No Red Wave

Lol! Keep coping!

 

I have no idea what’s going on in Nevada with Boebert. Makes for compelling drama though.

 

I like how Boebert has been dead silent since election night. She takes the lead and then she all of a sudden appears.


Too bad that the most populous county in her district still has several thousand ballots still to be counted. There's a 50/50 chance she loses

 

I assume that is Mesa. Pretty red.

 

Pueblo, the bigger of the two and liberal-leaning, still has thousands of votes to count.

 

That election is hilarious to me. I’m not sure why. (Also, it’s Colorado, not Nevada)

 

I think Pueblo got cut out when we got another rep.

 

Yes, I was far off my prediction no doubt about it. BUT, they control the House and have a change for the Senate. So IF that happens than that is even better in my view since i'm one who hates trump and wants him out of the picture.

 

Yeah it's Pueblo

 

The reports I was reading was that the guessing was she was going to lose because of the two counties remaining in her district, they argued Pueblo, the bigger of the two, was blue, although Mesa was red. I have no idea if the source articles were accurate, though.

 

yes. You are right & I am wrong.

 

that all sounds correct. I was wrong

 

https://thehill.com/homenews/house/3728323-boebert-trails-by-62-votes-in-razor-tight-colorado-race/

This is one of the articles, which might help.

 

Day 3 of counting, and so far Dems have flipped two Governor and one Senate seat blue….

Pubs have flipped … ZERO.

Still a chance, but this has to be disappointing… no matter what Trump says….

 

My prediction:

Pubs flip Nevada, lose in Arizona, and control of the Senate comes down to Georgia... AGAIN.

And in that runoff, I think turnout will be great on both sides, but liberal enthusiasm for Warnock wins out over conservative apathy for Walker. Warnock wins the runoff in a close one, Democrats keep control of the Senate.

 

Page 136?

 

Mine also.

 

The irony is that if the Democratic Party in New York was able to get away with the same type of extreme gerrymandering employed by DeSantis in Florida the Democrats may very well have held the House. Their attempt was rebuffed by the courts with an independent special master redrawing the boundaries in a manner that tended to favor Republicans.
Republicans pick up 3 New York House seats with Long Island sweep and defeat of DCCC chair

 

This is one of the reasons why the GOP should be careful what they wish for pushing the Independent State Legislature concept.

There are far more independent districting commissions/anti-gerrymandering rules in blue states than red states. And even where a red state has anti-gerrymandering rules, like Florida, the state courts generally ignore them, in contrast to blue states like New York that do actually enforce those rules.

The upshot is that the Republicans are already pretty close to maxed out on potential gains from gerrymandering. Even a computer-perfect map would only net them maybe a handful of seats. Meanwhile, Democrats have a lot of room to improve in New York, California, etc.