Welcome home, fellow Gator.

The Gator Nation's oldest and most active insider community
Join today!
  1. Gator Country Black Friday special!

    Now's a great time to join or renew and get $20 off your annual VIP subscription! LIMITED QUANTITIES -- for details click here.

Ongoing UF Softball Commentary

Discussion in 'GatorGrowl's Diamond Gators' started by ocalaman, Feb 20, 2022.

  1. ocalaman

    ocalaman GC Hall of Fame

    7,730
    3,087
    2,498
    Jun 30, 2018
    LSU has an RPI ranking of #8. They are a lock to host a Regional, and maybe even a Super if they beat Georgia 2 of 3 in Baton Rouge this weekend. Auburn is in 3rd place in the SEC and finish up with Miss. St. - Arkansas is 1/2 game behind Auburn as they play Tennessee tonight and then finish up at Missouri. They are #14 in the RPI rankings and will probably be a Regional host. RPI rankings are given more weight than others and I just think the Gators are in a difficult spot to earn a Regional host unless there are a bunch of upsets this weekend, combined with us winning at least 3 games this week. Remember, too, that Oregon is ahead of us at #16 in the RPI and they run-ruled us in our head-to-head meeting. Now if we get on a roll and win the SEC tournament or maybe even make the finals, I guess there's hope.
    I would say the following teams are solid bets to be Top 8 seeds: Oklahoma, UCLA, Oklahoma State, FSU, Stanford and Tennessee. On the bubble for those final 2 spots would be Northwestern, Texas, LSU, Duke and maybe Louisiana. That leaves only 5 slots left to round out the 16 regional hosts. D1 RPI rankings in order after the above 11 are: Alabama, Washington, Arkansas, Georgia, Oregon, Clemson, Wichita State, Central Arkansas, Auburn, Florida and Baylor. Hard to see a way for UF to get into the top 5 of that group. We shall see soon enough though.
     
    • Agree Agree x 2
    • Winner Winner x 2
    • Informative Informative x 1
  2. scrappygator

    scrappygator VIP Member

    3,029
    1,540
    2,663
    Jan 15, 2009
    Gainesville, FL
    I would rather not host a regional than be seeded 15th or 16th. That puts us against UCLA or OK. Let's take our chances.
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  3. hoyt233

    hoyt233 GC Hall of Fame

    6,694
    2,396
    2,198
    Aug 31, 2009
    Prattvile, AL-Go Lions!
    @ocalaman, since there is no game thread yet, who do you think starts against FSU? If it's EH, Rylee will come in to relieve her. Does Delbrey start?
     
  4. apkgator

    apkgator GC Hall of Fame

    10,389
    2,030
    3,218
    Apr 3, 2007
    Except if you are 17 or 18 you are on the road AND matched with Okla or ucla
     
    • Informative Informative x 1
  5. ocalaman

    ocalaman GC Hall of Fame

    7,730
    3,087
    2,498
    Jun 30, 2018
    Have no idea. What do you think? I'd like to see Lexi get a chance to build on her performance from Sunday.
     
    • Agree Agree x 2
  6. Porschegator

    Porschegator GC Hall of Fame

    1,026
    443
    1,763
    Aug 15, 2016
    Canton Ohio
    These pollsters never seem to penalize teams for bad losses. Example: Alabama has lost to Lehigh, Kennesaw St, Texas St and Wisconsin and they are ranked better than Gators. Florida's worst loss is Missouri which is not bad.
     
    • Like Like x 1
    • Agree Agree x 1
  7. hoyt233

    hoyt233 GC Hall of Fame

    6,694
    2,396
    2,198
    Aug 31, 2009
    Prattvile, AL-Go Lions!
    I agree. FSU has seen both EH and Rylee, as they each pitched 3 innings in Talley. It's going to be a juggling act for the rest of the season because this is all we have.
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
    • Best Post Ever Best Post Ever x 1
  8. jhfxof

    jhfxof GC Hall of Fame

    2,802
    118
    263
    Apr 21, 2007
    LSu actually 7 rpi and still baffles me why.. I know 4 SOS, again baffling looking at schedule.. similar to UK in baseball.

    They are 7-9 vs Q1.. #10 rpi vols are 17-3 v Q1 for ex.

    My only guess is they dont have any Q5s on schedule. But who have they beat?? C Arkansas..lol
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  9. always_and_forever_uf

    always_and_forever_uf GC Legend

    534
    555
    1,758
    Jun 20, 2022
    E will get the start Wednesday PM in Gainesville, I am thinking.
     
  10. buffy2222

    buffy2222 Junior

    177
    32
    63
    Jul 9, 2022
    I agree. I think Walton should use all three.
     
  11. rickjs1

    rickjs1 Premium Member

    1,635
    947
    293
    Jan 6, 2023
    Arky is 13-8 in the SEC and has a series left with Mizzo which they should win. Even if they lose one they end up 15-9 in the SEC. They already have series wins over Bama, UF, a sweep of MSU, UK and now UT last night. Deifel had her ace return but after that had to rebuild the majority of the team. I think their ranking legit and, further, that Deifel is the best coach in the league.
     
    • Agree Agree x 2
  12. scrappygator

    scrappygator VIP Member

    3,029
    1,540
    2,663
    Jan 15, 2009
    Gainesville, FL
    That is what I implied, but maybe not well enough.
    We will be on the road for regionals, which will be a crapshoot. If we win the regional against a ranked team, we will go play whomever they were matched with in the supers. We just have to hope it is not the dreaded two.

    BTW, I would start Lex tomorrow. FSU knows the other two like a book.
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  13. apkgator

    apkgator GC Hall of Fame

    10,389
    2,030
    3,218
    Apr 3, 2007
    Yeah....I was just suggesting that if you don't host you may be better offer as a 20 type seed. Not sure facing the 16 seed in a regional is all that different than a 12/13 seed. Just luck of the draw somewhat. and if you survive that you face a 5 or 6 seed that is beatable
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  14. jhfxof

    jhfxof GC Hall of Fame

    2,802
    118
    263
    Apr 21, 2007
    I wasnt complaining on ranking(not even lsu) I was just adding the 2 SEC teams at 12 & 15, to go along w/ 13 & 14,,as in..whats the difference(to the comment)
     
  15. VegasGator91

    VegasGator91 GC Hall of Fame

    13,304
    237
    643
    Apr 3, 2007
    Las Vegas, NV
    I've seen some bracket predictions that have UF going to Tally as a #2 seed. Have to remember for regionals they like to select teams as close to the #1 of the regional as possible who is not in your conference. The only other #1 seed in the SE or Mid-atlantic that is a non-SEC team would be Duke. And most have SC going to Duke as the #2.
     
    • Informative Informative x 1
  16. ocalaman

    ocalaman GC Hall of Fame

    7,730
    3,087
    2,498
    Jun 30, 2018
    Man I hope the UF to FSU Regional doesn't happen. I would rather us be sent out of the South and play a team we haven't faced yet. But I agree with what the NCAA's tendencies are.
     
  17. buckeyegator

    buckeyegator Premium Member

    73,245
    1,944
    3,883
    Oct 29, 2007
    gainesville, florida
    win the next 4 in the regular season and 1 in the tourney and tally is,imo, a moot point.
     
  18. Porschegator

    Porschegator GC Hall of Fame

    1,026
    443
    1,763
    Aug 15, 2016
    Canton Ohio
    Would they really put us in a regional against a team we have already played twice. If are pitching improves just a little this team can beat anybody in the country with the exception of Oklahoma & UCLA on any given day.
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  19. Porschegator

    Porschegator GC Hall of Fame

    1,026
    443
    1,763
    Aug 15, 2016
    Canton Ohio
    Skylar just made the final 10 for collegiate softball player of the year. Congratulations to her. She deserves it.
     
    • Like Like x 2
    • Winner Winner x 1
  20. orangeblue77

    orangeblue77 GC Hall of Fame

    1,418
    450
    188
    Feb 19, 2023
    Florida
    If that possible regional is something the coaching staff is thinking about I wonder if that changes tonight’s pitching decisions. Why show Delbrey tonight if we might face them later when the stakes are higher.