AR could go to the NFL according to 1010XL "big if"

To whomever it was that quoted me, one thing I am absolutely sure of that I see better than the people around here are what they are looking for upstairs. I used to know some nfl scouts and they look for things that you don’t even see let alone look for.

If he stays as is, he could in theory still go first round and another thing, had he played as most expected him or near it, he definitely would have.

Again my reputation of delivering crow on the likes of Driskell and Brissett with all the people calling me a straight up idiot (especially Driskell when he was SUCKING here). Invoke those facts.

 

^^^oh yeah to this. I read it right. Your post was a little difficult for me to gain what you wanted me to understand. Sorry. Still read and am not sure.

 

Whoa, 3 first rounders is insane. I’ll take it though as it will create a good buzz for the ‘24 recruiting class.

 

I don’t think anyone thinks he’s ready. The debates are should he or shouldn’t he declare and whether or not a team would take a chance on him in the first round.

 

I mean there is at least one here who keeps touting what the draft "experts" think. Personally I agree with someone who mentioned that these draft prognosticators from whether it be agents or NFL analysts just want bodies in the draft so it's good business to hype a kid up just to add to the talent pool. They don't care if the kid doesn't get drafted when the time comes. I question the motivations of any personal qb coach or advisor in his camp

 

This is a key point. What does being ready even mean? Step in as a starter? Nobody is saying that

What we are saying is he will most likely be drafted in the first round.

Despite me saying that I want him to stay. What fan wouldn’t want a 1st round QB to stay as long as he is eligible?

Whether he stays or goes becomes these questions…

—$$ between being drafted vs NIL?
—Development as a probable backup vs college starter (but NFL vs college coaches).
—Importance of happiness in leading his local college in what should be a good season
—Risk tolerance… staying doesn’t always lead to greater draft stock. Players fall, see Rattler. AR also has an injury history

The answers to those questions are either subjective or it’s importance are subjective. So whether he stays or not ends up being a very personal choice for him.

But all I can say is the data suggests he’s a probable NFL 1st rounder this year, he will make NIL bank if he stays, and I personally want him to stay because I want a Natty

 

The aggregate mocks are actually relatively accurate.

And I disagree with bodies. Most leagues actively lobby to push back draftable age. College is a minor league system to them and reduces bust risk. It doesn’t change the # of viable players. Declaring early just pulls it forward a year

 

Yes, selfishly I want AR to stay. It’s a question of dollars and sense. Does he take the NFL money or does he continue to have fun and develop at UF?

The dollars will be huge either way in the NFL even if he is drafted in the later rounds and have to go the free agency route later. It probably makes more sense for him to stay and get the game reps and enjoy college ball as football isn’t going to get more fun than it is now with his fellow Gator teammates.

 

The fact that he was considered a first rounder before the season started shows that his hype was all based on physical potential. They may still draft him based on that but I have a hard time believing he will sniff the first round or even the 2nd based on what he has shown so far of actual performance. I believe it was the Kentucky debacle that had all the scouts in attendance. Then again who drafts where and what they need could all change that.

 

If it’s performance based, then Will Levis wouldn’t be considered a first rounder either. And I disagree with people saying AR isn’t ready as most drafted QBs aren’t ready.

I don’t pretend to know what NFL scouts are thinking as I’ve gotten it wrong many times in the past. Now I just pass on info from what I’m hearing/reading and there are still some that think AR will go in the first round.

I can see a team being intrigued by his athletic ability and willing to take a risk on developing him as a passer. If most QBs are busts anyways, why attempt a bunt when you can swing for the fences? My point is, you know what you’re getting with Levis…at his best, he’s still Levis. With AR, at his best you may get Superman.

 

Do you though? Did people know what they were getting with Brady? It's all a lotto. Every pick is a gamble but I would say that struggling with mental aspects is a major red flag beyond physical shortcomings. The only thing i will say is that the book isn't out yet on AR because of the change in scheme and lack of experience he had to deal with. I don't know if he made the correct reads last year but i do remember him dropping back and seemingly processing the field in a much more rapid and purposeful pace before firing with good mechanics. That isn't the case this year more often than not. I'd love to see him with a second year under this system to see what his potential could be.

 

The Giants are said to be heavily scouting AR.

2023 NFL Mock Draft: Packers land monster TE for Aaron Rodgers; Raiders add mammoth defensive lineman

 

NY Giants sounds like a potential disaster landing spot for AR!

If AR is really seriously a lock to be picked in the first round, I would come help him pack his bags and drive him to the airport.

I just don't think I've seen him show the ability to throw the ball effectively if his first read isn't there. He's excellent at reading the running lanes but I think NFL defenses would eat him up right now.

 

You are indirectly advocating for a different style of drafting and development of QBs. Basically getting a bunch of them in round 3+ and see if you can get a diamond. I actually like that but that’s not what teams do.

Either way this is a weird thread. AR is first/early 2nd projected. It is what it is

 

SEE: Matthews, Shane

 

Yes and no. It's always a gamble but generally teams at least use 1st round picks for qbs that have produced numbers or exhibited certain traits that they associate with NFL success. I'm not sure what AR shows other than a freakish physical ability. Now had he shown some more improvement going through progressions over the year then I'd agree he is worth an early round pick but other than improving the turnovers his passing has been average at best.

 

Here’s an interesting discussion on NFL offenses going to more runs, so this may increase AR’s value…

 

No AR.

2023 NFL Mock Draft: Three QBs taken in the top 5, Seattle upgrades defensive front with Clemson duo

 

This site aggregates all the mocks.

Of course some mocks are better than others.

Regardless depending on how you cut off the date (1 week, 1 month, 2 months, all time, etc)… AR is in the 20s or mid/early 2nd round

2023 Consensus Mock Draft | NFL Mock Draft Database

 

Listen to the most recent podcast. Denny isn’t going to give hacker an answer but it sounds like the FSU game will be Ants last.