s 5 year sentence for 3rd degree burglary for a black man in NY is comparable to Judge Dredd’s 3 year sentence for a white man’s burglary in California (which doesn’t even have third-degree burglary) without knowing dozens of factors, many of which are not found in the file, which you don’t even necessarily get access to. It is not feasible and if you think otherwise you are just wrong. Unless you have worked for the State Attorney (check), clerked for a judge (check) and/or practiced law (check) you can have all the experience in the world on analytic data, but if you can’t get the data you are pulling your pud.

    Have a magical day.
     
  11. mdgator05

    mdgator05 Premium Member

    16,251
    2,097
    1,718
    Dec 9, 2010
    Actually, it doesn't. It requires control variables for the differences between convictions, such that you can compare the convictions. You are thinking of matching models, which wouldn't even require that if you used a method like propensity score matching.

    Sentencing data will contain dozens of factors. Probably more than that. Which is how those papers control for dozens of variables.
     
    • Come On Man Come On Man x 2
    • Like Like x 1
  12. UFLawyer

    UFLawyer GC Hall of Fame

    6,411
    418
    198
    Apr 3, 2007
    Florida
    So in your mind you can show bias in sentencing without actually comparing anything? SMH. Do you even know the definition of bias or the actual subject matter of this thread? Everything in your last post is wrong. Everything! I will give you credit for trolling and wasting my time.
     
    • Winner Winner x 1
  13. stingbb

    stingbb Premium Member

    4,450
    844
    2,543
    Apr 3, 2007
    I could care a less if blacks receive longer sentences than whites or that women receive shorter sentences than men.

    Simple solution to this disparity in sentencing everyone is all worked up about and that is to not commit crimes in the first place. If you are stupid enough to do so, don’t cry about fairness when
    your punishment is handed down.
     
    • Fistbump/Thanks! Fistbump/Thanks! x 1
    • Come On Man Come On Man x 1
  14. mdgator05

    mdgator05 Premium Member

    16,251
    2,097
    1,718
    Dec 9, 2010
    Again, you clearly know nothing about statistics and how to analyze issues. No, not all statistical models are matching models.
     
    • Dislike Dislike x 1
  15. docspor

    docspor GC Hall of Fame

    5,875
    1,860
    3,078
    Nov 30, 2010
    transmissions from la la land. I am white as shit & I have been arrested, charged & punished 3 times for doing NOTHING.
     
    • Funny Funny x 1
  16. gatordavisl

    gatordavisl VIP Member

    32,379
    55,070
    3,753
    Apr 8, 2007
    northern MN
    Calling @mutz87 - I know you're taking time away from the board, but would love to read your insight here.
     
    • Like Like x 1
    • Off-topic Off-topic x 1
  17. docspor

    docspor GC Hall of Fame

    5,875
    1,860
    3,078
    Nov 30, 2010
    it's cute/scary that you think your wonderful BIG GOV is infallible

    1st time. 3rd time telling it here. There was Krystals on Cassat (sp) ave near Roosevelt in Jax. In Jan or Feb of 1985, I was home from fresh year at UF. I am eager to raid the fridge when I get home, but Steve wants to stop at Krystals. As many know, the men's room door is on the outside. Place looks rowdy & crowded at 1am, so we hit the drive through. We park to eat in a place where you can't see the BR door. I need to go & do. Cop car parked right in front of the BR door. I go in, pee, wash hands & push the lever to the soap dispenser. The soap dispenser falls into the sink. As I note the duct tape on its back, the cop barges in, pulls me out, throws me against the car, handcuffs me & reads me my rights. Manager is brought out & seems confused. Cop tells him, if i didn't go in there when I did, he'd've torn the place up. My lawyer sez it's my word v. the cops, so plead guilty or this judge will screw you.

    oh, roughly 6 months later, me & my UF roomie take a drive to Jax & I walked in there & ripped the soap dispenser off the wall & mounted back at my apt in Gville. I did the time, & by god I was gonna do the crime.
     
  18. Orange_and_Bluke

    Orange_and_Bluke Premium Member

    10,321
    2,543
    3,288
    Dec 16, 2015
    Sorry you can’t phone a friend.
     
  19. UFLawyer

    UFLawyer GC Hall of Fame

    6,411
    418
    198
    Apr 3, 2007
    Florida
    Yeah, but all bias is a comparative because THAT IS THE DAMN DEFINITION OF THE WORD! I don’t have to know anything about statistics to know a snake oil salesman when I see him. You are way out of your league here. Chow
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  20. ridgetop

    ridgetop GC Hall of Fame

    2,104
    734
    1,848
    Aug 4, 2020
    Top of the ridge
    Nope
    While understand where you are coming from
    The idea of a judge being allowed to deal out any punishment he or she wants on a whim is not one I want to entertain.
    At the same time I do not want said judge using the race of the individual as a measuring stick to help determine the punishment
    What I want are judges that are fair and understanding of not only their position but the position of the one being sentenced.
     
    • Like Like x 1