Population bust

The Mathusians need to pack it up. Make way for the reverse Malthusians, were the population cant reproduce a labor force to feed people.

 

Doesn't 2.1 feel a little high as a "replacement rate"? Yeah, I am way out of my area of expertise, and have not studied this. I get that there are two parents, so in theory 2 kids would replace you. But in most families there seem to be a good 3 generations (briefly 4) alive at once. So it seems like a pair of grandparents would spawn 2 (2.1) children, and 4 (4.4) grandkids, and potentially 8 (9.3) great-grandkids. Sure, each needs a spouse/partner. It just seems like the population would still be expanding at a 2.1 average, based on life expectancy and average age of reproduction. I would have expected a number a little below 2.

 

You have to figure in gun violence and dopes using fentanyl

 

Perhaps if we stop telling Gen Z that the world is ending from climate change,
they'll move out of their parents basement and start families.

 

There's been no shortage of people pointing this out for quite some time. With the advancements of automation and AI, perhaps there's a balance to be struck here somewhere, but we'll need a new economic model - one that isn't dependant upon growth. What that is is beyond my pay grade.

 

Yes, we should ignore the climate and focus on scaring them about our existential battle against science and books

 

recent economist

 

I have been saying this about Hispanic immigration. How long before we are begging for laborers from Latin America?

I actually wasn't aware Africa was dipping in population that dramatically.

 

I’m going to guess it’s because you have to figure 1:1 male to female births and males really don’t contribute to population growth. If we were bears this would be true anyway. Likely true here. Reproductive aged females are what drive population growth and are the lynchpin for a population. 1 male can accomplish the reproductive duties of 10.

 

Perhaps aborting millions a year for two generations might perhaps lead to a decline in birth rate?

And before all the "come on man's" and "disagrees" , I believe it is a fair part of the conversation.

 

Perhaps, but this trend is really driven by the fact that wealthy people just have fewer kids, and the US is wealthier today than in the past.

Income and fertility - Wikipedia

 

Abortion didn’t stop me from producing 13 kids like my grandparents were part of, or producing 4 kids like my parents did. People like me are choosing to have less kids. Your come on man was earned.