2022 Picks Panel Thread --- Week 7

Picks Week 7
Florida 100
Miss. St. 100
Ole Miss. 100
Tenn. 100
TCU 100

 

Mississippi State at Kentucky (+4) 40
Alabama (-7) at Tennessee 80
Penn State at Michigan (-7) 50

 

This sucks. Hope I’m wrong but based on line movements it looks like LSU is the pick of the week. I will never pick against the Gators though.

Ark - 500
Ken - 500
NC State - 500

 

Lotta good football today, folks. In addition to some huge SEC games, I'm interested in MN/IL, NCst/Cuse, Clem/FSU, and SC/Utah. Enjoy the games!

 

It’s also homecoming at Indiana. Lol. The only reason I know is my girlfriend went.

 

I agree, but is avoiding picking the Gators passively picking against them? Just kidding. A few weeks ago someone said they were picking with their head and not their heart. That is so hard to do.

 

I find your pick amounts interesting. Almost everyone picks in multiples of 50. Your amounts are more diverse. It's not just this week. Without revealing your trade secrets, do you have a system for choosing how much to wager?

 

I bet she enjoyed Bloomington. They have one of the nation's best music schools, btw. In the coincidence dept, my buddy who did grad work at IU is hanging tonight for football & whiskey.

 

Pretty sure this is tommyv's strategy:

 

Line movements are interesting. But if the results based on line movements were anything more than negligible, I'd be very surprised. Someone would have taken advantage of that and consistently beat vegas.

 

Ole Miss - 100

 

Probably to make up for the juice paid to the house

 

I bet in units and then divide my available bankroll by the number of betting units. So this week the bets were 3 units and 2 units x2 IIRC.

 

Now that the picks have been made, 'fes up. You talkin' about Bama?

 

There are definitely people out there that consistently beat Vegas and their strategies are based on line movements. The difference between them and the avg bettor is that they are very disciplined and only bet on games that meet very stringent criteria. When they bet they bet big and they mitigate the house advantage by not betting 20 games a week.