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Coronavirus in the United States - news and thoughts

Discussion in 'Too Hot for Swamp Gas' started by GatorNorth, Feb 25, 2020.

  1. philnotfil

    philnotfil GC Hall of Fame

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    COVID Data Tracker

    You have to play with some of the settings to get a specific state or age group.

    Here is Florida hospitalization rates for 0-17 years (on the left, on the right it shows all age groups):

    [​IMG]
     
    • Informative Informative x 1
  2. WESGATORS

    WESGATORS Moderator VIP Member

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    Yeah, we just don't have enough data to make too thorough of an analysis. For instance:

    Deaths were higher then than now = "see vaccinations are working"
    Deaths are higher now than then = "see this new variant is a greater threat"

    vs.

    Deaths were higher then than now = "see this new variant isn't even as big of a threat"
    Deaths are higher now than then = "see the vaccinations aren't having much of an impact"

    My point here is just that we need to be careful of making too much of the data given how limited the data collectors have been with providing information. 95 asked about death counts, and I should have just left it at that.

    Go GATORS!
    ,WESGATORS
     
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  3. WESGATORS

    WESGATORS Moderator VIP Member

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    Thanks, had forgotten about this. It's maddening how inconsistent the data points have been. This graph shows 0-17; the state tracked using 14 as an upper limit through the Spring of this year. Over the summer they use 15 as an upper limit. It's worth nothing that the peak in the Spring (~0.6 on that graph) wasn't remotely a concern on the pediatric side of things (certainly not locally). It's hard to consider that an increase of less than 1 per 100,000 changes that much, but of course, it would be nice to get ICU data and other relevant severity data as well.

    Go GATORS!
    ,WESGATORS
     
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  4. mdgator05

    mdgator05 Premium Member

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    So you are appealing to authority with the head of the agency that you have trashed consistently on this thread? As others have pointed out, you are obviously and, at this point, intentionally, misrepresenting her quote, but it is worth pointing out the ridiculousness of the guy who has trashed the CDC consistently on this thread whenever they say something he doesn't like trying to appeal to their authority now.
     
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  5. coleg

    coleg GC Hall of Fame

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    Thus you've found why that poster is the only one I have ever put on ignore on any site. I highly recommend it as I found logic, facts and truth are completely meaningless to that one.
     
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  6. philnotfil

    philnotfil GC Hall of Fame

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    Almost like winning is more important than learning truth for that poster.
     
  7. gator95

    gator95 GC Hall of Fame

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    I have trashed the CDC on policy and some of their use of "studies" to make policy. Why would the head of the cdc make up numbers about pediatric covid hospitalizations and then blame RSV? It's ok to be wrong. I was wrong on car deaths during covid and most likely wrong on suicides(most likely, will know in about 6-9 months). But compared to you, who was wrong on lockdowns, school closures and masks, i'll gladly take anyone's opinion on covid over yours. You hit the trifecta their pal. Good job with that one. Real hot streak.
     
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  8. gator95

    gator95 GC Hall of Fame

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    Almost like you are trolling when you won't admit you are wrong. Sorry you didn't like what the AAP and the CDC said about pediatric hospitalizations.
     
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  9. NavyGator93

    NavyGator93 GC Hall of Fame

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    As I said before, just treat him like a someone else’s bratty kid seeking attention. Ignore.
     
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  10. mdgator05

    mdgator05 Premium Member

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    But the CDC director says I was right about masks, and since you are currently appealing to her authority, I must have been right, correct? Or are you appealing to the authority of somebody you have trashed consistently in the ultimate sign that Phil is right and none of this is really about trying to be right but about your own needs to "win?"
     
  11. WESGATORS

    WESGATORS Moderator VIP Member

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    Also, in looking at the image on the right, it looks like the beginning of a promising decline for all age groups.

    Go GATORS!
    ,WESGATORS
     
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  12. gator95

    gator95 GC Hall of Fame

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    Wow, I guess if someone is wrong about a few things then they are wrong about everything. Good way to go thru life. So then by that measure you aren't to be believed on anything since you were a joke for being on the side of lockdowns, school closures and masks. Good job. Point noted, I won't take anything you say ever again as right, since that's what you are arguing for. What a joke. You really got me there.
     
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  13. mdgator05

    mdgator05 Premium Member

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    Haha, so basically, she is right if (when you think) she supports your position but wrong when she doesn't. In this instance, right appears to be a synonym for "agrees with you." Indeed, what a joke.
     
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  14. gator95

    gator95 GC Hall of Fame

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    See, I'm not so set in my beliefs that if a person says something that's wrong that they are to never be believed again. Would suck if people treated you that way, because no one would believe a word coming out of your mouth after the past 18 months of being constantly wrong.
     
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  15. gator95

    gator95 GC Hall of Fame

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    Agree with a lot of what Silver says here.

    upload_2021-8-31_11-46-36.png

    upload_2021-8-31_11-47-5.png

    upload_2021-8-31_11-48-48.png
     
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  16. gator95

    gator95 GC Hall of Fame

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  17. homer

    homer GC Hall of Fame

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    Progressives rejoice.
     
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  18. tampagtr

    tampagtr VIP Member

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    Wow

     
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  19. tampagtr

    tampagtr VIP Member

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    And this makes a lot of sense to me - social death is the biggest risk

     
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  20. duchen

    duchen VIP Member

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    Florida is delaying the release of death data too