Just post your picks and if you want to change them as we approach election day make a post with your updated pick(s). We can retire this thread if an official pick thread is made later. Current RCP polling averages for those interested: House: Reps +3% Competitive Senate contests: Pennsylvania Fetterman (D) +1.3 New Hampshire Hassan (D) +3.6 North Carolina Budd (R) +3.7 Nevada Laxalt (R) +0.8 Arizona Kelly (D) +2.5 Georgia Warnock (D) +0.3 Ohio Vance (R) +2.0 Wisconsin Johnson (R) +2.7 Colorado Bennet (D) +7.5 Washington Murray (D) +8.5 Florida Rubio (R) +6.4 Competitive Governor contests: Michigan Whitmer (D) +3.2 Wisconsin Evers (D) +1.0 Minnesota Walz (D) +2.5 Arizona Lake (R) +1.4 Nevada Lombardo (R) +2.3 New Mexico Lujan Grisham (D) +3.5 Oregon Drazan (R) +2.4 New York Hochul (D) +6.1 Pennsylvania Shapiro (D) +8.3 Georgia Kemp (R) +7.5 Texas Abbott (R) +9.3 Florida DeSantis (R) +10.0
My picks at this point House: Reps 244 Seats - Reps take the House with a really big pickup of seats. I think 244 is roughly the ceiling for Reps with the map changes since post 2020 but they will be right at that number. Senate races: Pennsylvania: Oz (R) wins a close race New Hampshire: Hassan (D) wins a close race North Carolina: Budd (R) wins and it won't be that close Nevada: Laxalt (R) wins a nail biter Arizona: Masters (R) wins a nail biter Georgia: Walker (R) wins a nail biter but it will be close whether he avoids a runoff Ohio: Vance (R) wins and it won't be close Wisconsin: Johnson (R) wins by a few % Colorado: Bennet (D) wins and it won't be real close Washington: Murray (D) wins and it won't be real close Florida: Rubio (R) wins easily Governor races: Michigan: Whitmer (D) wins a nail biter Wisconsin: Michels (R) wins a close one Minnesota: Walz (D) wins in a nail biter Arizona: Lake (R) wins by a few % Nevada: Lombardo (R) wins a nail biter New Mexico: Grisham (D) wins a close one Oregon: Drazan (R) wins a nail biter New York: Hochul (D) wins a close one Pennsylvania: Mastriano (R) wins in a really big upset Georgia: Kemp (R) wins easily Texas: Abbott (R) wins easily Florida: DeSantis (R) wins easily
