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Belt and Road not going swimmingly

Discussion in 'Too Hot for Swamp Gas' started by exiledgator, May 19, 2023.

  1. exiledgator

    exiledgator Gruntled

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    Is this what happens when authoritarians try to be global leaders? Of course it is!

    China's "Marshall Plan" my butt.

    People can complain about "American Imperialism" all they wan't but we ain't this. The US or other big lenders will find ways to forgive or restructure debt rather than crushing a state, because our "imperialism" benefits from a rising tide.

    Can China's famous long view make them change course? I certainly have my doubts. Maybe we should let Russian have eastern europe. I'm sure they'd steward it well.

    Scary to imagine a bunch more failed states materializing amidst European war and strong global economic headwinds.
     
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  2. duggers_dad

    duggers_dad GC Hall of Fame

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    ^ Says an American spokesman. Calls to mind the African spokesman who said, “When China comes we get a hospital. When the US comes we get a lecture.”
     
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  3. ATLGATORFAN

    ATLGATORFAN Premium Member

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    The terms of the loans were always predatory and nobody ever believed the Chinese would ever be repaid other than claiming ownership of whatever form of collateral was agreed upon.
     
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  4. danmanne65

    danmanne65 GC Hall of Fame

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    China is a mess. It’s a dictatorship. It’s hard to tell if it’s fascist or communist. I subscribe to the wheel theory of history. Where fascism and communism meet together at the opposite side of freedom. Their house of cards is going to fall hard. Invading Taiwan only makes sense if it pushes the fall of the economy further down the road.
     
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  5. wgbgator

    wgbgator Premium Member

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    C'mon. The Argentines tried to restructure their debt and were successfully sued in US court by many of their creditors, and forced them into default.

    Argentina debt crisis fears grow after US supreme court ruling

     
  6. exiledgator

    exiledgator Gruntled

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    OK, I see your Argentina and raise you Egypt and 11 other countries.

    Would it make it better if I edited the OP to "will often find ways"? Or are you really comparing American foreign loan policy to China's?
     
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  7. exiledgator

    exiledgator Gruntled

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    I also see the political spectrum of governance as a circle. There's an authoritarian point on that circle that you can get to by going left or right, but once there it matters little to the citizens.

    This works on a lot of levels, IMO and it also serves to keep people centered / grounded.
     
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  8. wgbgator

    wgbgator Premium Member

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    We could add the games we play with sanctions to the list too, which is basically just economic warfare. You are seriously making an "American imperialism is uplifting" argument? Its not. We use our financial clout to attempt to leverage nations into favorable outcomes for us, not them. That's exactly what China is doing. If there is a 'rising tide,' we are using it to drown the competition or dissidents. The idea that there is no cost to the way we live to the rest of the world is a fantasy that sustains us. This China nonsense is very discouraging, its made a lot of smart people very stupid and forgiving of American transgressions, guess its useful to have a bad guy.
     
  9. 14serenoa

    14serenoa Living in Orange and surrounded by Seminoles... VIP Member

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    Was it our government or our private corporations that exported manufacturing to China 30-40 years ago? And they did so to make more money and outcompete US manufactured goods. US Capitalism has helped China become an economic World super power. Will their economy and then their government really collapse in this century?
     
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  10. exiledgator

    exiledgator Gruntled

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    Of course we're looking out for our own interests, but the bolded part is the difference. Our interests can be served without putting the indebted state under authoritarian rule and misery. That doesn't mean we set up these arraignments as losing deals for us, but we try to make them non-losing deals for them. It doesn't have to be a zero sum game
     
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  11. G8trGr8t

    G8trGr8t Premium Member

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    This. Politicians took big kickbacks tp approve loans that would result in national interests being lost to China. The question is will the countries honor the terms and transfer ownership or not. Sad part is the infrastructure built is built by chinese with that level of quality.
     
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  12. exiledgator

    exiledgator Gruntled

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    This thread was doomed. No easy path to partisan rhetoric.
     
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  13. citygator

    citygator VIP Member

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    Its also a complicated topic. i did about 20 minutes of back story research after reading article since it was interesting and then said "shit, thats complicated".
     
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  14. G8trGr8t

    G8trGr8t Premium Member

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    Like the science thread I keep reviving. No partisan hate so no comments. Guess it should be moved to the pub
     
  15. chemgator

    chemgator GC Hall of Fame

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    Argentina was never "dirt poor" like most of these countries are. They have at least some ability to pay the debt back, the question is more a matter of willingness. And being sued by private creditors is different than having the federal government go after you.

    Argentina seems like it is primarily a victim of not controlling its own spending (and the high inflation that goes with that).

    The U.S. used to be a horrible nation when it came to protecting corporate interests and U.S. money overseas back in the 1950's and 1960's. When our CIA was very active in changing out other countries' governments that we didn't agree with. We've advanced beyond that.
     
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  16. WestCoastGator

    WestCoastGator GC Hall of Fame

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    I disagree with almost everything you post. Amazing.
     
  17. wgbgator

    wgbgator Premium Member

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    LOL how are smart people this naive?
     
  18. demosthenes

    demosthenes Premium Member

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    The Argentine example was quite misinformed on his part. Private action is not the same issue being discussed. Further, having studied law and economics in La Plata and Buenos Aires I can say that outside actors are not Argentina’s issue, Argentina is. They have consistently worked themselves into financial crises through extraordinarily poor governance, ask for loans, then poorly govern and default on their loans which causes another crisis. They’re currently experiencing inflation over 100%. I feel bad for the people there since I met some truly great people but they’re their own worst enemy.
     
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  19. Contra

    Contra GC Hall of Fame

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    China = communism = BLM and Democrats

    There that should help.
     
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  20. Contra

    Contra GC Hall of Fame

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