Welcome home, fellow Gator.

The Gator Nation's oldest and most active insider community
Join today!

Coronavirus - International stories and thoughts

Discussion in 'Too Hot for Swamp Gas' started by G8trGr8t, Jan 20, 2020.

  1. mutz87

    mutz87 p=.06 VIP Member

    38,225
    33,863
    4,211
    Aug 30, 2014
    Thank you. My bad. RIP's def right.

    Sorry @RIP
     
    • Like Like x 1
    • Fistbump/Thanks! Fistbump/Thanks! x 1
  2. G8trGr8t

    G8trGr8t Premium Member

    30,526
    11,769
    3,693
    Aug 26, 2008
    Covid: Nations impose UK travel bans over new variant - BBC News

    Ireland, Germany, France, Italy, the Netherlands and Belgium are all halting flights. The measures vary and are initially short-term but the French rules also affect Channel freight.

    An EU meeting on Monday morning will discuss a more co-ordinated response.

    The new variant has spread quickly in London and south-east England.

    Prime Minister Boris Johnson on Saturday introduced a new tier four level of restrictions for those areas, scrapping a planned relaxation of rules over the Christmas period for millions of people.
     
    • Informative Informative x 1
  3. G8trGr8t

    G8trGr8t Premium Member

    30,526
    11,769
    3,693
    Aug 26, 2008
    Food supplies from EU now in jeopardy.

    From Brexit to the pandemic, Boris Johnson has led UK into an abyss of overlapping crises -- analysis - CNN

    Industry groups say they are confident of food supplies in the final days before Christmas but warned of major disruption if the freight situation is not resolved. Sainsbury's, one of the country's leading supermarket chains, said if nothing changes the UK will start to see gaps on lettuce, some salad leaves, cauliflowers, broccoli and citrus fruit -- all of which are imported from European countries at this time of year.
     
  4. G8trGr8t

    G8trGr8t Premium Member

    30,526
    11,769
    3,693
    Aug 26, 2008
    South African variant has reports of making children much sicker

    Two cases of 'highly concerning' South Africa virus variant detected in UK (telegraph.co.uk)

    Two cases of a “highly concerning” new coronavirus variant first identified in South Africa have been detected in the UK, triggering stringent new quarantine restrictions on anyone arriving from the rainbow nation.

    The variant, known as 501.V2, “is yet more transmissible” than the strain wreaking havoc in Britain, according to the health secretary Matt Hancock.

    In South Africa 501.V2 has been blamed for a rapid resurgence in infections, with some experts estimating that it makes up between 80 and 90 per cent of new cases. There are also growing fears that it may be spreading more rapidly in younger populations.

    “The new 501.V2 variant has troubling details: it seems to spread faster, has a higher viral load and [is] possibly more severe among young adults,” said Dr Eric Feigl-Ding, an epidemiologist and senior fellow at the Federation American of Scientists.
     
    • Informative Informative x 1
  5. pkaib01

    pkaib01 GC Hall of Fame

    3,484
    740
    2,063
    Apr 3, 2007
    "New Zealand, a geographically remote Pacific island with easily sealable borders, implemented a nationwide ‘lockdown’ of all non-essential services to curb the spread of COVID-19. Here, we generate 649 SARS-CoV-2 genome sequences from infected patients in New Zealand with samples collected during the ‘first wave’, representing 56% of all confirmed cases in this time period. Despite its remoteness, the viruses imported into New Zealand represented nearly all of the genomic diversity sequenced from the global virus population. These data helped to quantify the effectiveness of public health interventions. For example, the effective reproductive number, Re of New Zealand’s largest cluster decreased from 7 to 0.2 within the first week of lockdown. Similarly, only 19% of virus introductions into New Zealand resulted in ongoing transmission of more than one additional case. Overall, these results demonstrate the utility of genomic pathogen surveillance to inform public health and disease mitigation."

    Genomic epidemiology reveals transmission patterns and dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 in Aotearoa New Zealand | Nature Communications
     
    • Informative Informative x 1
  6. tampagtr

    tampagtr VIP Member

    17,499
    2,734
    1,618
    Apr 3, 2007
    I said informative, but I wish they had a qualification, because it makes intuitive sense, but I'm not really competent to be informed by it
     
  7. G8trGr8t

    G8trGr8t Premium Member

    30,526
    11,769
    3,693
    Aug 26, 2008
    is there a biology for dummies summary of this somewhere?
     
  8. pkaib01

    pkaib01 GC Hall of Fame

    3,484
    740
    2,063
    Apr 3, 2007
    I'm not sure I follow your comment but allow me to add my own commentary.

    What I found it interesting is that because of NZ's early proactive measures and its geography, they where positioned to track specific strains of the virus introduced by newcomers and measure the benefit of subsequent health policies, including shutdowns. And you're right, it does seem intuitive that isolating people during outbreak minimizes the Re but to actually quantify the benefit is helpful. And 7.0 down to 0.2 in a week is encouraging!

    One of the challenges all along in making the economic/health tradeoffs is the lack of information due to community spread in most countries. For example, measuring the benefit of a response to an outbreak on a given date is muddied by another spreader event shortly after in the same area.

    I expect more research to come out of NE's unique position.
     
    Last edited: Jan 4, 2021
  9. tampagtr

    tampagtr VIP Member

    17,499
    2,734
    1,618
    Apr 3, 2007
    Thanks - now I understand. Sounds like Iceland for genetic research!
     
  10. pkaib01

    pkaib01 GC Hall of Fame

    3,484
    740
    2,063
    Apr 3, 2007
    Great analogy!
     
    • Fistbump/Thanks! Fistbump/Thanks! x 1
  11. G8trGr8t

    G8trGr8t Premium Member

    30,526
    11,769
    3,693
    Aug 26, 2008
    India tells Trump, hold my beer with the other half of your Moderna.

    Approves vaccine with no published data. smdh

    Covaxin: Concern over 'rushed' approval for India Covid jab - BBC News

    It said that there were "intense concerns arising from the absence of the efficacy data" as well a lack of transparency that would "raise more questions than answers and likely will not reinforce faith in our scientific decision making bodies".

    The statement came after India's Drugs Controller General, VG Somani, insisted Covaxin was "safe and provides a robust immune response". He added the vaccines had been approved for restricted use in "public interest as an abundant precaution, in clinical trial mode, to have more options for vaccinations, especially in case of infection by mutant strains".

    The All India Drug Action Network, however, said it was "baffled to understand the scientific logic" to approve "an incompletely studied vaccine".

    One of India's most eminent medical experts, Dr Gagandeep Kang, told the Times of India newspaper that she had "not seen anything like this before". She added that "there is absolutely no efficacy data that has been presented or published".
     
  12. philnotfil

    philnotfil GC Hall of Fame

    17,500
    1,723
    1,718
    Apr 8, 2007
    Exclusive: Teacher Covid rates up to 333% above average

     
  13. dingyibvs

    dingyibvs Premium Member

    2,077
    159
    293
    Apr 8, 2007
    I don't think they've approved it for general use, but only for specific high risk groups which I believe is common practice for one specific group (i.e. the military) and was done earlier in China as well with COVID (I think they immunized over a million healthcare workers, etc. before Phase 3 data was out).
     
  14. G8trGr8t

    G8trGr8t Premium Member

    30,526
    11,769
    3,693
    Aug 26, 2008
  15. jmoliver

    jmoliver GC Hall of Fame

    Apr 3, 2007
    Palm Beach County Schools publishes their numbers. I will leave it here without comment and let everyone draw their own conclusions. Keep in mind that we aren't fully open.

    COVID-19 Dashboard
     
  16. pkaib01

    pkaib01 GC Hall of Fame

    3,484
    740
    2,063
    Apr 3, 2007
    First thing that jumps out is that students account for only 55% of the confirmed cases.
     
  17. jmoliver

    jmoliver GC Hall of Fame

    Apr 3, 2007
    Yea, my wife is a retired teacher and she is trying to get an idea of what percentage of students are back in the classroom. I believe starting in Jan parents had to commit to in-person or stay at home for the remainder of the year. Will be interesting to watch the numbers through the end of the school year.
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  18. vaxcardinal

    vaxcardinal GC Hall of Fame

    6,853
    1,034
    2,043
    Apr 8, 2007
    I conclude that you can’t figure out what thread to post things in
     
  19. G8trGr8t

    G8trGr8t Premium Member

    30,526
    11,769
    3,693
    Aug 26, 2008
    there is data about school employee infection rates in Britain. He posted some data about school employees infected here in Florida. Seems related
     
  20. G8trGr8t

    G8trGr8t Premium Member

    30,526
    11,769
    3,693
    Aug 26, 2008
    589 employees out of how many? how does that compare to rest of county?