Just a wild guess. No way we will finish higher than UGA, Bama, Clemson, or Ohio St in the current state of the program and college football in general. So best we can do is 5th. Then throw in TAMU, LSU, USC, and Texas (schools that I don't think we will be able to compete with in the current NIL landscape) and now the best we can do is 9th. So to play it conservative I went with 12th-15th. If we have a great season then maybe the 2024 class is much better. Those days of bump classes being in the top 5 are long gone.
That's some of the same reasoning that made me go with being satisfied with anything in the teens for this year, but, predicting 10th based on confidence in the new staff and their emphasis on recruiting. As long as we finish higher than the previous year every year and keep heading in the right direction, I'll be happy and we'll get there.
Actually I think top 5 bump classes are probably more likely than before if you can cobble together an insane amount of NIL money. How often has a TAMU leapfrogged to the top of the heap in the past (never?).
FWIW: per Rivals, all five commits are rated at 3-stars. Still a lot of time left, but that doesn’t feel like a top 10 class in the making. Hope I’m wrong.
No idea, but I think we should all be able to tell how well we are doing in the NIL game when the final recruiting rankings come out.
And, per 247 Composite (which considers all the ranking services combined) both Harris and Gates are 4*s. Not that we don't have a ways to go yet, but, it does seem like maybe you're focusing on the worst looks.
Cormani will bridge that gap from 7-8 to the remaining 6 (well 3 because we aren’t catching UGA and Bama, OSU). Just gimme a legit top 10 class. No grade/character risk fluff like the last staff did