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  1. Hi there... Can you please quickly check to make sure your email address is up to date here? Just in case we need to reach out to you or you lose your password. Muchero thanks!

Silicon Valley Bank

Discussion in 'Too Hot for Swamp Gas' started by oragator1, Mar 10, 2023.

  1. VAg8r1

    VAg8r1 GC Hall of Fame

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    And do you have any examples of smaller community banks in which depositors have lost money? Just asking.
     
  2. l_boy

    l_boy 5500

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    Apparently that was greatly misinterpreted. Many heard that Saudi would not fund more and took that as a non vote of confidence. But if you heard all of the comments and context they said the reason they won’t invest more is they are at 9.9% and going above that has a lot of regulatory and other hurdles they just don’t want to deal with. Regardless investors took the abbreviated out of context comments and ran with them.
     
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  3. oragator1

    oragator1 Hurricane Hunter Premium Member

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    I think most investors understood the context, it didn’t change the fact that their money sources had dried up which was the primary worry.
    And by the way, the Swiss government stepping in was a half measure too, which is why they haven’t gotten out of the swirl yet. Their assets are something like 1.4 trillion, 54 billion isn’t near enough to set them on firm ground if things go south.
     
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  4. l_boy

    l_boy 5500

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    yeah I haven’t followed the credit Suisse issue as closely.
     
  5. oragator1

    oragator1 Hurricane Hunter Premium Member

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  6. G8trGr8t

    G8trGr8t Premium Member

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    I wonder if the law will get changed to clear the regulatory hurdles to allow KSA to invest more
     
  7. slocala

    slocala VIP Member

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    Frontline just released a very well done documentary and historical perspective.

     
    Last edited: Mar 19, 2023
  8. okeechobee

    okeechobee GC Hall of Fame

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    I don’t need to provide examples. Your treasury czar already told us what would happen if such events should occur.
     
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  9. ncargat1

    ncargat1 VIP Member

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    Credit Suisse has been hanging precariously for quite a while though. The biggest issue will be trading partners. If, people like JP Morgan refuse to get on the other side of trades with Credit Suisse, just like what Goldman did to Bear Stearns, CS will fold up overnight (if I understand any of this...which is pretty questionable I might add). That is why money is flowing out of CS and that is why no amount of cash from the Swiss Bank can stave off the inevitable.
     
  10. slocala

    slocala VIP Member

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    looks like UBS / CS merger is getting closer to happening.
    UBS Offers $1 Billion to Buy Credit Suisse
     
  11. ncargat1

    ncargat1 VIP Member

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    CS pushing back claiming offer is too long and wipes out a lot of wealth or shareholder (see: executives holding a lot of their bonuses in company stock).
     
  12. slocala

    slocala VIP Member

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    Which is what should happen. Negotiations in public are indicative of position of strength behind closed doors. They will get wiped out if they don’t take the offer.
     
  13. VAg8r1

    VAg8r1 GC Hall of Fame

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    So you're admitting that your post is based on a hypothetical that has never happened (at least not within decades) and may never happen. If I'm wrong please provide a link to a story involving depositors at a community bank that have lost their deposits. There is also a good chance that the depositors (not shareholders or management) of the "regional" banks like SVB, Republic and Signature that needed bailouts may not have ended up in that position had the Dodd-Frank oversight not been lifted by the former president and the Republican Congress in 2018.
    From the 2018.
    Trump signs the biggest rollback of bank rules since the financial crisis
     
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  14. ncargat1

    ncargat1 VIP Member

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    Watching the press conference on Bloomberg right now. Swiss government announced UBS take over (uh, merger) of Credit Suisse at 8PM local time (3 PM here on the east coast) on Sunday.
     
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  15. slocala

    slocala VIP Member

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  16. oragator1

    oragator1 Hurricane Hunter Premium Member

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    To me you can bring back the law, maybe it would have helped. But everyone is skirting the real culprit, the geniuses at SVB. To not understand something as simple as interest rate risk and act accordingly is just crazy. I was reading to today they might not have even hedged those buys, can’t imagine how that even happens.
     
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  17. oragator1

    oragator1 Hurricane Hunter Premium Member

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    All this does is centralize banking even more, and long term raises systemic risk, it doesn’t lower it
    If I am reading right though, CS shareholders are taking about a fifty percent haircut on their stock from the already depressed levels.
     
  18. ncargat1

    ncargat1 VIP Member

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    Agreed on both points. The presser (not something I normally sit through) was fascinating. Multiple reporters hammered the Swiss Finance minister and the Director of FINMA (financial market regulators) about creating an even bigger "too big to fail" bank. That this creates more concentration and less banking choice for those in Switzerland and over and over. The point was not lost on the financial reporters present for sure.
     
    Last edited: Mar 19, 2023
  19. ncargat1

    ncargat1 VIP Member

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    Some pissed off bond holders. Apparently an AT1 bond is a special instrument that can be converted into equity in some sort of transaction I do not understand.

    Credit Suisse says $17 billion of its debt now worthless, angering bondholders
     
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  20. okeechobee

    okeechobee GC Hall of Fame

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    Well, of course, it’s Trump’s fault. Isn’t everything?? Goes without saying, man. You need not insult our intelligence by reminding us of this.

    And no, I was completely mistaken. Yellen did say that all depositors would be made whole, no matter the size or position of the bank. Local mom and pop’s bank, you deposit $50,000,000.. you’re good, per Yellen. Sorry, I just misheard her.